$9.7K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$9.7K
24h volume
$162
source: Kalshi
Democrats are showing a modest polling edge in the broader House environment, and Pennsylvania's 8th is still rated a toss-up. Bresnahan is also trying to broaden his appeal with a new coalition, but the district remains highly competitive. The polling backdrop slightly favors Democrats, but the seat remains a toss-up. The coalition launch is more of a campaign move than a clear shift, so uncertainty stays high.
WASHINGTON (AP) — Democratic voters in Tuesday's Pennsylvania primary will pick their nominees to flip four seats seen as critical for the party to retake the U.S. House in November.
Pennsylvania Democrats will pick nominees to unseat a trio of vulnerable Republican members of Congress in a state primary on Tuesday.
Republicans are desperate to hold the House in the upcoming midterm elections.
A slew of incumbents are out, making room for fresh faces.
President Trump's disapproval rating - 58% overall and 70% among independents - continues to drag down Republican candidates.
Scranton Mayor Paige Cognetti (D-PA) faces scrutiny over maternity leave cuts as she tries to flip a must-win House seat.
Congressman doesn't do enough to address local concerns.
An unprecedented gerrymandering effort led by Donald Trump—and internal divisions among Democrats—has made the Minority Leader’s path to victory harder than ever, Jason Zengerle reports.
A frontline GOP representative is courting Democrats for PA Rep. Rob Bresnahan
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
