$135.5K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 3, 2026, 9:28 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69% | 46.0% | $4.61M | |
| 33% | 44.3% | $5.23M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
America PAC has given about $12,000 to help Rob Bresnahan in Pennsylvania’s 8th District. A recent poll still showed Democrat Paige Cognetti narrowly ahead 47% to 45%. The seat remains a closely watched battleground with heavy spending expected. The PAC donation is a modest boost for Bresnahan, but the recent poll points to a very tight race and keeps the market uncertain. Overall, the news slightly reinforces the seat’s competitiveness rather than shifting it decisively.
Voters' economic malaise is dragging down Republicans in the 7th and 10th Congressional Districts the poll found.
America PAC, Musk’s super PAC, has contributed roughly $12,000 apiece in support of U.S. Reps. Ryan Mackenzie, of Lehigh; Rob Bresnahan, of Lackawanna; and Scott Perry, of York.
Newsweek analyzed polling, election data and insights from Republican and Democratic strategists to rank key House battlegrounds.
Democrats are within striking distance in districts the president won by double digits.
Control of the House of Representatives could come down to four pivotal battleground races in Pennsylvania
WASHINGTON (AP) — Democratic voters in Tuesday's Pennsylvania primary will pick their nominees to flip four seats seen as critical for the party to retake the U.S. House in November.
Republicans are desperate to hold the House in the upcoming midterm elections.
The Georgia senator's Trump jabs reveal a deliberate strategy and a leading 2028 contender
The latest round of primary elections is getting underway in four more states. The midterm elections in November will determine control of both chambers of Congress and will also see the election of...
WASHINGTON — Another month, and another batch of rating changes that benefit Democrats. But the House Republican majority is not lost yet, according to a district-by-district analysis of the House battleground. With less than five months to go, the fundamentals of midterm elections continue to favor Democrats. President Donald Trump’s job rating is underwater at 39% approve and 58% disapprove, ...
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Aug 27, 2025 and Jun 23, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
R. BresnahanRob BresnahanP. CognettiPaige CognettiSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
