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2026 Pennsylvania House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Pennsylvania House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Election Day: Nov 3, 2026Market closes: Nov 6, 11:59pm ET (Nov 7, 4:59am UTC)

PA-08 House winner?

$19.7K

NOV 3, 2026

General Election

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Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated Aug 17, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Poll average	Funds raised
Paige Cognetti	79%	46.0%	$4.61M
Rob Bresnahan	41%	44.3%	$5.23M

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 17, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$19.7K

24h volume

$1.5K

P. Cognetti79%

R. Bresnahan41%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Pennsylvania 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Race Updates

Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.

PA-08 House winner?

Paige Cognetti's odds are now 79%, above the previous high of 65%.

79%14%

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

A new poll gives Paige Cognetti a narrow lead over Rep. Rob Bresnahan in Pennsylvania’s 8th District. The seat remains highly competitive, and broader House analysis shows Democrats gaining ground in several races. The poll slightly improves Democratic sentiment in this race, but the margin is still very close. Overall uncertainty remains high.

Articles

NNewsweek20 days ago

10 Seats Democrats Could Flip in 2026-And What Polls Say

Newsweek analyzed polling, election data and insights from Republican and Democratic strategists to rank key House battlegrounds.

TDThe Daily Beast2 months ago

Trump Hit With Ominous Midterm Warnings in Deep Red Areas

Democrats are within striking distance in districts the president won by double digits.

NNNBC News3 months ago

Four swing House races in Pennsylvania loom large for both parties - and for 2028, too

Control of the House of Representatives could come down to four pivotal battleground races in Pennsylvania

UNU.S. News & World Report3 months ago

AP Decision Notes: What to Expect in Pennsylvania’s Primaries

WASHINGTON (AP) — Democratic voters in Tuesday's Pennsylvania primary will pick their nominees to flip four seats seen as critical for the party to retake the U.S. House in November.

MPMechanicsburg Patriot News 4 months ago

Perry, other targeted Pa. House Republicans set to get a boost from Speaker Mike Johnson

Republicans are desperate to hold the House in the upcoming midterm elections.

SSFGATE2 months ago

The Latest: Primaries bring out voters in New York, Maryland, South Carolina and Utah

The latest round of primary elections is getting underway in four more states. The midterm elections in November will determine control of both chambers of Congress and will also see the election of...

HCHartford Courant2 months ago

Analysis: 11 House races move toward Democrats

WASHINGTON — Another month, and another batch of rating changes that benefit Democrats. But the House Republican majority is not lost yet, according to a district-by-district analysis of the House battleground. With less than five months to go, the fundamentals of midterm elections continue to favor Democrats. President Donald Trump’s job rating is underwater at 39% approve and 58% disapprove, ...

NNJ.com3 months ago

Navy helicopter pilot and mom (no, not Gov. Sherrill) wins Dem nomination to take on Tom Kean Jr.

The 7th Congressional District hasn’t been represented by a Democrat since Rep. Tom Kean Jr. ousted former Rep. Tom Malinowski in 2022.

SIStaten Island Advance3 months ago

Surprise name emerges as top-tier, ‘standout’ candidate along with Newsom in 2028 Dem presidential race

And one major name has stunningly been relegated to “middle of the pack” status.

TPThe Philadelphia Inquirer3 months ago

Here's how Shapiro-backed congressional candidates did in key Pa. swing districts

All of Gov. Josh Shapiro's endorsed candidates for Congress won their primary races.

Latest Polls

Polling results and averages based on polls published between Aug 27, 2025 and Jun 23, 2026.

Polling Average

60%50%40%30%20%10%0%

46%

44.3%

P. Cognetti

R. Bresnahan

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Cognetti	Bresnahan
Polling Average	Cognetti+1.7	46.0%	44.3%
Lake Research PartnersJun 18 - 23	Cognetti+2.0	47.0%	45.0%
Impact ResearchJun 8 - 11	Cognetti+1.0	46.0%	45.0%
Public Policy PollingAug 27 - 28	Cognetti+2.0	45.0%	43.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Jun 30, 2026

$10M

$7.5M

$5M

$2.5M

R. Bresnahan

P. Cognetti

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

R. BresnahanRob Bresnahan

$5.23MContrib: $3.33M

$2.61MSpent: $2.68M

$148.9KLast period: $437.2K

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

P. CognettiPaige Cognetti

$4.61MContrib: $4.30M

$3.41MSpent: $1.20M

$66.8KLast period: $1.37M

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

Source: FEC

2026 Pennsylvania House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

PA-08 House winner?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

PA-08 House winner?

Latest Election News

10 Seats Democrats Could Flip in 2026-And What Polls Say

Trump Hit With Ominous Midterm Warnings in Deep Red Areas

Four swing House races in Pennsylvania loom large for both parties - and for 2028, too

AP Decision Notes: What to Expect in Pennsylvania’s Primaries

Perry, other targeted Pa. House Republicans set to get a boost from Speaker Mike Johnson

The Latest: Primaries bring out voters in New York, Maryland, South Carolina and Utah

Analysis: 11 House races move toward Democrats

Navy helicopter pilot and mom (no, not Gov. Sherrill) wins Dem nomination to take on Tom Kean Jr.

Surprise name emerges as top-tier, ‘standout’ candidate along with Newsom in 2028 Dem presidential race

Here's how Shapiro-backed congressional candidates did in key Pa. swing districts

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

PA-08 House winner?

Latest Election News

10 Seats Democrats Could Flip in 2026-And What Polls Say

Trump Hit With Ominous Midterm Warnings in Deep Red Areas

Four swing House races in Pennsylvania loom large for both parties - and for 2028, too

AP Decision Notes: What to Expect in Pennsylvania’s Primaries

Perry, other targeted Pa. House Republicans set to get a boost from Speaker Mike Johnson

The Latest: Primaries bring out voters in New York, Maryland, South Carolina and Utah

Analysis: 11 House races move toward Democrats

Navy helicopter pilot and mom (no, not Gov. Sherrill) wins Dem nomination to take on Tom Kean Jr.

Surprise name emerges as top-tier, ‘standout’ candidate along with Newsom in 2028 Dem presidential race

Here's how Shapiro-backed congressional candidates did in key Pa. swing districts

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

2026 Pennsylvania House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

PA-08 House winner?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

PA-08 House winner?

Latest Election News

10 Seats Democrats Could Flip in 2026-And What Polls Say

Trump Hit With Ominous Midterm Warnings in Deep Red Areas

Four swing House races in Pennsylvania loom large for both parties - and for 2028, too

AP Decision Notes: What to Expect in Pennsylvania’s Primaries

Perry, other targeted Pa. House Republicans set to get a boost from Speaker Mike Johnson

The Latest: Primaries bring out voters in New York, Maryland, South Carolina and Utah

Analysis: 11 House races move toward Democrats

Navy helicopter pilot and mom (no, not Gov. Sherrill) wins Dem nomination to take on Tom Kean Jr.

Surprise name emerges as top-tier, ‘standout’ candidate along with Newsom in 2028 Dem presidential race

Here's how Shapiro-backed congressional candidates did in key Pa. swing districts

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Pennsylvania Governor winner?

PA-07 House winner?

PA-01 House winner?

PA-10 House winner?

Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

PA-08 House winner?

Latest Election News

10 Seats Democrats Could Flip in 2026-And What Polls Say

Trump Hit With Ominous Midterm Warnings in Deep Red Areas

Four swing House races in Pennsylvania loom large for both parties - and for 2028, too

AP Decision Notes: What to Expect in Pennsylvania’s Primaries

Perry, other targeted Pa. House Republicans set to get a boost from Speaker Mike Johnson

The Latest: Primaries bring out voters in New York, Maryland, South Carolina and Utah

Analysis: 11 House races move toward Democrats

Navy helicopter pilot and mom (no, not Gov. Sherrill) wins Dem nomination to take on Tom Kean Jr.

Surprise name emerges as top-tier, ‘standout’ candidate along with Newsom in 2028 Dem presidential race

Here's how Shapiro-backed congressional candidates did in key Pa. swing districts

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Pennsylvania Governor winner?

PA-07 House winner?

PA-01 House winner?

PA-10 House winner?