Prediction Edge
Republican
Paul Berry

Paul Berry

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Missouri

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Paul Berry is trading at 4% to win the MO-01 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleCandidate

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

LocationMissouri

Notable personal detailsPaul Berry III is a Missouri Republican candidate who has run for multiple elected offices, including U.S. House (Missouri's 1st Congressional District) and Missouri lieutenant governor. He has also been involved in election- and political-process related matters in Missouri, including submitting an initiative petition for review by the Missouri Attorney General. Public records also show his name as a complainant in Federal Election Commission matters and as a plaintiff in multiple court cases.

SourcesShow
fec.govago.mo.govsos.mo.govthemissouritimes.coms1.sos.mo.govdeveloper.ballotpedia.orgdockets.justia.comjocomo.govahc.mo.govballotready.orgextcontent.stlouisco.comcandidatefilings.comusa.govredistricting.lls.eduen.wikipedia.orgkbia.orgivoterguide.commissourilifepac.orgapnews.comgovinfo.govnorthcountrypublicradio.orgmissourinet.comstlpr.orgoppintell.commissouriindependent.comkmbc.comcongress.govmec.mo.govdemocracydocket.comarxiv.orgakdart.commomadmaga.cominstagram.comfacebook.comfirstalert4.comfox2now.comwabe.orgbizjournals.comarmaghi.comwunc.orgaol.comlocalcandidates.orgmayesmiddleton.comsierraclub.orgballotpedia.orgjustfacts.votesmart.orgclerk.house.gov

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports reducing local taxes and other pro-growth, conservative economic policies focused on cutting taxes and strengthening free enterprise. Advocates eliminating local earnings taxes and has run as a Republican emphasizing business-friendly, limited-government approaches to the economy.

Immigration & Border

Supports construction of a border wall and other infrastructure to secure control over entries and exits at the U.S. border; opposes resettlement of Syrian refugees without what he describes as proper vetting.

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Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate has been endorsed by Missouri Right to Life and has accepted/been promoted with pro-life messaging promising to "protect unborn babies" and to "protect the sanctity of life." This indicates a pro‑life stance supporting strong restrictions on abortion.

Climate & Energy

Paul Berry III has expressed support for removing nuclear waste from the Westlake Landfill. There is no clear, detailed public record of his broader climate or energy policy positions that would place him on a progressive or conservative climate/energy policy spectrum.

Public Safety & Guns

Paul Berry III has taken actions to block local governments from enacting their own gun restrictions and filed a statewide petition to prohibit local gun laws while arguing for uniform constitutional rights across the state. His public filings and legal actions indicate he favors protecting gun rights at the state level rather than permitting local firearm regulations.

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2022

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.5K
$1.8K
$1.2K
$613
$0

2022

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$2.5K
$0.00
$2.5K
$102.08

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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