Race Rating
Safe or unrated
Cook/270toWin 2026
Partisan lean: Safe Democratic or unrated
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 Missouri House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
MO-01 House winner?
$7.4K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 99% | $1.90M | |
| 3% | — |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$7.4K
24h volume
$1.2K
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Missouri 1st District · US House
Safe or unratedSafe Democratic or unratedDistrict context
Seat Dynamics
Incumbent defense
Incumbent: Wesley Bell (D)
Election Rules
Primary Aug 4, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
A whistleblower lawsuit has put Missouri Secretary of State Denny Hoskins under new scrutiny over alleged election administration misconduct. The claims involve retaliation, municipal election intervention, and use of state funds, but they do not directly alter the MO-01 contest. The lawsuit may raise uncertainty around election administration, but it does not directly change the partisan race in MO-01. Any market effect is likely limited unless the case affects confidence in the election process.
Articles
UTUSA TODAY2 days ago
Trump bet on riskier candidates. Will it cost Republicans seats?
The president often picked more loyal but polarizing contenders during the 2026 primary season, now some of them are behind in the polls.
MJMother Jones2 days ago
On Abortion Rights, Nevada Offers a Perfect Snapshot of the Midterms
2026 is all about winning ballot measures, Democratic trifectas, and Congress.
WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit3 months ago
The Latest: Trump says he was taken off Air Force One last month due to threat
President Donald Trump says he slipped away from Air Force One after a trip last month in Turkey because the Secret Service and military wanted him on a “different plane” due to a threat he insisted didn’t scare him.
SSSpokane Spokesman-Review1 month ago
The 10 most vulnerable House members just over a month before Election Day
With less than five weeks to go until the midterm elections, Republicans face historical headwinds as the party in power and must also contend with high gas prices amid the ongoing Iran war.
NNewsweek2 months ago
Democrats’ Chances of Flipping House Get Better in Fox News Forecast
The Fox News forecast shows Democrats gaining momentum in the House race, while 17 toss-up districts could decide control.
UNUPI News3 months ago
Sayed, Rep. Haley Stevens face off in Michigan Senate primary
The Democratic primary for Michigan's Senate seat between Abdul El-Sayed and Rep. Haley Stevens is just one of Tuesday's key races to watch.
NNNBC News5 months ago
Where the redistricting fight stands heading into the midterms
After 10 states enacted new congressional maps, Republicans are in position to gain up to 16 seats this fall, compared with six for the Democrats, as the parties vie for control of the House.
WWTOP4 days ago
AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Missouri on Election Day
WASHINGTON (AP) — Missouri voters will elect representatives to Congress on Tuesday following a long-running legal drama that was settled in September by the U.
KKABC-TV1 month ago
Redistricting arms race reshaped House districts for 1 in 10 Americans
According to a new report, bout one in 10 Americans now live in a different district than they did during the 2024 election cycle.
WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit2 months ago
The Latest: Federal judge orders Kennedy Center to provide 30 days' notice of any building changes
A federal judge has ordered the Kennedy Center to provide 30 days’ notice before making any major physical changes to the building, including demolishing it — as President Donald Trump has threatened.
Campaign Fundraising
Total RaisedCash on Hand
Mar 31, 2026$2M
$1.5M
$1M
$500K
$0
W. Bell
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
W. BellWesley Bell$1.90MContrib: $1.89M
$1.24MSpent: $1.10M
$73.4KLast period: $617.6K
APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026
Source: FEC
Related Races
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
MO-01 House winner?
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will Democratic win the House race for MO-01?
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 2:19 AM UTC
Will Republican win the House race for MO-01?
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 2:19 AM UTC