ME-02 House winner?
6dDonald Trump backed Paul R. LePage for the ME-02 House race, and LePage is currently at 68%.
68%
Republican
Trump Endorsed
Trump Endorsed
$28.3K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Paul R. LePage is trading at 67% to win the ME-02 House winner? on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleFormer Governor
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican
Age77 years old (Oct 9, 1948)
GenderMale
Show moreShow less
LocationMaine
BackgroundPolitician
EducationHusson University — BS, business administration
Notable personal detailsPaul Richard LePage is an American businessman and politician who served as the 74th governor of Maine from 2011 to 2019 and previously served as mayor of Waterville. He earned a BS in business administration from Husson University and an MBA from the University of Maine. He has also worked in the private sector, including as general manager of Marden’s Surplus and Salvage.
SourcesShowHide
en.wikipedia.orgnga.orgwikidata.orglepageforcongress.comtime.comhusson.edunndb.comboston.combostonglobe.comeverything.explained.todaypressherald.comfr.wikipedia.orgcentralmaine.comgoverning.comaxios.combangordailynews.comapnews.comlegislature.maine.govmaine.govpdfroom.commainepublic.orgwmtw.comcbsnews.comsunjournal.comwashingtonpost.commainedems.orgnrapvf.orgfoxnews.comfacebook.comnytimes.compbs.orgfox23maine.comgoogle.comthemainewire.comwabi.tvfoxbangor.comc-span.orgfec.govlegislation.ballotpedia.orgde.wikipedia.orgcdn.ballotpedia.orggovinfo.govdocquery.fec.govncsl.org
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
The candidate advocates significant tax cuts including reducing and ultimately eliminating the state income tax, lowering corporate tax rates, moving toward a flat income tax, and broadening consumption taxes (sales/hotel taxes) to replace lost revenue. His record as governor includes multiple income tax cuts and proposals to further shrink income-tax reliance while opposing tax increases to fund programs. He has also supported suspending pandemic-era taxes/fees and other measures to reduce tax burdens on individuals and businesses.
Healthcare
Paul R. LePage has consistently opposed expanding Medicaid and has criticized the Affordable Care Act, repeatedly vetoing Medicaid expansion proposals as governor and urging against implementation without state funding. He has characterized Medicaid expansion as fiscally irresponsible and framed Medicaid as excessive government welfare. His public record shows efforts to block or delay expansion of public health coverage in Maine.
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Immigration & Border
Supports stronger border enforcement and measures to stop illegal immigration while endorsing legal immigration pathways; has called for finishing a border wall, deploying National Guard to the southern border if requested, and opposed resettling certain refugee groups in Maine.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
Paul R. LePage opposes abortion and has said access to abortion should be restricted; he has attended anti-abortion rallies and reduced state family-planning funding while governor. He has said he would not initiate new abortion legislation but has refused to pledge to veto restrictions and has supported overturning Roe v. Wade.
Climate & Energy
Opposes aggressive climate regulation and has promoted increased fossil fuel development (including offshore drilling), vetoed renewable-energy measures, and made statements minimizing or questioning the harms of climate change. Favored lowering energy costs through market and fossil-fuel approaches while opposing new taxes or surcharges to fund renewable programs.
Public Safety & Guns
Paul R. LePage strongly supports Second Amendment rights and opposes expanded gun regulations such as universal background checks and red-flag style seizure laws, while calling for better enforcement of existing background-check systems. He has accepted NRA endorsement and vetoed or opposed legislation he viewed as insufficient on due process for removing firearms from individuals.
Latest Candidate Updates
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 30, 2026
Paul LePage is in the news because he is set to face Matt Dunlap in Maine’s 2nd Congressional District race. Dunlap won the Democratic nomination after a ranked-choice vote, making the general election matchup official for the open seat. The contest is expected to be one of Maine’s most competitive House races.
en.wikipedia.org+43
Articles
SSSpokane Spokesman-Review2 months ago
Maine Democrats pick progressive Dunlap in key House race after Golden exit
Neutral
BDBangor Daily News2 months ago
Matt Dunlap will be the Democrat facing Paul LePage in Maine’s 2nd District
Neutral
AOArkansas Online2 months ago
Primaries in Maine set Pingree, Charles to compete for governor
Neutral
PPOLITICO2 months ago
Matt Dunlap beats DCCC-backed candidate in primary for top Maine battleground
Neutral
Latest Polls
ME-02 House winner?
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Paul R. LePage currently averages 48.0%, ranking first in this race, 5.0 points ahead of the nearest opponent.
Polling average: 48.0%Position: firstMargin: +5.0 ptsLatest poll: 48.0% (Jul 11 - 16)Polls included: 4
Average recalculated from polls through Jul 11 - 16.
Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
48%
43%
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Endorsements
ME-02 House winner?
Endorsers of Paul R. LePage for ME-02 House winner?
Donald Trump
Public figure
Donald Trump endorsed Paul LePage for Maine's 2nd congressional district.
National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund
Advocacy group
National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund endorsed Paul LePage for Maine's 2nd Congressional District.
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$2.6M
$1.9M
$1.3M
$641.0K
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$2.6M
$1.7M
$878.2K
$48.8K
Source: FEC