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Which Party wins the 2026 Maine District 2 US House Election?

Nov 7, 2026, 4:59am UTC, in 127 daysLast updated: Jul 3, 2026, 3:53 PM UTC

ME-02 House winner?

$18.7K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

R. Party

68.0%

D. Party

35.0%

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OddsCurrent Odds

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Total volume

$18.7K

24h volume

R. Party68%

D. Party35%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

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November

TUE 3

Maine 2026 general election

News

AINews Summary

Matt Dunlap has secured the Democratic nomination in Maine’s 2nd Congressional District after ranked-choice counting. He will face former Gov. Paul LePage for an open seat after Jared Golden stepped down. Recent analysis also shows how close the primary was. The nomination is now set, which reduces uncertainty on the Democratic side. The open-seat race against LePage still looks highly competitive, so the market may stay tight.

Articles

PPPortland Press Herald2 days ago

In Maine, ranked-choice voting is worth the wait | Opinion

The system did what it was designed to do. It produced a winner who has broader support among the electorate.

AOArkansas Online13 days ago

Primaries in Maine set Pingree, Charles to compete for governor

PORTLAND, Maine -- Democrat Hannah Pingree and Republican Bobby Charles will compete this fall to become Maine's next governor.

SSSpokane Spokesman-Review14 days ago

Maine Democrats pick progressive Dunlap in key House race after Golden exit

Maine Democrats nominated state auditor Matthew Dunlap to run in the state’s 2nd Congressional District, a closely watched race that could help decide control of the U.S. House of Representatives in November, U.S. media projected on Friday.

TBThe Boston Globe14 days ago

Pingree and Charles will compete for Maine governor and Dunlap gets Democratic nod for US House

Pingree and Charles won their primaries Friday, after the June 9 contests advanced to ranked choice voting.

BDBangor Daily News14 days ago

Matt Dunlap will be the Democrat facing Paul LePage in Maine’s 2nd District

Dunlap overcame a first-round deficit to knock off state Sen. Joe Baldacci in a battle of Bangor-area politicians.

PPOLITICO14 days ago

Matt Dunlap beats DCCC-backed candidate in primary for top Maine battleground

The seat has become a priority target for both parties following Democratic Rep. Jared Golden’s decision not to run for reelection.

BDBangor Daily News16 days ago

Maine’s pivotal ranked-choice voting count will stretch into Thursday

“It’s a time-consuming process,” said Kate McBrien, who is administering the count in place of Secretary of State Shenna Bellows, a leading Democratic gubernatorial candidate.

NNewsweek11 days ago

Josh Turek Edges Out GOP’s Ashley Hinson in Internal Iowa Senate Poll

Democrats believe Iowa will be competitive in this year's midterm elections despite the state's increasingly conservative lean.

BDBangor Daily News7 days ago

Only 437 votes swung Maine’s biggest Democratic primaries

These races showed just how nuanced and volatile ranked-choice voting races can be.

Polls

Polling Average

60%50%40%30%20%10%0%

47.4%

44.8%

44.5%

41%

P. LePage

J. Baldacci

J. Wood

M. Dunlap

Date (Start - End)	Spread	LePage	Baldacci	Wood	Dunlap
Polling Average	LePage+2.7	47.4%	44.8%	44.5%	41.0%
Pan Atlantic ResearchMay 8 - 18	Baldacci+8.0	41.0%	49.0%	–	–
co/efficientApr 26 - 28	LePage+10.0	50.0%	40.0%	–	–
co/efficientApr 26 - 28	LePage+10.0	50.0%	–	–	40.0%
Upswing ResearchFeb 24 - 27	LePage+7.0	52.0%	–	45.0%	–
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterFeb 12 - 16	LePage+1.0	47.0%	–	–	46.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterFeb 12 - 16	LePage+4.0	48.0%	–	44.0%	–
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterFeb 12 - 16	LePage+1.0	48.0%	47.0%	–	–
Pan Atlantic ResearchNov 29 - Dec 7	LePage+1.0	44.0%	43.0%	–	–
Mellman GroupJun 4 - 10	LePage+10.0	47.0%	–	–	37.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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Which Party wins the 2026 Maine District 2 US House Election?

ME-02 House winner?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

News

In Maine, ranked-choice voting is worth the wait | Opinion

Primaries in Maine set Pingree, Charles to compete for governor

Maine Democrats pick progressive Dunlap in key House race after Golden exit

Pingree and Charles will compete for Maine governor and Dunlap gets Democratic nod for US House

Matt Dunlap will be the Democrat facing Paul LePage in Maine’s 2nd District

Matt Dunlap beats DCCC-backed candidate in primary for top Maine battleground

Maine’s pivotal ranked-choice voting count will stretch into Thursday

Josh Turek Edges Out GOP’s Ashley Hinson in Internal Iowa Senate Poll

Only 437 votes swung Maine’s biggest Democratic primaries

Polls

Related races

Maine Senate winner?

Maine Governor winner?

Maine State Senate winner?

ME-01 House winner?

Upcoming Events

News

In Maine, ranked-choice voting is worth the wait | Opinion

Primaries in Maine set Pingree, Charles to compete for governor

Maine Democrats pick progressive Dunlap in key House race after Golden exit

Pingree and Charles will compete for Maine governor and Dunlap gets Democratic nod for US House

Matt Dunlap will be the Democrat facing Paul LePage in Maine’s 2nd District

Matt Dunlap beats DCCC-backed candidate in primary for top Maine battleground

Maine’s pivotal ranked-choice voting count will stretch into Thursday

Josh Turek Edges Out GOP’s Ashley Hinson in Internal Iowa Senate Poll

Only 437 votes swung Maine’s biggest Democratic primaries

Polls

Related races

Maine Senate winner?

Maine Governor winner?

Maine State Senate winner?

ME-01 House winner?