$94.1K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 3, 2026, 3:58 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64% | 47.9% | $2.56M | |
| 37% | 46.3% | $1.21M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Matt Dunlap has secured the Democratic nomination in Maine’s 2nd Congressional District and will face Paul LePage for the open seat. With Jared Golden stepping down, the race is set up as one of Maine’s most competitive House contests. The open-seat matchup keeps this race highly competitive and likely preserves uncertainty. Dunlap’s nomination clarifies the Democratic side, but the general election remains closely contested.
Home to both Republican Sen. Susan Collins and Democratic candidate Troy Jackson, Maine's senate race has put rural Aroostook County in the spotlight.
Former Gov. Paul LePage promised in a Thursday debate that he could get President Donald Trump’s ear, voicing disagreements with the president on tariffs,
The onslaught of political ads means less airtime for Maine's bakeries, car dealerships, shops, colleges, professional services firms and others looking to get their own messages out.
Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R., S.D.) decided against sending senators home early last week to campaign, opting to keep the Senate in session to try to bolster Republicans’ legislative record.
PORTLAND, Maine -- Democrat Hannah Pingree and Republican Bobby Charles will compete this fall to become Maine's next governor.
Maine Democrats nominated state auditor Matthew Dunlap to run in the state’s 2nd Congressional District, a closely watched race that could help decide control of the U.S. House of Representatives in November, U.S. media projected on Friday.
Pingree and Charles won their primaries Friday, after the June 9 contests advanced to ranked choice voting.
Dunlap overcame a first-round deficit to knock off state Sen. Joe Baldacci in a battle of Bangor-area politicians.
The seat has become a priority target for both parties following Democratic Rep. Jared Golden’s decision not to run for reelection.
“It’s a time-consuming process,” said Kate McBrien, who is administering the count in place of Secretary of State Shenna Bellows, a leading Democratic gubernatorial candidate.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jun 4, 2025 and Sep 30, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
P. LePagePaul R. LePageM. DunlapMatthew DunlapSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
