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Minnesota Senate winner?

The selected contract has a verified final result.

  • Peggy Flanagan

    Will Democratic (DFL)s win the Senate race in Minnesota?

    Selected market

    Final: Yes

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 5:42 AM UTC

Democrat
Peggy Flanagan

Peggy Flanagan

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Minnesota

Saved odds — Minnesota Senate winner?

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

90.6%chance to win

$8.3MNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleLieutenant Governor

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age47 years old (Sep 22, 1979)

GenderFemale

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LocationMinnesota

BackgroundPolitician

EducationUniversity of Minnesota — BA (2002), child psychology and American Indian studies

Notable personal detailsPeggy Flanagan is an American politician and Ojibwe activist serving as the 50th lieutenant governor of Minnesota since 2019. A member of the White Earth Band of Ojibwe, she previously served on the Minneapolis Board of Education (2005–2009) and represented District 46A in the Minnesota House of Representatives (2015–2019). She earned a bachelor’s degree in American Indian studies and child psychology from the University of Minnesota in 2002 and has worked in nonprofit leadership and political organizing.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax relief for middle- and working-class families while backing measures to raise revenue from wealthy individuals, corporations, and health-care corporations and to close tax loopholes. Promoted expanding refundable tax credits for families (child and dependent care) alongside proposals to audit complex pass-through entities and increase certain corporate/insurer surcharges.

Healthcare

Supports Medicare for All and describes healthcare as a human right; prioritizes expanding Medicare and Medicaid benefits, banning prior authorization by insurers, and allowing Medicare/Medicaid to negotiate drug prices.

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Immigration & Border

Supports a major overhaul of the U.S. immigration system including opposition to mass deportations, significant reforms or replacement of ICE, protections for asylum access and due process, and a pathway to legal status for longtime undocumented residents while saying the border should be secure without preventing new arrivals from being welcomed.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports protecting and expanding access to abortion and reproductive health care, views abortion as a fundamental right, and has defended codifying and preserving legal access to abortion in law. Has publicly encouraged out-of-state abortion seekers to come to Minnesota and opposed efforts to enact strict abortion bans.

Climate & Energy

Supports aggressive clean-energy and climate action goals, including achieving 100% carbon-free electricity (Minnesota target by 2040), expanding wind and solar, investing in clean-energy jobs and technology (green hydrogen, sustainable aviation fuels, green steel), and opposing rollbacks of federal clean-energy investments.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate supports banning assault weapons, high-capacity magazines, and ghost guns, and calls for stronger, nationwide gun-safety laws while also supporting resources for law enforcement and investments in violence-prevention and re-entry programs. She emphasizes closing legal gaps and loopholes in the patchwork of state laws to improve public safety.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 17, 2026

Peggy Flanagan has won the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s U.S. Senate race after defeating Rep. Angie Craig in the primary. She is now the party’s nominee for the general election, where she will face Republican Michele Tafoya. Recent coverage has also focused on attacks over her past comments on a Christopher Columbus statue and on Republicans trying to make Minnesota’s welfare fraud scandal a campaign issue against her.

emsrb.mn.gov+61

Latest Polls

Minnesota Senate winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Peggy Flanagan currently averages 47.6%, ranking first in this race, 4.8 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 47.6%Position: firstMargin: +4.8 ptsLatest poll: 48.1% (Oct 28 - Nov 1)Polls included: 26

Average recalculated from polls through Oct 28 - Nov 1.

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
47.6%
42.9%
Peggy Flanagan
P. Flanagan
Michele Tafoya
M. Tafoya
Date (Start - End)SpreadFlanaganTafoya
Polling Average
Flanagan+4.8
47.6%42.9%
AtlasIntelOct 28 - Nov 1
Flanagan+2.4
48.1%45.7%
Research Co.Oct 30 - Nov 1
Flanagan+5.0
48.0%43.0%
Survey 160Oct 27 - Nov 1
Flanagan+9.0
52.0%43.0%
Survey 160Oct 27 - Nov 1
Flanagan+10.0
52.0%42.0%
InsiderAdvantageOct 29 - 30
Flanagan+2.9
49.3%46.4%
SurveyUSAOct 24 - 28
Flanagan+7.0
48.0%41.0%
The New York Times/Siena UniversityOct 19 - 26
Flanagan+14.0
54.0%40.0%
Victory InsightsOct 21 - 22
Flanagan+3.4
47.8%44.4%
Trafalgar GroupOct 13 - 15
Flanagan+3.5
48.1%44.6%
SurveyUSAOct 8 - 12
Flanagan+3.0
45.0%42.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyOct 5 - 7
Flanagan+4.0
47.0%43.0%
Morning ConsultOct 2 - 7
Flanagan+4.0
45.0%41.0%
GQROct 1 - 4
Flanagan+9.0
53.0%44.0%
GQROct 1 - 4
Flanagan+8.0
50.0%42.0%
Big Data PollSep 29 - 30
Flanagan+2.2
45.8%43.6%
InsiderAdvantageSep 28 - 29
Flanagan+1.0
46.0%45.0%
co/efficientSep 14 - 15
Flanagan+1.0
43.0%42.0%
SurveyUSASep 9 - 14
Flanagan+0.0
42.0%42.0%
Quantus InsightsSep 8 - 10
Flanagan+3.8
48.2%44.4%
TIPP InsightsAug 31 - Sep 2
Flanagan+2.0
40.0%38.0%
TIPP InsightsAug 31 - Sep 2
Flanagan+2.0
44.0%42.0%
Deep Root AnalyticsAug 17 - 18
Flanagan+5.0
50.0%45.0%
SurveyUSAAug 13 - 17
Flanagan+5.0
46.0%41.0%
Impact ResearchMay 26 - 28
Flanagan+7.0
51.0%44.0%
Emerson CollegeFeb 6 - 8
Flanagan+6.5
47.1%40.6%
Impact ResearchJul 8 - 11
Flanagan+3.0
48.0%45.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Not available in this saved edition

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  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising