NY-19 House winner?
6hPeter K Oberacker's odds are down 19.5 points and are now at 6% over a 3-day streak.

Republican candidate for U.S. House in New York

General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Peter K Oberacker is trading at 6% to win the NY-19 House winner? on prediction markets.
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleState Senator
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
Age63 years old (May 13, 1963)
GenderMale
LocationNew York
BackgroundPolitician
EducationState University of New York at Delhi (SUNY Delhi)
Notable personal detailsPeter Karl Oberacker Jr. is a Republican politician and businessman who has served in the New York State Senate representing the 51st District since taking office on 2021-01-01. He is a SUNY Delhi graduate and previously worked as a butcher, research chef, and food scientist in the meat and poultry industry. He has held local government roles in the Town of Maryland and in Otsego County, and has long volunteered with the C.H. Graham Hose Company. In 2026, he filed as a candidate for U.S. House in New York’s 19th Congressional District.
Supports lowering taxes and providing tax relief for New Yorkers, including targeted reductions for middle-class and small-business taxpayers, and advocates for spending limits and reduced regulation to improve the state business climate.
Peter K. Oberacker has focused on rural healthcare issues (workforce, opioid/addiction response) and has criticized state COVID-19 mandates and the confirmation of the state health commissioner; his public materials emphasize supporting local healthcare services and workforce development but do not present a clear position favoring major progressive or strongly conservative systemwide reforms.
Supports stronger enforcement and border security measures and has called for state and federal action to address migrant arrivals and related costs; has opposed plans to house migrants upstate and urged federal fixes to border policy.
Peter K. Oberacker has a voting record and public profile indicative of supporting restrictions on abortion access rather than expanding or codifying broad abortion rights. His record has been characterized by opponents and conservative scorekeepers as aligned with limiting reproductive access and voting against measures to expand funding or protections for abortion services.
Supports an ‘affordable, reliable’ and ‘all-of-the-above’ energy approach that emphasizes energy affordability and reliability, opposes economy-wide cap-and-invest/major new emissions taxes, and favors policies that preserve or transition fossil-fuel use alongside other sources.
Peter K. Oberacker has campaigned in support of gun rights and emphasizes backing law enforcement and local emergency services. Public materials associate him with pro-gun positions while representing a district with gun manufacturing interests. Specific endorsements of or opposition to particular policies (e.g., universal background checks, red flag laws, constitutional carry) are not clearly stated in the cited sources.
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
Peter K Oberacker's odds are down 19.5 points and are now at 6% over a 3-day streak.
Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
2026
LatestCycle 2026
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.