Prediction Edge
RepublicanTrump Endorsed
Ralph Alvarado

Ralph Alvarado

Overview

Current roleFormer State Senator

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age56 years old (Apr 30, 1970)

GenderMale

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LocationKentucky

BackgroundPhysician

EducationLoma Linda University (B.S., Biology)

Notable personal detailsRalph A. Alvarado is an American physician and Republican politician. He served in the Kentucky Senate (28th District) from 2015 to 2023 and was the Republican nominee for lieutenant governor of Kentucky in 2019. He later served as Commissioner of the Tennessee Department of Health from January 2023 to July 2025. In 2026, he became the Republican nominee for Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports cutting taxes and tax reform to grow the economy and promote business-friendly policies. Emphasizes unleashing workers and reducing tax burdens as part of his economic agenda.

Healthcare

Has supported expanding state-based insurance enrollment systems and using them to help pay for Medicaid expansion, and has focused on preserving physician‑patient relationships and healthcare finance reforms. As a physician‑lawmaker he has criticized some government mandates on practices but has proposed state‑level actions to broaden access and manage Medicaid expansion costs.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate supports securing the southern border and tougher measures to stop illegal drug flow while also endorsing expanded legal pathways such as expanded work visas and a pathway to citizenship for immigrant children not born in the U.S. He aligns with former President Trump’s America First border/security messaging while expressing support for some legalization measures for certain immigrants.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Has sponsored and supported legislation in the Kentucky legislature that restricts abortion access, including backing a 20-week ban and presenting bills that prohibit abortions for reasons such as sex, race or disability; has sponsored measures expanding legal restrictions around abortion and born‑alive protections. Positions and legislative actions indicate support for strict limits on abortion with few or no exceptions beyond protecting the mother’s life.

Climate & Energy

Ralph Alvarado’s campaign emphasizes “restoring energy independence” and aligns with a Trump-style America First agenda that prioritizes domestic energy production and economic growth. His public materials focus on supporting Kentucky industries and energy independence rather than proposing aggressive emissions cuts or Green New Deal–style policies.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports Second Amendment rights and has received high ratings/endorsements from pro-gun organizations; has backed measures to expand armed presence or loosen restrictions on guns in certain contexts such as schools. Positions indicate support for gun ownership while favoring law-enforcement and security-focused approaches rather than new restrictive gun-control measures.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Ralph Alvarado has advanced to the general election in Kentucky’s 6th congressional district after winning Donald Trump’s endorsement. He is now running to succeed Rep. Andy Barr. The recent coverage mainly focuses on his place in the GOP primary and the broader Kentucky races, with no major new details about his campaign beyond that.

fec.gov+55

Polls

KY-06 Republican nominee?
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
30.3%
13%
Ralph Alvarado
R. Alvarado
Ryan Dotson
R. Dotson
Greg Plucinski
G. Plucinski
Steve Shannon
S. Shannon
Adam Perez Arquette
A. Arquette
Date (Start - End)SpreadAlvaradoDotsonPlucinskiShannonArquette
Polling Average
Alvarado+17.3
30.3%13.0%4.7%2.0%0.7%
1892 PollingMay 4 - 7
Alvarado+23.0
38.0%15.0%8.0%3.0%1.0%
1892 PollingApr 6 - 8
Alvarado+21.0
32.0%11.0%6.0%1.0%0.0%
1892 PollingFeb 10 - 12
Alvarado+8.0
21.0%13.0%0.0%2.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

KY-06 Republican nominee?

Endorsers of Ralph Alvarado for KY-06 Republican nominee?

Donald Trump

Public figure

Donald Trump endorsed Ralph Alvarado in Kentucky's 6th District congressional race.

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U.S. Chamber of Commerce

Advocacy group

U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorsed Ralph Alvarado for Kentucky's 6th Congressional District.

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Adam Perez Arquette

Public figure

Adam Perez Arquette endorsed Ralph Alvarado after withdrawing from the Republican primary.

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Mike Johnson

Public figure

Mike Johnson endorsed Ralph Alvarado in Kentucky's 6th District congressional race.

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Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$1.5M
$1.1M
$760.9K
$380.5K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.5M
$398.0K
$1.1M
$62.4K

Source: FEC