$31.0K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket
Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 3, 2026, 7:58 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 41.4% | $1.52M | |
| 25% | 42.0% | $1.46M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Beshear’s PAC is putting $250,000 behind attack ads against Republican Ralph Alvarado in Kentucky’s 6th District. Beshear is backing Democrat Zach Dembo, while Trump is backing Alvarado. AP coverage still describes the seat as reliably Republican, though Democrats see some room to compete. The PAC spending and endorsements add attention to the race, but the district still appears to lean Republican. The news may slightly narrow confidence in the GOP, without clearly flipping the market.
By Patrick Svitek, CNN (CNN) — As the midterms near, potential 2028 presidential candidates are looking to prove their appeal in a range of House districts across the country. For Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear, it’s all about his state’s 6th Congressional District. Beshear is making an all-out push to help a former aide, Zach Dembo,
Democrats are eyeing upset midterm election wins in House districts in Nebraska, Kentucky, Nevada, Texas and SOuth Carolina.
By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
President Donald Trump and allies target Sen. Bill Cassidy and Rep. Thomas Massie in upcoming GOP primaries after Trump-backed challengers won five Indiana state Senate races.
Political campaigns and groups are spending tens of millions of dollars on ads that employ AI, often without disclosing that they’re using it.
A new Tennessee congressional map that carved up a majority Black district in Memphis is making its debut in primary elections Tuesday. Voters are picking nominees in the new 9th Congressional...
A new Tennessee congressional map that carved up a majority Black district in Memphis is making its debut in primary elections Tuesday.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Apr 24, 2026 and Sep 30, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
R. AlvaradoRalph AlvaradoZ. DemboZach DemboSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
