$19.8K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket
Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 42.0% | $1.52M | |
| 21% | 41.0% | $1.46M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Trump is backing Ed Gallrein in Kentucky's 6th District Republican primary, and AP coverage says Thomas Massie lost the GOP nomination. The race is being watched as a test of Trump’s influence over Republican voters. The party-control outlook appears to remain Republican, but the nominee picture has shifted. The news points to a stronger Republican hold on the seat if the GOP nominee changes but the district stays in Republican hands. It mainly affects which Republican wins the seat, not the party outcome.
By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
President Donald Trump and allies target Sen. Bill Cassidy and Rep. Thomas Massie in upcoming GOP primaries after Trump-backed challengers won five Indiana state Senate races.
A new Tennessee congressional map that carved up a majority Black district in Memphis is making its debut in primary elections Tuesday. Voters are picking nominees in the new 9th Congressional...
A new Tennessee congressional map that carved up a majority Black district in Memphis is making its debut in primary elections Tuesday.
Democrats gathering this weekend in South Carolina are likely to be jubilant after the failure of a GOP-led effort to redraw House districts
Here are takeaways from primaries in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.
President Donald Trump has scored another win against a Republican rival, purging Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky’s primary and knocking out one of his most outspoken critics on Capitol Hill. Massie has been a particularly difficult thorn in Trump’s side. He pushed for the release of the Jeffrey Epstein files, opposed the war with Iran and voted against Trump’s signature tax legislation last year. He lost Tuesday to Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein following the most expensive U.S. House primary in history. He had tried to convince Republicans that they could support both himself and Trump at the same time, a proposition that has been tried unsuccessfully in other races around the country.
By The Associated Press There are primary elections Tuesday in Kentucky, Alabama, Georgia, Oregon, Idaho and Pennsylvania. These contests will be a further test of President Donald Trump’s grip on Republican voters. When can we expect to see vote results tonight Kentucky will release the first results of the night. In the 2024 primaries, the […]
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Apr 24, 2026 and Jul 30, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
R. AlvaradoRalph AlvaradoZ. DemboZach DemboSource: FEC
