$6.4K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
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$6.4K
24h volume
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source: Kalshi
Fresh coverage says Trump has backed Ralph Alvarado in the crowded Kentucky 6th District Republican primary, adding a notable late signal in an open-seat race where the GOP remains favored but the nominee battle is still fluid.
Republican Party's odds in "KY-06 House winner?" are now 74%, below the prior low of 81% over the last 60 days.
Recent coverage says Kentucky’s federal races are expected to remain solidly Republican, with GOP primaries likely deciding the winners. The reporting does not mention a specific new development in the 6th Congressional District race. The latest coverage reinforces a Republican lean for the seat, with primaries likely more important than the general election. It does not add new evidence of a shift in the 6th District race.
President Donald Trump and allies target Sen. Bill Cassidy and Rep. Thomas Massie in upcoming GOP primaries after Trump-backed challengers won five Indiana state Senate races.
Six states are holding primaries May 19 that could help to decide the balance of power in Congress and in key state governments.
What to watch for in Kentucky as Bluegrass State voters head to the polls for Senate, House, and state legislative elections.
Paul has increasingly cast himself as a counterweight to Trump-style populism, arguing the GOP needs to rebuild a “free-market wing."
Jon Allsop on why a Republican congressional race in Kentucky has become the most expensive House primary of all time.
WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump said Monday he will move to suspend the federal tax on gasoline to help Americans shoulder surging fuel prices caused…
Republican Senate candidates are vocal about rooting out their incumbent opponents but withhold criticism when it comes to the chamber's GOP leader.
Rep. Thomas Massie made a mockery of his primary challenger Ed Gallrein for sharing the "polished" message on the campaign trail.
Republicans who brazenly crossed President Trump are looking over their shoulders after six out of seven state senators who resisted his redistricting push in Indiana have already been knocked off.
State House Rep. Kim Banta is running for reelection against two Republican incumbents.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
