$21.4K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 7, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73% | 42.5% | $1.52M | |
| 29% | 42.0% | $1.46M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AP now says Republicans win Kentucky's 6th Congressional District. The seat was open after Andy Barr ran for the Senate, and the district was still described as reliably Republican. Democrats cited Beshear’s 2023 performance there as a possible opening. The latest reporting favors Republicans and likely reinforces GOP odds in the market. The district is still described as solidly Republican, though Democrats see some room to compete.
Democrats are eyeing upset midterm election wins in House districts in Nebraska, Kentucky, Nevada, Texas and SOuth Carolina.
By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
President Donald Trump and allies target Sen. Bill Cassidy and Rep. Thomas Massie in upcoming GOP primaries after Trump-backed challengers won five Indiana state Senate races.
A new Tennessee congressional map that carved up a majority Black district in Memphis is making its debut in primary elections Tuesday. Voters are picking nominees in the new 9th Congressional...
A new Tennessee congressional map that carved up a majority Black district in Memphis is making its debut in primary elections Tuesday.
Democrats gathering this weekend in South Carolina are likely to be jubilant after the failure of a GOP-led effort to redraw House districts
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Apr 24, 2026 and Aug 23, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
R. AlvaradoRalph AlvaradoZ. DemboZach DemboSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
