Prediction Edge
Republican
Ralph Alvarado

Ralph Alvarado

Overview

Current roleFormer State Senator

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age56 years old (Apr 30, 1970)

GenderMale

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LocationKentucky

BackgroundPhysician (internal medicine)

EducationLoma Linda University — B.S. Biology (1990)

Notable personal detailsRalph A. Alvarado is an American physician and Republican politician running for U.S. House in Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District. He represented Kentucky’s 28th Senate District from 2015 to 2023 and was the Republican nominee for lieutenant governor of Kentucky in 2019. He later served as Commissioner of the Tennessee Department of Health from January 16, 2023 to July 11, 2025. He earned a B.S. in Biology and an M.D. from Loma Linda University and completed an internal medicine residency at the University of Kentucky.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports cutting taxes and tax reform to grow the economy and promote business-friendly policies. Emphasizes unleashing workers and reducing tax burdens as part of his economic agenda.

Healthcare

Has supported expanding state-based insurance enrollment systems and using them to help pay for Medicaid expansion, and has focused on preserving physician‑patient relationships and healthcare finance reforms. As a physician‑lawmaker he has criticized some government mandates on practices but has proposed state‑level actions to broaden access and manage Medicaid expansion costs.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate supports securing the southern border and tougher measures to stop illegal drug flow while also endorsing expanded legal pathways such as expanded work visas and a pathway to citizenship for immigrant children not born in the U.S. He aligns with former President Trump’s America First border/security messaging while expressing support for some legalization measures for certain immigrants.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Has sponsored and supported legislation in the Kentucky legislature that restricts abortion access, including backing a 20-week ban and presenting bills that prohibit abortions for reasons such as sex, race or disability; has sponsored measures expanding legal restrictions around abortion and born‑alive protections. Positions and legislative actions indicate support for strict limits on abortion with few or no exceptions beyond protecting the mother’s life.

Climate & Energy

Ralph Alvarado’s campaign emphasizes “restoring energy independence” and aligns with a Trump-style America First agenda that prioritizes domestic energy production and economic growth. His public materials focus on supporting Kentucky industries and energy independence rather than proposing aggressive emissions cuts or Green New Deal–style policies.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports Second Amendment rights and has received high ratings/endorsements from pro-gun organizations; has backed measures to expand armed presence or loosen restrictions on guns in certain contexts such as schools. Positions indicate support for gun ownership while favoring law-enforcement and security-focused approaches rather than new restrictive gun-control measures.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedMay 19, 2026

Ralph Alvarado is in the news because Kentucky’s 2026 primary races are heating up, including a competitive Republican contest for an open U.S. Senate seat. The latest coverage says GOP primaries are likely to decide the eventual winner in November, with Kentucky’s federal races expected to stay solidly Republican. Broader primary elections in several states are also shaping the 2026 Senate landscape.

fec.gov+30

Polls

KY-06 Republican nominee?
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
30.3%
13%
Ralph Alvarado
R. Alvarado
Ryan Dotson
R. Dotson
Greg Plucinski
G. Plucinski
Steve Shannon
S. Shannon
Adam Perez Arquette
A. Arquette
Date (Start - End)SpreadAlvaradoDotsonPlucinskiShannonArquette
Polling Average
Alvarado+17.3
30.3%13.0%4.7%2.0%0.7%
1892 PollingMay 4 - 7
Alvarado+23.0
38.0%15.0%8.0%3.0%1.0%
1892 PollingApr 6 - 8
Alvarado+21.0
32.0%11.0%6.0%1.0%0.0%
1892 PollingFeb 10 - 12
Alvarado+8.0
21.0%13.0%0.0%2.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$1.2M
$881.4K
$587.6K
$293.8K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.2M
$455.2K
$720.0K
$45.0K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements