$17.3K
MAY 20, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Donald Trump backed Ralph Alvarado for the "KY-06 Republican nominee?" contest, and Alvarado is currently at 92%.
Donald Trump backed Ralph Alvarado in the "KY-06 Republican nominee?" race, and Alvarado is currently at 92%.
Adam Perez Arquette has raised $4,990,948 this cycle, but Ralph Alvarado holds the lead in the latest odds for the Kentucky-06 Republican nomination.
Recent coverage says Kentucky’s 2026 primaries are shaping up to be competitive, and GOP primaries are likely to decide the eventual winners. The reporting does not give any new KY-06 nomination result. Overall, it points to a race still being driven by the primary rather than the general election. The news mostly reinforces that the Republican nomination should matter a lot in KY-06, but it does not provide any new result or clear shift in the race. Market uncertainty remains high.
Six states are holding primaries May 19 that could help to decide the balance of power in Congress and in key state governments.
What to watch for in Kentucky as Bluegrass State voters head to the polls for Senate, House, and state legislative elections.
Jon Allsop on why a Republican congressional race in Kentucky has become the most expensive House primary of all time.
A viral post shows a Kentucky mom who voted for Trump three times switching parties after protests and policy concerns, amid signs some voters are abandoning him.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
A. ArquetteAdam Perez ArquetteR. AlvaradoRalph AlvaradoG. PlucinskiGreg PlucinskiR. DotsonRyan DotsonSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
