Prediction Edge

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Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

CA-22 House winner?

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  • Randy Villegas

    Will Democratic win the House race for CA-22?

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Democrat
Randy Villegas

Randy Villegas

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in California

Saved odds — CA-22 House winner?

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

91.1%chance to win

$291.9KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleSchool Board Member

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

LocationCalifornia

BackgroundPolitical science professor

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EducationCommunity college (institution not specified)

Notable personal detailsRandy Villegas is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in California’s 22nd Congressional District (2026 cycle). He serves on the Visalia Unified School District Board of Education and is a political science professor at the College of the Sequoias. He was appointed to the school board in December 2021 and later elected to continue serving.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Randy Villegas supports policies oriented toward working families and opposes tax cuts for billionaires and corporate interests while prioritizing expanded social programs such as healthcare access. His campaign frames economic policy as protecting working-class residents of the Central Valley and opposing corporate influence in Washington.

Healthcare

Supports Medicare for All and expansion of public programs (Medicaid/Medi‑Cal); opposes cuts to Medicaid and advocates for broader access to affordable health care. Emphasizes health care justice and addressing medical debt and access barriers in the Central Valley.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate criticizes aggressive ICE enforcement and law‑enforcement tactics and positions himself as a defender of immigrant families and communities. He emphasizes support for immigrant households and has criticized local/national immigration raids and ICE operations.

Climate & Energy

Supports proactive climate action and holding polluters accountable, backing clean-energy and conservation priorities while running as a progressive Democrat. Endorsed by progressive environmental and caucus groups indicating alignment with moderate-to-bold climate investment and protections.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Randy Villegas has advanced from the California 22nd Congressional District Democratic primary and is set to face Republican incumbent David Valadao in the November general election. The race is being watched as a competitive toss-up House contest in a newly redrawn district. His campaign also drew scrutiny after reports about his role on a school board that approved confidential sex-abuse settlements.

fec.gov+55

Latest Polls

CA-22 House winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Randy Villegas currently averages 51.0%, ranking first in this race, 7.0 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 51.0%Position: firstMargin: +7.0 ptsLatest poll: 54.0% (Oct 22 - 28)Polls included: 2

Average recalculated from polls through Oct 22 - 28.

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
51%
44%
Randy Villegas
R. Villegas
David Valadao
D. Valadao
Date (Start - End)SpreadVillegasValadao
Polling Average
Villegas+7.0
51.0%44.0%
University of Southern California Democracy and Fair Elections Lab/University of Southern California Dornsife Center for Economic and Social ResearchOct 22 - 28
Villegas+10.0
54.0%44.0%
Tulchin ResearchJun 15 - 21
Villegas+4.0
48.0%44.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.6M
$2.0M
$1.3M
$661.4K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$2.6M
$571.8K
$2.1M
$115.2K

Source: FEC

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  • Endorsements