$154.1K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 24, 2026, 1:28 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 91% | $2.65M | |
| 11% | $4.93M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Randy Villegas has secured the Democratic nomination, setting up a general-election challenge to Republican Rep. David Valadao. Recent reporting says the redrawn district remains competitive and was designed to help Democrats. Valadao is still seen as vulnerable, though he retains some structural advantages. The race still looks competitive, with the redrawn map and Democratic nominee helping keep pressure on Valadao. The latest news slightly supports Democrats, but the overall outlook remains uncertain.
Voters across the country will decide which party controls the House as a handful of closely watched races shape the 2026 midterm elections.
The Times is tracking results for the dozens of races that were still uncalled days after the election.
Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.
With gas prices high and an unpopular war dragging on, President Trump’s approval has slipped with California Republicans, a poll shows
Victory for Villegas is a triumph for progressives.
Democrats have high hopes in the five districts redrawn last year under Proposition 50. But they haven't had it all their own way.
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee this week put Jasmeet Bains, a state legislator, on its "Red to Blue" list.
One year after passing the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, it no longer seems like the easy win for Republicans to run on in November.
Gov. Gavin Newsom scored a three-point political play last year when the Legislature and voters approved a mid-decade reconfiguration of the state’s 52 congressional districts. The gerrymander aimed to shift […]
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jun 15, 2026 and Jun 21, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
D. ValadaoDavid ValadaoR. VillegasRandy VillegasSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
