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Which Party wins the 2026 California District 22 US House Election?

Nov 7, 2026, 6:59am GMT+2, in 172 daysLast updated: May 19, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC

CA-22 House winner?

$17.8K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

D. Party

68.0%

R. Party

37.0%

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$17.8K

24h volume

D. Party68%

R. Party37%

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source: Kalshi

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Latest Insights

Republican Party

5%24H37%

Republican Party's odds in "CA-22 House winner?" are now 37%, topping the previous high of 32%.

11d

News

AINews Summary

Democrats are stepping up their effort in CA-22, with the DCCC putting Jasmeet Bains on its Red to Blue list. The seat is still held by Republican David Valadao, who is running again and reportedly has a large cash advantage. Randy Villegas is also under scrutiny over confidential school district settlements, which could complicate the Democratic side. The DCCC move suggests Democrats see a path to competitiveness, but Valadao’s cash edge still favors Republicans. The Villegas scrutiny could add uncertainty for Democrats if he remains a key contender.

Articles

SSFGATE12 days ago

Dueling Calif. Democrats battle to unseat longtime GOP incumbent

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee this week put Jasmeet Bains, a state legislator, on its "Red to Blue" list.

NNewsBreak2 months ago

Democratic doctors run for Congress to challenge Trump, RFK Jr.

Soon after Congress voted to cut Medicaid and food assistance for millions of people in the Republican tax and spending bill last summer, Dr. Thomas Fisher

NNewsweek1 month ago

Republicans Risk Losing 34 Seats Where Gas Prices Are Rising

Democrats consider dozens of seats "in play" this November, and aim to leverage the domestic fallout from Trump's war in Iran.

FNFox News7 days ago

Dem running on accountability tied to board settlements in child sex-abuse cases

Democrat House candidate Randy Villegas ran for school board on transparency but approved secret sex-abuse settlements totaling nearly $14.4 million as a Visalia school board member, records show.

CNCable News Network15 days ago

House Democrats’ campaign arm takes sides in contentious primaries key to winning midterms

The House Democratic campaign arm on Monday inflamed ongoing tensions over the influence of party leadership by taking sides in several competitive primaries for battleground House seats.

NDNaples Daily News22 days ago

DeSantis targets 4 Democrat-held congressional seats

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis is asking lawmakers to pass a redistricting plan that would give Republicans a better chance to pick up four House seats.

CNCable News Network16 days ago

What six upcoming House primaries will reveal about Donald Trump and Democrats

President Donald Trump’s political power will be put to a high-profile test in Kentucky, where he’s targeted Rep. Thomas Massie, and a crowded primary in Montana. And Democrats are facing off in crowded primaries in Pennsylvania, Nebraska and California, with opposing visions of the party’s future and who is most likely to flip Republican-held districts.

TOThe Oregonian21 days ago

More than 80 Oregon Republicans seek nominations in May legislative primaries

GOP strategists hope their party will flip several House and Senate seats later this year.

Polls

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

42%

D. Valadao

J. Bains

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Valadao	Bains
Polling Average	Valadao+0.0	42.0%	42.0%
Public Policy PollingAug 6 - 8	Valadao+0.0	42.0%	42.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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Which Party wins the 2026 California District 22 US House Election?

CA-22 House winner?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Republican Party

News

Dueling Calif. Democrats battle to unseat longtime GOP incumbent

Democratic doctors run for Congress to challenge Trump, RFK Jr.

Republicans Risk Losing 34 Seats Where Gas Prices Are Rising

Dem running on accountability tied to board settlements in child sex-abuse cases

House Democrats’ campaign arm takes sides in contentious primaries key to winning midterms

DeSantis targets 4 Democrat-held congressional seats

What six upcoming House primaries will reveal about Donald Trump and Democrats

More than 80 Oregon Republicans seek nominations in May legislative primaries

Polls

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Republican Party

News

Dueling Calif. Democrats battle to unseat longtime GOP incumbent

Democratic doctors run for Congress to challenge Trump, RFK Jr.

Republicans Risk Losing 34 Seats Where Gas Prices Are Rising

Dem running on accountability tied to board settlements in child sex-abuse cases

House Democrats’ campaign arm takes sides in contentious primaries key to winning midterms

DeSantis targets 4 Democrat-held congressional seats

What six upcoming House primaries will reveal about Donald Trump and Democrats

More than 80 Oregon Republicans seek nominations in May legislative primaries

Polls

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California Governor winner? (Party)

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