Prediction Edge
Democrat
Raymond Smith Jr.

Raymond Smith Jr.

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in North Carolina

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Raymond Smith Jr. is trading at 97% to win the NC-03 Democratic nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer State Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

Age64 years old (Oct 15, 1961)

GenderMale

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LocationNorth Carolina

BackgroundPolitician

EducationNorth Carolina Agricultural and Technical State University (BA)

Notable personal detailsRaymond Edward Smith Jr. is a North Carolina Democrat and former member of the North Carolina House of Representatives, representing the 21st district from 2019 to 2023. He is a candidate for U.S. House in North Carolina’s 3rd Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. He has served in the U.S. Army and has worked in local and state government and in education-related public service.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Raymond Smith Jr. emphasizes affordability for working families, supports measures to raise pay for school employees, and has sponsored legislation expanding healthcare access and funding priorities that align with progressive economic policies. His campaign materials prioritize lowering costs for families, investing in education, and economic opportunity for Eastern North Carolina. Specific public statements or bills seeking higher taxes on upper-income households or corporate tax increases were not found in the reviewed sources.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to healthcare in rural communities and prioritizes quality, affordable care for working families, seniors, and veterans. Has a legislative background on health-related appropriations and says he led efforts to expand rural health access while in the North Carolina General Assembly.

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Climate & Energy

Supports attracting renewable energy industries and infrastructure investments and has received favorable climate policy ratings, indicating support for moderate clean-energy policies and climate action while allowing transitional approaches.

Latest Polls

NC-03 House winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Tulchin Research
50%40%30%20%10%0%
41%
44%
Raymond Smith Jr.
R. Smith
Greg Murphy
G. Murphy
Date (Start - End)SpreadSmithMurphy
Tulchin ResearchJul 27 - Aug 2
Murphy+3.0
41.0%44.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$223.1K
$167.3K
$111.6K
$55.8K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$223.1K
$73.7K
$137.5K
$7.6K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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