NJ-07 House winner?
1dRebecca Bennett's odds are now 62%, below the previous low of 71%.

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in New Jersey
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Rebecca Bennett is trading at 74% to win the NJ-07 House winner? on prediction markets.
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Navy helicopter pilot (veteran)
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyModerate Democrat
GenderFemale
LocationNew Jersey
BackgroundU.S. Navy helicopter pilot (veteran)
EducationUniversity of Pennsylvania, The Wharton School — M.B.A. (with honors)
Notable personal detailsRebecca Bennett is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in New Jersey’s 7th Congressional District and won the Democratic primary on June 2, 2026. She is a former U.S. Navy helicopter pilot and aircraft commander and has also served as an officer in the Air National Guard. Bennett has worked in the private sector as a healthcare business leader and earned an M.B.A., with honors, from the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School.
Supports targeted tax relief for New Jersey residents (including fully restoring the SALT deduction) and increased public investment in jobs training, clean energy, and healthcare funding rather than broad tax cuts. Emphasizes restoring Medicaid and Medicare funding reduced by Republican legislation and using federal investment to lower costs for families and grow high-tech and clean-energy sectors.
Supports protecting people with pre-existing conditions, opposing cuts to Medicaid and Medicare, and increasing access to affordable care while lowering healthcare costs.
The candidate supports working with lawmakers on bipartisan solutions to immigration reform but provides no detailed policy proposals on border enforcement, asylum, or pathways to legal status. Public materials emphasize finding commonsense, bipartisan approaches rather than specific positions on enforcement or regularization.
Supports restoring a woman’s right to choose at the federal level and protecting New Jersey women’s reproductive rights and health from infringement; describes herself as pro-choice and opposes parental notification laws for minors.
Supports investing in renewable and domestic clean energy, maintaining environmental regulations, incentivizing solar and electric vehicles, upgrading the power grid, and funding climate-resilient infrastructure to lower costs and protect New Jersey from extreme weather.
Supports commonsense gun safety reforms including removing military-style “weapons of war” from civilian streets, measures to keep firearms out of the hands of people who shouldn’t have them, restoring federal gun-violence research, and restrictions like reimplementing the tax on silencers. Also expresses support for resourcing law enforcement while building community trust.
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
Rebecca Bennett's odds are now 62%, below the previous low of 71%.
Democrat Rebecca Bennett’s House win price jumped sharply in the last hour while Tom Kean Jr.’s fell, lifting Bennett to the clear market favorite in NJ-07. The move is trader-relevant because it meaningfully reprices a toss-up seat after fresh coverage has kept Kean’s absence and return in view.
Rebecca Bennett has won the Democratic nomination in New Jersey’s 7th Congressional District and will face Republican Rep. Tom Kean Jr. in the general election. The race is being described as a toss-up and a key battleground seat, with Democrats trying to flip the district. Recent coverage says Bennett is targeting Kean’s record while cost-of-living concerns and voter frustration could shape the contest.
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.


Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
2026
LatestCycle 2026
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.