Prediction Edge
Democrat
Rebecca Cooke

Rebecca Cooke

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Wisconsin

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Rebecca Cooke is trading at 71% to win the WI-03 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleNonprofit founder

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age38 years old (Dec 21, 1987)

GenderFemale

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LocationWisconsin

BackgroundNonprofit founder

EducationUniversity of St. Thomas (B.A.)

Notable personal detailsRebecca Cooke is a Democratic political candidate from Eau Claire, Wisconsin who has run for the U.S. House in Wisconsin’s 3rd Congressional District. She founded the Red Letter Grant nonprofit and previously owned Red’s Mercantile, a retail store in Eau Claire. She served on the Wisconsin Economic Development Corporation board after being appointed by Governor Tony Evers, including serving as board secretary.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports middle-class tax relief while ensuring the wealthiest pay a fairer share; emphasizes building an economy for working families and strengthening the working class and unions.

Healthcare

The candidate supports expanding government healthcare programs to increase access and affordability, including expanding Medicare benefits (vision, dental, hearing) and lowering Medicare eligibility age, strengthening Medicare drug price negotiation, and expanding marketplace tax credits under the Affordable Care Act. The campaign also prioritizes protecting reproductive healthcare access and preserving federally funded Planned Parenthood.

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Immigration & Border

Supports protections for immigrants brought to the U.S. as children (DACA/American Dream and Promise Act) while also saying border security should be addressed, including support for more Border Patrol agents as part of broader immigration reform. Her campaign site does not list immigration as a top priority.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports upholding Roe v. Wade, federal funding for Planned Parenthood and family planning, and ending the Hyde Amendment; advocates protecting reproductive healthcare and codifying abortion rights at the federal level.

Climate & Energy

Supports investment in clean energy (wind, solar, hydro) and federal funding for green energy projects, endorses research into small modular nuclear power for grid reliability, and prioritizes water quality and PFAS remediation. Emphasizes working with farmers on runoff and building new clean infrastructure with union labor.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports commonsense gun safety reforms including universal background checks, closing the ‘Charleston loophole,’ and enacting/enforcing red flag laws while saying she does not seek to confiscate firearms from lawful owners. Endorsed by the gun-safety group Giffords and describes respecting hunting and sport shooting traditions alongside these policy proposals.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 15, 2026

Rebecca Cooke won the Democratic primary in Wisconsin’s 3rd Congressional District and will face Republican Rep. Derrick Van Orden in the general election. The race is being watched as a competitive rematch after Cooke lost to Van Orden in 2024 by less than 3 percentage points. Cooke is running as a moderate Democrat and has been campaigning on rural and working-class issues, including labor and economic concerns.

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Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Rebecca Cooke currently averages 48.3%, ranking first in this race, 2.8 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 48.3%Position: firstMargin: +2.8 ptsLatest poll: 50.0% (Jun 20 - 25)Polls included: 4

Average recalculated from polls through Jun 20 - 25.

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
48.3%
45.5%
Rebecca Cooke
R. Cooke
Derrick Van Orden
D. Orden
Date (Start - End)SpreadCookeOrden
Polling Average
Cooke+2.8
48.3%45.5%
FM3 ResearchJun 20 - 25
Cooke+4.0
50.0%46.0%
Impact ResearchMay 26 - 31
Cooke+4.0
50.0%46.0%
Impact ResearchFeb 12 - 17
Cooke+1.0
49.0%48.0%
Public Policy PollingOct 14 - 15
Cooke+2.0
44.0%42.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

14
WI-03 Democratic nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$8.6M
$6.5M
$4.3M
$2.2M
$0

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2024

$6.4M
$10.1K
$6.3M
$264.5K

Cycle 2026

$8.6M
$1.8M
$6.8M
$357.1K

Source: FEC