Prediction Edge
RepublicanTrump Endorsed
Rhett Marques

Rhett Marques

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Alabama

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Rhett Marques is trading at 74% to win the AL-02 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleState Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

Age53 years old (Dec 3, 1972)

GenderMale

Show more

LocationAlabama

BackgroundBusinessman

EducationUniversity of Alabama — B.S., Marketing (1994)

Notable personal detailsRhett Marques is an American politician and businessman who has served as a Republican member of the Alabama House of Representatives (District 91) since 2018. He is a University of Alabama graduate and has worked as a small business owner in the automotive services industry. He has run for U.S. House in Alabama, including campaigns connected to the 2026 cycle amid redistricting-related special election activity.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports cutting state taxes (including reductions to the grocery sales tax and elimination of sales tax on diapers and baby supplies) and has promoted tax relief packages for seniors; positions emphasize tax cuts and economic relief for families and small businesses and a commitment to advance President Trump’s pro-tax-cut agenda in Congress.

Healthcare

Supports conservative health policies focused on limiting taxpayer funding for abortion providers and advancing pro-life measures; emphasizes investments in rural healthcare infrastructure and broadband to support access. No campaign materials or voting record indicate support for single-payer or large public expansions of coverage.

Show more

Immigration & Border

Supports strong enforcement and border security measures, including detaining and deporting unauthorized migrants, opposing ‘‘catch and release,’’ and keeping criminal undocumented immigrants out of communities. Frames current immigration flows as a threat to sovereignty, wages, and public safety and endorses continuing expanded enforcement funding and policies.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate describes himself as unapologetically pro-life, says he voted for what he calls the strongest pro-life law in the country, and supports blocking federal funding for abortion providers and Planned Parenthood. He pledges to oppose taxpayer funding for abortions and to promote adoption reform and protections for unborn life.

Climate & Energy

The candidate emphasizes responsible conservation of natural resources while prioritizing coastal and agricultural economic interests and support for industries like commercial fishing and manufacturing. The campaign highlights making life affordable and backing pro-business, pro-energy industry policies; the candidate has accepted endorsements from petroleum and convenience marketers. The overall emphasis is on supporting energy-related businesses and economic development rather than aggressive emissions mandates or Green New Deal–style policies.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate expresses firm support for the Second Amendment, opposes efforts to weaken it, and endorses expanded gun rights including constitutional carry and statewide reciprocity while emphasizing support for law enforcement and cracking down on violent offenders.

Latest Candidate Updates

Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.

AL-02 House winner?

3d

Donald Trump backed Rhett Marques, and Marques is currently at 76% in "AL-02 House winner?"

76%

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 12, 2026

Rhett Marques has won the Republican primary in Alabama’s newly drawn 2nd Congressional District, according to the Associated Press. He was backed by Donald Trump, and the new map is expected to make the district more favorable to Republicans. The race is part of Alabama’s redistricting-driven special elections ahead of the 2026 midterms.

fec.gov+45

Latest Polls

AL-01 Republican nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Rhett Marques currently averages 13.5%, ranking second in this race, 14.5 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 13.5%Position: secondMargin: -14.5 ptsLatest poll: 22.0% (Apr 20 - 22)Polls included: 6

Average recalculated from polls through Apr 20 - 22.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
13.5%
28.0%
5.6%
Rhett Marques
R. Marques
Jerry Carl
J. Carl
Joshua McKee
J. McKee
Austin Sidwell
A. Sidwell
James Dees
J. Dees
James Richardson
J. Richardson
John Mills
J. Mills
Date (Start - End)SpreadMarquesCarlMcKeeSidwellDeesRichardsonMills
Polling Average
Carl+14.5
13.5%28.0%5.6%2.5%1.5%0.5%0.5%
PI PollingApr 20 - 22
Marques+2.0
22.0%20.0%6.0%4.0%1.0%1.0%0.0%
PI PollingMar 31 - Apr 2
Carl+4.0
19.0%23.0%
The Alabama PollMar 5 - 8
Carl+9.0
19.0%28.0%9.0%
AM Research GroupJan 31 - Feb 2
Carl+36.0
7.0%43.0%2.0%1.0%2.0%0.0%1.0%
The Alabama PollJan 23 - 23
Carl+16.0
9.2%25.2%8.8%
CygnalAug 21 - 22
Carl+24.0
5.0%29.0%2.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

19
AL-01 Republican nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.3M
$988.9K
$659.3K
$329.6K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.3M
$187.7K
$1.1M
$59.5K

Source: FEC