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2026 Alabama House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Alabama House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Election Day: Nov 3, 2026Market closes: Nov 6, 11:59pm ET (Nov 7, 4:59am UTC)

AL-02 House winner?

$72.1K

NOV 3, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

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Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated Aug 18, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Funds raised
Rhett Marques	76%	$1.32M
Shomari Figures	26%	$1.36M

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 18, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$72.1K

24h volume

R. Marques76%

S. Figures26%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Alabama 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Race Updates

Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.

AL-02 House winner?

Donald Trump backed Rhett Marques, and Marques is currently at 76% in "AL-02 House winner?"

76%

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Alabama will use a more Republican-friendly map for the 2026 House race in AL-02 after the Supreme Court ruling. Rep. Shomari Figures says he will run again, but the redraw could make the district tougher for Democrats. The delayed primary schedule keeps the race unsettled for now. The new map likely improves Republican chances in AL-02 and adds pressure on the Democratic incumbent. It also keeps uncertainty elevated until the delayed primary and general-election field is set.

Articles

SSFGATE8 days ago

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Minnesota’s state primary

Minnesota Democrats will decide a competitive U.S. Senate primary Tuesday in another face-off between moderate and progressive candidates that could define the party’s identity heading into the...

AAL.com8 days ago

Shomari Figures on 5 key issues: Social Security, school choice, data centers

Republicans will choose their nominee for the 2nd Congressional District, who will face Figures in November, in a special primary Aug. 11.

TAThe Associated Press3 months ago

Moore and Hudson advance to runoff in Alabama's GOP Senate race

US Rep. Barry Moore and former Navy SEAL Jared Hudson have advanced to a runoff for the Republican nomination for the open U.S. Senate seat in Alabama.

CNCBS News7 days ago

Trump-backed candidate wins crowded GOP primary in Alabama's newly drawn 2nd District, AP projects

Rhett Marques will take on Democratic Rep. Shomari Figures in the newly drawn district that's more favorable to Republicans.

PNPBS News7 days ago

Alabama Republicans to pick nominee to challenge Democratic Rep. Figures in redrawn district

Six Republicans are competing in a special primary election Tuesday to challenge Democratic Rep. Shomari Figures in November. The district's Black voting age population dropped from 48% to 40%, making it more favorable for Republicans.

TAThe Associated Press7 days ago

Republicans pick nominee for redrawn Alabama US House district

Republicans are aiming to flip Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District, which was redrawn after a U.S. Supreme Court decision this year weakened the Voting Rights Act.

WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit8 days ago

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Alabama’s special congressional primaries

Voters in four of Alabama’s seven congressional districts will select U.S. House nominees Tuesday under a new map that eliminates one of the state’s two majority-Black districts currently represented by Democrats.

AOArkansas Online2 months ago

Trump endorsee wins Republican runoff for Alabama US Senate seat

MONTGOMERY, Ala. -- U.S. Rep. Barry Moore won the Republican runoff Tuesday for Alabama's open U.S. Senate seat, advancing to the fall election with the help of President Donald Trump's endorsement.

SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press3 months ago

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]

SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press4 months ago

Redistricting is rampant ahead of midterms. These states are acting

A partisan redistricting battle among states has accelerated ahead of the midterm elections. This comes after a U.S. Supreme Court ruling that weakened the federal Voting Rights Act and opened the way for states to eliminate voting districts drawn for racial minorities.

Campaign Fundraising

Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Jul 22, 2026

$2M

$1.5M

$1M

$500K

S. Figures

R. Marques

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

S. FiguresShomari Figures

$1.36MContrib: $1.32M

$662.6KSpent: $716.3K

$37.7KLast period: $58.7K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 22, 2026

R. MarquesRhett Marques

$1.32MContrib: $1.32M

$187.7KSpent: $1.13M

$59.5KLast period: $18.5K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 22, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Polls

2026 Alabama House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

AL-02 House winner?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

AL-02 House winner?

Latest Election News

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Minnesota’s state primary

Shomari Figures on 5 key issues: Social Security, school choice, data centers

Moore and Hudson advance to runoff in Alabama's GOP Senate race

Trump-backed candidate wins crowded GOP primary in Alabama's newly drawn 2nd District, AP projects

Alabama Republicans to pick nominee to challenge Democratic Rep. Figures in redrawn district

Republicans pick nominee for redrawn Alabama US House district

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Alabama’s special congressional primaries

Trump endorsee wins Republican runoff for Alabama US Senate seat

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

Redistricting is rampant ahead of midterms. These states are acting

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

AL-02 House winner?

Latest Election News

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Minnesota’s state primary

Shomari Figures on 5 key issues: Social Security, school choice, data centers

Moore and Hudson advance to runoff in Alabama's GOP Senate race

Trump-backed candidate wins crowded GOP primary in Alabama's newly drawn 2nd District, AP projects

Alabama Republicans to pick nominee to challenge Democratic Rep. Figures in redrawn district

Republicans pick nominee for redrawn Alabama US House district

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Alabama’s special congressional primaries

Trump endorsee wins Republican runoff for Alabama US Senate seat

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

Redistricting is rampant ahead of midterms. These states are acting

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

2026 Alabama House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

AL-02 House winner?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

AL-02 House winner?

Latest Election News

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Minnesota’s state primary

Shomari Figures on 5 key issues: Social Security, school choice, data centers

Moore and Hudson advance to runoff in Alabama's GOP Senate race

Trump-backed candidate wins crowded GOP primary in Alabama's newly drawn 2nd District, AP projects

Alabama Republicans to pick nominee to challenge Democratic Rep. Figures in redrawn district

Republicans pick nominee for redrawn Alabama US House district

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Alabama’s special congressional primaries

Trump endorsee wins Republican runoff for Alabama US Senate seat

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

Redistricting is rampant ahead of midterms. These states are acting

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Alabama Governor winner?

AL-03 House winner?

AL-07 House winner?

Alabama Senate winner?

Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

AL-02 House winner?

Latest Election News

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Minnesota’s state primary

Shomari Figures on 5 key issues: Social Security, school choice, data centers

Moore and Hudson advance to runoff in Alabama's GOP Senate race

Trump-backed candidate wins crowded GOP primary in Alabama's newly drawn 2nd District, AP projects

Alabama Republicans to pick nominee to challenge Democratic Rep. Figures in redrawn district

Republicans pick nominee for redrawn Alabama US House district

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Alabama’s special congressional primaries

Trump endorsee wins Republican runoff for Alabama US Senate seat

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

Redistricting is rampant ahead of midterms. These states are acting

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Alabama Governor winner?

AL-03 House winner?

AL-07 House winner?

Alabama Senate winner?