MO-05 House winner?
3dDonald Trump backed Rick Brattin for the Missouri 5th Congressional District House race, and Brattin is currently at 87%.

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Missouri
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Rick Brattin is trading at 85% to win the MO-05 House winner? on prediction markets.
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleState Senator
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
Age46 years old (Jul 22, 1980)
GenderMale
LocationMissouri
BackgroundPolitician
EducationLee’s Summit High School (graduated 1999)
Notable personal detailsRichard Ray Brattin Jr. is a Republican politician from Missouri who has served in the Missouri State Senate (31st District) and previously served in the Missouri House of Representatives. He is a U.S. Marine Corps veteran and has owned and operated a small construction business. Brattin is a Greenwood, Missouri native and attended Lee’s Summit High School.
Rick Brattin has advocated for and voted for significant state tax cuts and frames himself as a fiscal conservative who seeks to shrink government spending and give tax relief to taxpayers. His campaign materials emphasize cutting wasteful spending and advancing conservative economic policies.
Rick Brattin has opposed funding mechanisms and legislative measures that would expand or finance Missouri’s Medicaid program and has used procedural tactics to block taxes that fund Medicaid; his public materials emphasize conservative approaches to federal spending and opposition to expansions of entitlement programs.
Supports stronger immigration enforcement and state-level measures to reduce illegal immigration, including legislation to empower Missouri to enforce immigration laws and restrict employment for undocumented immigrants. Has framed immigration as a public-safety issue and backed enforcement-oriented responses such as detention capacity. Public statements and actions have emphasized tougher border/immigration controls rather than expanded legal pathways or broad regularization.
Opposes abortion and has sponsored/endorsed measures that would recognize fetal personhood and impose strict limits or bans on abortion; has supported fetal heartbeat-style restrictions and measures to defund Planned Parenthood. He has opposed adding exceptions for rape and incest to abortion restrictions.
Supports energy independence and criticizes Democratic policies that he says demonize fossil fuels; has opposed mainstream scientific consensus in education policy by sponsoring bills that promote teaching alternatives to evolution and climate skepticism. Positions emphasize support for fossil-fuel production and market-driven approaches rather than aggressive emissions regulations.
The candidate strongly defends broad Second Amendment rights, sponsors and supports state legislation to block or nullify federal gun regulations, and has backed measures to roll back or ease state-level gun restrictions and taxes on firearms and ammunition.
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
Donald Trump backed Rick Brattin for the Missouri 5th Congressional District House race, and Brattin is currently at 87%.
Rick Brattin won the Republican nomination in Missouri’s newly drawn 5th Congressional District, setting up a general election race against Democratic Rep. Emanuel Cleaver. The district was redrawn to be more Republican-friendly, but the race is still being watched closely. At the same time, court fights over Missouri’s new congressional map and ballot measures could affect whether that map is used in the November election and how the 5th District appears on the ballot.
Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
2022
2026
LatestCycle 2022
Cycle 2026
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.