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Which Party wins the 2026 Missouri District 5 US House Election?

Nov 7, 2026, 4:59am UTC, in 169 daysLast updated: May 23, 2026, 2:53 AM UTC

MO-05 House winner?

$17.8K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

R. Party

69.0%

D. Party

32.0%

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OddsCurrent Odds

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Total volume

$17.8K

24h volume

$527

R. Party69%

D. Party32%

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source: Kalshi

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Latest Insights

Democratic Party

4%24H36%

The Democratic contract for Missouri’s 5th District has fallen to 36% from 40% over the last day, extending a move that keeps the new GOP-friendlier map and Cleaver’s vulnerability front and center for traders.

10d

Missouri Supreme Court lets new Cleaver-targeting map stand

24H

The state Supreme Court’s decision keeps Missouri’s new GOP-friendlier 5th District map in effect, preserving the redistricting pressure on Emanuel Cleaver’s seat and reinforcing the market’s Republican tilt.

10d

Missouri Supreme Court hears Cleaver-district redistricting challenge

24H

Missouri’s top court heard a fresh challenge to the new congressional map that redraws Emanuel Cleaver’s Kansas City district, keeping the race’s Republican-friendly redistricting fight in focus for traders. The market already prices Republicans as favored, so this development mainly matters as a reminder that the legal path to the new map is still live.

11d

News

AINews Summary

Missouri’s new House map remains a major factor in the 5th District race, and courts have so far upheld it. A challenge is still pending, and a possible November referendum could add more uncertainty. The only candidate news in the feed is Republican Taylor Burks entering the race. The redistricting rulings and GOP-friendly map likely improve Republican odds in the district. The court challenge and possible referendum keep some uncertainty in the race.

Articles

SNSpringfield News-Leader7 hours ago

MO voters to decide on sales tax, initiative petition limits in August

Missouri voters will decide on two controversial amendments in August that could change sales tax and citizen-led initiatives.

WWTOP11 days ago

Missouri’s new US House map goes to court while Louisiana and South Carolina consider redistricting

Missouri's top court is hearing an important legal challenge Tuesday to one of President Donald Trump's earliest redistricting successes while lawmakers in…

TMThe Mercury News16 days ago

Tennessee lawmakers pass House map carving up majority-Black district

Tennessee lawmakers have passed a new U.S. House map that carves up a majority-Black district in Memphis. The new voting districts approved Thursday could give Republicans a chance to win all nine of the state’s congressional seats in the November midterm elections.

NYNew York Post16 days ago

Redistricting after SCOTUS decision could give GOP edge in midterms

Redistricting across the US has turned into all-out war between the Democrats and Republicans ahead of the 2026 midterm elections in November — but the GOP is potentially poised to flip more than a dozen seats.

BNBreitbart News Network1 month ago

Drawn Congressional Maps in Missouri

Far-left efforts to overturn a Trump-backed, Republican-drawn congressional redistricting map in Missouri have been repeatedly smacked down.

PNPBS News15 days ago

WATCH: Tennessee Democrats lock arms in protest as GOP lawmakers approve new congressional map

Republican lawmakers in Tennessee approved a new U.S. House map Thursday that carves up a majority-Black district in Memphis, reshaping it to the GOP’s advantage as part of President Donald Trump’s strategy to hold on to a slim majority in the November midterm elections.

AABC17News.com3 months ago

Taylor Burks announces bid for Missouri’s 5th District seat

COLUMBIA, Mo. (KMIZ) Former Boone County Clerk Taylor Burks announced his bid for Missouri’s newly drawn Fifth District House seat in a Thursday press release. Burks, a Republican, has ran for congressional seats earlier this decade, including in the Third and Fourth districts. Filing for the Aug.4 primary opens Feb. 24. “Missouri deserves a representative

IBInternational Business Times1 month ago

Virginia's Redistricting Win Changed 2026 Midterms, Trump Warns of Disaster if Democrats Take the House

Virginia's redistricting measure, part of a broader national trend, could significantly impact the 2026 US midterms by potentially increasing Democratic control in the House of Representatives.