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2026 Missouri House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Missouri House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Election Day: Nov 3, 2026Market closes: Nov 6, 11:59pm ET (Nov 7, 4:59am UTC)

MO-05 House winner?

$21.2K

NOV 3, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

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Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated Aug 22, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Funds raised
Rick Brattin	79%	$331.8K
Emanuel Cleaver	21%	$1.34M

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 22, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$21.2K

24h volume

$46

R. Brattin79%

E. Cleaver21%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Missouri 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Race Updates

Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.

MO-05 House winner?

Donald Trump backed Rick Brattin for the Missouri 5th Congressional District House race, and Brattin is currently at 87%.

87%

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Missouri’s new congressional map remains in place for now, and it is designed to make the 5th District more favorable to Republicans. The ruling has been appealed, and separate ballot-measure cases could still affect whether the map is used in November. Rick Brattin is the Republican nominee against Democrat Emanuel Cleaver. The current map favors Republicans, which likely helps the GOP side in this market. But the ongoing court fight leaves some uncertainty until the appeals and ballot-measure cases are resolved.

Articles

FNFox News2 days ago

Missouri judge upholds GOP map and blocks redistricting referendum for Trump win

A Missouri judge ruled the state's GOP-backed congressional map remains in effect for the 2026 midterms, handing Donald Trump and Republicans a major redistricting victory.

WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit10 days ago

The Latest: Trump says he was taken off Air Force One last month due to threat

President Donald Trump says he slipped away from Air Force One after a trip last month in Turkey because the Secret Service and military wanted him on a “different plane” due to a threat he insisted didn’t scare him.

LALos Angeles Times4 days ago

Mysterious poisoning of Tahoe trees may improve somebody's view

Your morning catch-up: The Tahoe tree poisonings, online betting on the Palisades fire and more big stories

SNSpringfield News-Leader9 days ago

Missouri redistricting, Respect MO Voters cases' trials set

With a September deadline looming, a Missouri judge set trials in lawsuits related to two ballot measures the secretary of state has tried to block.

SSFGATE16 days ago

A new Tennessee congressional map that splits Memphis is making its debut in the state's primary

A new Tennessee congressional map that carved up a majority Black district in Memphis is making its debut in primary elections Tuesday. Voters are picking nominees in the new 9th Congressional...

TAThe Associated Press16 days ago

New Tennessee congressional map put to the test in state primary

A new Tennessee congressional map that carved up a majority Black district in Memphis is making its debut in primary elections Tuesday.

AABC17News.com17 days ago

Trump-backed Rick Brattin wins GOP nomination in reshaped 5th District

INDEPENDENCE, Mo. (KMIZ) State Sen. Rick Brattin has won the Republican nomination in the newly drawn 5th District. Six Republicans competed for the chance to challenge longtime Democratic U.S. Rep. Emanuel Cleaver in a dramatically reshaped 5th Congressional District. Decision Desk HQ is projecting Brattin to win the nomination as he earned 44% of the

BNBreitbart News Network19 days ago

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Virginia’s state primary

Virginia residents will vote in a statewide primary on Tuesday to choose nominees for U.S. Senate and U.S. House. WASHINGTON (AP) — For the third

KNKnoxville News-Sentinel3 months ago

Voters in Tennessee's sprawling new districts wary of it all

Tennessee's new congressional districts create strange bedfellows as they stretch from Memphis, over hundreds of miles of farmland and into Nashville's suburbs.

WWTOP3 months ago

Missouri’s new US House map goes to court while Louisiana and South Carolina consider redistricting

Missouri's top court is hearing an important legal challenge Tuesday to one of President Donald Trump's earliest redistricting successes while lawmakers in…

Campaign Fundraising

Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Jul 15, 2026

$2M

$1.5M

$1M

$500K

E. Cleaver

R. Brattin

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

E. CleaverEmanuel Cleaver

$1.34MContrib: $1.34M

$1.14MSpent: $1.08M

$57.0KLast period: $38.5K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 15, 2026

R. BrattinRick Brattin

$331.8KContrib: $331.8K

$222.5KSpent: $109.3K

$5.8KLast period: $19.1K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 15, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Polls
Endorsements

2026 Missouri House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

MO-05 House winner?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

MO-05 House winner?

Latest Election News

Missouri judge upholds GOP map and blocks redistricting referendum for Trump win

The Latest: Trump says he was taken off Air Force One last month due to threat

Mysterious poisoning of Tahoe trees may improve somebody's view

Missouri redistricting, Respect MO Voters cases' trials set

A new Tennessee congressional map that splits Memphis is making its debut in the state's primary

New Tennessee congressional map put to the test in state primary

Trump-backed Rick Brattin wins GOP nomination in reshaped 5th District

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Virginia’s state primary

Voters in Tennessee's sprawling new districts wary of it all

Missouri’s new US House map goes to court while Louisiana and South Carolina consider redistricting

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

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Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

MO-05 House winner?

Latest Election News

Missouri judge upholds GOP map and blocks redistricting referendum for Trump win

The Latest: Trump says he was taken off Air Force One last month due to threat

Mysterious poisoning of Tahoe trees may improve somebody's view

Missouri redistricting, Respect MO Voters cases' trials set

A new Tennessee congressional map that splits Memphis is making its debut in the state's primary

New Tennessee congressional map put to the test in state primary

Trump-backed Rick Brattin wins GOP nomination in reshaped 5th District

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Virginia’s state primary

Voters in Tennessee's sprawling new districts wary of it all

Missouri’s new US House map goes to court while Louisiana and South Carolina consider redistricting

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Missouri governor winner? (2028)

MO-02 House winner?

MO-06 House winner?

MO-01 House winner?