Prediction Edge
Republican
Rudy Recile

Rudy Recile

Republican candidate for U.S. House in California

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Rudy Recile is trading at 1% to win the CA-08 primary: first place on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleBusiness owner

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

LocationCalifornia

BackgroundBusiness owner

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EducationHowe Military School (high school)

Notable personal detailsRudy Recile is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in California’s 8th Congressional District. He is a retired U.S. Army major and previously worked for the U.S. Department of Agriculture. He has also described himself as a small business owner and has run for the same congressional seat in prior cycles.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Healthcare

Rudy Recile opposes medical mandates and supports individual choice on vaccinations. He indicates Medicaid and Medicare should remain available but favors limited taxpayer-funded programs, proposing low-cost government‑subsidized catastrophic coverage for low‑income people rather than broader government‑run healthcare expansions.

Climate & Energy

Supports energy independence focused on continued use of carbon fuels and nuclear power, criticizes shutting fossil-fuel plants and reliance on intermittent 'green' power, and emphasizes concerns about grid reliability and drought impacts on water and hydropower. Positions favor keeping fossil-fuel capacity and expanding nuclear as solutions rather than aggressive emissions-reduction mandates.

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Public Safety & Guns

Supports strong Second Amendment protections and opposes limits on citizens’ ability to purchase firearms while endorsing background checks as a qualification for ownership. Opposes civil liability for firearms manufacturers and frames proposed gun restrictions as actions by the political left that infringe on civil liberties.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Rudy Recile is in the news because he is running in California's newly formed 8th Congressional District primary. Early returns showed him in second place with 29% of the vote, behind John Garamendi's 54%, though only a small share of votes had been counted. The race is still early, and the report said Garamendi planned to keep campaigning into the general election.

fec.gov+38

Endorsements

3
CA-08 primary: first place

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$60.6K
$45.5K
$30.3K
$15.2K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$60.6K
$494.29
$60.2K
$2.5K

Cycle 2024

$21.4K
$1.0K
$20.9K
$870.57

Cycle 2026

$8.6K
$1.5K
$8.1K
$448.49

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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