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JUN 6, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
John Garamendi’s first-place contract in the CA-08 primary rose from 99% to 95% in the last hour, with early California returns still showing him ahead, keeping the market firmly aligned with the race’s front-runner.
John Garamendi is leading the early count in California's 8th District primary, with 54% of the vote reported so far. Ruby Recile is in second, while the other candidates trail well behind. The race is still early, with only a small share of votes counted. Early returns point to Garamendi as the clear frontrunner so far, but the count is still very incomplete. That leaves some uncertainty, though the early margin likely supports his position.
Incumbent Rep. John Garamendi ahead of the pack in primary in newly redrawn District 8
From searching for solutions to predatory wolves to defending his role in the controversial Point Reyes settlement, Huffman is toiling to earn an 8th term in Congress, representing a revamped district.
The challenges are part of a national wave reshaping the debate over generational power and the direction of the Democratic Party ahead of the 2026 midterms.
With a new ballot design that's weakened party leaders, outside spending is playing a more important role in elections.
Many voters in Colorado have already confirmed that surging gas prices will affect how they cast their ballots in a few months.
Winners included Democrats Zoe Lofgren, Ted Lieu, Dave Min and Rob Menendez, as well as Republican Sen. Mike Rounds, with Democrats accounting for 10 of the 11 victories.
Democratic voters chose electability in key battlegrounds on Tuesday, kicking off a big month of ideological primary tests for the party.
Election officials were projecting turnout to top out at about 50%, meaning tens of thousands of ballots are yet to be processed and counted. Here's what the early returns show.
An unprecedented gerrymandering effort led by Donald Trump—and internal divisions among Democrats—has made the Minority Leader’s path to victory harder than ever, Jason Zengerle reports.
Turning Point is hosting President Donald Trump at a Phoenix church to help boost Arizona's Republicans in the 2026 midterms in a "Red Wall" effort.
J. GaramendiJohn Garamendi
N. CarjuzaaNicolas Carjuzaa
A. RowdenAaron Rowden
R. RecileRudy RecileSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
