Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Russ Fulcher

Russ Fulcher

Incumbent Republican candidate for U.S. House in Idaho

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Russ Fulcher is trading at 100% to win the ID-01 Republican nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age64 years old (Mar 9, 1962)

GenderMale

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LocationIdaho

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationBoise State University — bachelor's degree in business

Notable personal detailsRussell Mark Fulcher is an American businessman and politician serving as the U.S. representative for Idaho's 1st congressional district since January 2019. He previously served in the Idaho Senate from 2005 to 2014, including as Majority Caucus Chair. He earned bachelor's and master's degrees in business from Boise State University and has worked in Idaho's technology sector and commercial real estate.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Russ Fulcher supports tax relief and pro-growth tax reforms while opposing large Democratic tax-and-spending bills and expansions of IRS enforcement. He has participated in tax-reform roundtables with business groups and voted against the Inflation Reduction Act and other reconciliation measures that he characterized as tax increases. His roll-call and advocacy record aligns with Republican priorities of lowering taxes and limiting federal spending.

Healthcare

Supports market-based reforms to expand choice and reduce regulation, including health savings accounts, association plans, short-term limited-duration plans, buying insurance across state lines, and other private-market options. Has introduced legislation to permanently authorize short-term limited-duration plans and has opposed extending enhanced ACA premium tax credits.

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Immigration & Border

Russ Fulcher advocates for aggressive border security measures including completion of a southern border wall, increased Border Patrol funding and agents, reinstating Remain in Mexico, ending catch-and-release, and strict enforcement of existing immigration laws. He has voted for appropriations and policies that fund wall construction, border technology, and expanded enforcement resources.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Opposes abortion and supports protecting unborn life from conception; has sponsored and supported legislation and legal actions restricting abortion access, opposed federal protections for abortion access, and backed measures limiting taxpayer funding and chemical-abortion access.

Climate & Energy

Supports expanded domestic energy production including fossil fuels, opposes federal mandates for technologies such as electric vehicles, and has opposed certain large-scale renewable projects while also advancing streamlined permitting for geothermal development. Positions emphasize market-based approaches, state control of public lands, and skepticism toward aggressive federal climate regulations.

Public Safety & Guns

Opposes new federal gun restrictions and emphasizes protection of Second Amendment rights; has sponsored and cosponsored legislation to roll back federal firearms regulation and taxes and supported measures expanding carry and firearm accessories. Public statements criticized bipartisan gun-safety legislation as curtailing due process and imposing additional restrictions on young adults.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Russ Fulcher won the Republican primary in Idaho’s 1st Congressional District and will move on to the general election. He is set to face Democratic nominee Kaylee Peterson in November. The primary result was still pending official certification at the time of the reports.

fulcher.house.gov+56

Latest Polls

ID-01 House winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Russ Fulcher currently averages 45.5%, ranking first in this race, 15.5 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 45.5%Position: firstMargin: +15.5 ptsLatest poll: 46.0% (Jul 28 - 30)Polls included: 2

Average recalculated from polls through Jul 28 - 30.

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
45.5%
30%
Russ Fulcher
R. Fulcher
Kaylee Peterson
K. Peterson
Date (Start - End)SpreadFulcherPeterson
Polling Average
Fulcher+15.5
45.5%30.0%
Change ResearchJul 28 - 30
Fulcher+21.0
46.0%25.0%
SurveyUSAJul 7 - 14
Fulcher+10.0
45.0%35.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$662.6K
$497.0K
$331.3K
$165.7K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$536.9K
$169.3K
$470.5K
$19.6K

Cycle 2024

$637.6K
$180.0K
$626.9K
$26.1K

Cycle 2026

$662.6K
$244.7K
$597.9K
$33.2K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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