$127.02
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 9, 2026, 5:23 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 98% | 45.5% | $662.6K | |
| 4% | 30.0% | $181.0K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Idaho held its primaries, including the U.S. Senate race and other contests. The AP says the state remains one of the most reliably Republican states. The coverage also focused on turnout history, early voting, and how results will be reported. The new information is mostly context, not a race-changing development. It leaves the Republican hold on Idaho’s 1st District looking steady, with little change in market uncertainty.
Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.
By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
Michigan’s primary races will test the Democratic Party’s deepest divisions.
Here are takeaways from primaries in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.
President Donald Trump has scored another win against a Republican rival, purging Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky’s primary and knocking out one of his most outspoken critics on Capitol Hill. Massie has been a particularly difficult thorn in Trump’s side. He pushed for the release of the Jeffrey Epstein files, opposed the war with Iran and voted against Trump’s signature tax legislation last year. He lost Tuesday to Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein following the most expensive U.S. House primary in history. He had tried to convince Republicans that they could support both himself and Trump at the same time, a proposition that has been tried unsuccessfully in other races around the country.
A slew of incumbents are out, making room for fresh faces.
Six states are holding primaries May 19 that could help to decide the balance of power in Congress and in key state governments.
WASHINGTON (AP) — Idaho voters will nominate candidates for federal, state and local offices in a state primary Tuesday.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jul 7, 2026 and Jul 30, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
R. FulcherRuss FulcherK. PetersonKaylee PetersonSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
