Prediction Edge
Republican
Ryan Dotson

Ryan Dotson

Overview

Current roleState Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

Age53 years old (Nov 22, 1972)

GenderMale

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LocationKentucky

BackgroundState representative

EducationPhelps High School (Kentucky)

Notable personal detailsDavid Ryan Dotson is an American politician, pastor, and U.S. Army veteran. He has served as a Republican member of the Kentucky House of Representatives (District 73, Clark and part of Fayette County) since January 1, 2021. In 2025, he launched a campaign for Kentucky's 6th Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House election.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Ryan Dotson supported reducing Kentucky’s individual income tax and voted yes on HB1 (the 2025 bill to cut the state individual income-tax rate from 4% to 3.5%, effective 2026). This vote indicates a preference for state-level tax cuts.

Healthcare

The candidate supports restricting and tightening Medicaid eligibility (including backing work requirements and removing eligibility for people without permanent legal status) and emphasizes cutting government spending and ‘‘waste’’ in health programs. He has opposed COVID-19 vaccine and mask mandates and frames pandemic-era mandates as government overreach.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border security and stricter enforcement measures while framing immigration as an issue of stopping illegal crossings. Positions emphasize conservative, pro-Trump approaches to securing the southern border rather than expanding pathways or asylum protections.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Ryan Dotson is a social conservative who has consistently opposed abortion, supported making late‑term abortion illegal, and advocated keeping abortion clinics out of Kentucky. His campaign materials state he has “defended the unborn” and earned high marks from conservative family groups. He has spoken in the legislature in favor of measures that restrict abortion and criticized legislators who oppose such measures.

Climate & Energy

Supports preserving coal-fired power and emphasizes reliability of coal over intermittent renewables while expressing openness to renewables; policy actions and statements favor sustaining fossil fuel production and local energy reliability rather than aggressive emissions regulations. Has served on the Kentucky House Natural Resources and Energy Committee.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports an expansive Second Amendment and opposes measures that would weaken gun rights, explicitly opposing “red flag” laws and what he calls backdoor gun registries. Positions emphasize defending Americans’ right to keep and bear arms and resisting new restrictions on lawful gun ownership.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedMay 19, 2026

Ryan Dotson is in the news because he is part of Kentucky’s competitive 2026 Republican primary landscape. The latest coverage says the state’s open Senate race and other GOP contests are likely to decide who advances in November, with Republicans expected to keep the seats. Broader primary elections across several states are also shaping the 2026 Senate map, but the Kentucky races are the main focus for Dotson right now.

fec.gov+40

Polls

KY-06 Republican nominee?
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
13%
30.3%
Ryan Dotson
R. Dotson
Ralph Alvarado
R. Alvarado
Greg Plucinski
G. Plucinski
Steve Shannon
S. Shannon
Adam Perez Arquette
A. Arquette
Date (Start - End)SpreadDotsonAlvaradoPlucinskiShannonArquette
Polling Average
Alvarado+17.3
13.0%30.3%4.7%2.0%0.7%
1892 PollingMay 4 - 7
Alvarado+23.0
15.0%38.0%8.0%3.0%1.0%
1892 PollingApr 6 - 8
Alvarado+21.0
11.0%32.0%6.0%1.0%0.0%
1892 PollingFeb 10 - 12
Alvarado+8.0
13.0%21.0%0.0%2.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$552.5K
$414.4K
$276.3K
$138.1K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$552.5K
$208.2K
$344.3K
$21.5K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements