Prediction Edge
Republican
Ryan Fazio

Ryan Fazio

Republican candidate for Governor in Connecticut

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Ryan Fazio is trading at 4% to win the Connecticut Governor winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleState Senator

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyModerate Republican

Age36 years old (Mar 27, 1990)

GenderMale

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LocationConnecticut

BackgroundConnecticut State Senator

EducationNorthwestern University — degree in economics (2012)

Notable personal detailsRyan Michael Fazio is an American politician and businessman serving as a Republican member of the Connecticut State Senate representing the 36th District, first elected in a 2021 special election and subsequently re-elected. He has focused on energy and utility-cost issues in the legislature, including work related to disclosure and reduction of charges on electric bills. He launched a campaign for governor of Connecticut and is identified in public profiles as the Republican nominee for the 2026 gubernatorial election.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Ryan Fazio supports cutting taxes and reducing certain state fees and charges, including plans to cut taxes by roughly $1,500 per family and to reduce or eliminate the public benefits charge on electric bills. He has sponsored proposals for income tax reductions and limits on property tax growth, and advocates slowing spending growth and reducing selected tax expenditures to fund cuts.

Healthcare

Supports market-oriented reforms to expand provider supply and reduce costs, including rolling back certificate-of-need laws and increasing insurance options for consumers and employers. Proposes administrative changes to funding of assistance programs and regulatory rollbacks intended to lower health-care costs by an estimated 5–10%.

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Immigration & Border

Supports rolling back Connecticut’s 2019 ‘Trust Act’ sanctuary provisions to allow state and local law enforcement to cooperate with federal immigration authorities for people convicted of certain crimes and to reduce state spending on illegal immigration. Advocates stronger enforcement measures at the state level while framing changes as focused on public safety and taxpayer costs.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports keeping abortion legal in Connecticut while expressing concerns about expanding who may perform certain abortion procedures; has voted against legislation that would allow advanced-practice clinicians to perform aspiration abortions, citing patient safety and standards of care. Also supports expanding access to contraception.

Climate & Energy

Favors prioritizing energy affordability over aggressive decarbonization measures, proposing to cut or remove the “public benefits” charge, oppose further state spending on EV chargers and electrification incentives, and expand support for natural gas and nuclear to increase supply. Opposes Connecticut’s participation in RGGI and has criticized new offshore wind purchases as likely to raise consumer bills. Seeks to shift some clean-energy subsidies and programs into the budget and cap future long-term energy contract prices.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports preserving Connecticut’s existing strong gun laws but opposed the 2023 comprehensive gun-safety bill, citing enforcement concerns and proposing amendments focused on enforcement, school resource officers, and proactive policing. Has co-sponsored legislation to align background-check procedures with federal requirements while receiving criticism and a failing grade from Connecticut gun-safety advocates and endorsements from pro-gun organizations. Emphasizes law enforcement tools and prosecution to reduce gun crime rather than new broad restrictions.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 14, 2026

Ryan Fazio is now the Republican nominee for Connecticut governor and will face Gov. Ned Lamont in the November election. The race is being framed around pragmatic state issues such as taxes, energy costs, and state finances, with both candidates presenting themselves as civil and policy-focused. Fazio has also been pressing for tighter state employee benefits and work rules as the next governor prepares for major pension and retiree health care negotiations.

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Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Ryan Fazio currently averages 32.7%, ranking second in this race, 18.4 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 32.7%Position: secondMargin: -18.4 ptsLatest poll: 29.5% (Jul 21 - 26)Polls included: 3

Average recalculated from polls through Jul 21 - 26.

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
32.7%
51.2%
Ryan Fazio
R. Fazio
Ned Lamont
N. Lamont
Date (Start - End)SpreadFazioLamont
Polling Average
Lamont+18.4
32.7%51.2%
GreatBlue ResearchJul 21 - 26
Lamont+20.2
29.5%49.7%
GreatBlue ResearchJul 21 - 26
Lamont+22.1
32.7%54.8%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterJun 18 - 23
Lamont+13.0
36.0%49.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising