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NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 3, 2026, 8:58 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and polling averages. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average |
|---|---|---|
| 98% | 52.0% | |
| 5% | 36.1% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Ned Lamont won the Connecticut Democratic primary and will face Republican state Sen. Ryan Fazio in November. The GOP field also narrowed after one Republican candidate suspended her campaign and backed Fazio. The race is now set, with Lamont the clear incumbent and Fazio the Republican nominee. Lamont’s primary win removes the main Democratic uncertainty and likely keeps Democrats favored. Fazio’s nomination gives Republicans a clear challenger, but the field still looks tilted toward the incumbent party.
Turn on any cable news network, and the national political landscape can look like a toxic wasteland, defined by vitriol, outrage, even allegations of
President Donald Trump says he slipped away from Air Force One after a trip last month in Turkey because the Secret Service and military wanted him on a “different plane” due to a threat he insisted didn’t scare him.
Gov. Ned Lamont cruised to a decisive victory over state Rep. Josh Elliott in the Democratic primary for governor Tuesday evening, and immediately let Republicans know he'll be swinging hard in the November campaign.
Alternative to Lamont is a state representative urged by progressives to challenge one of most powerful people in state government
Unlike four years ago, Democratic voters this election year have increasingly shown a willingness to oust incumbents.
Get live updates and the latest news as Karoline Leavitt says she will depart as Trump’s White House press secretary and Tuesday’s primaries reveal Democratic divisions.
18 primaries coming up on August 11 for governor, Congress, state legislature, and more
“If I sound angry, I want you to know that I’m angry,” Elliott told Democrats in New Haven. "Great, I'm gonna get shit done. How’s that?” Lamont told reporters in reply.
Connecticut Democrats have endorsed Gov. Ned Lamont to run for an unprecedented third term as governor by a wide margin, as he easily fended off a potential primary challenge, punching his ticket for the general election in November.
Erin Stewart was accused of spending $207,076.07 on a government credit card during her tenure without disclosing how the funds were used.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jun 18, 2026 and Sep 21, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
