$36.2K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 18, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and polling averages. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average |
|---|---|---|
| 99% | 51.2% | |
| 4% | 32.7% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Lamont and Elliott are headed to the August Democratic primary, with Lamont still the clear favorite after winning the convention vote. On the Republican side, one candidate has dropped out after fraud allegations and backed Ryan Fazio, leaving him to face Betsy McCaughey. Lamont still looks favored for the Democratic nomination, but Elliott’s challenge keeps some uncertainty in the primary. The GOP field appears narrower after one candidate exited, which may modestly help Fazio.
Turn on any cable news network, and the national political landscape can look like a toxic wasteland, defined by vitriol, outrage, even allegations of
President Donald Trump says he slipped away from Air Force One after a trip last month in Turkey because the Secret Service and military wanted him on a “different plane” due to a threat he insisted didn’t scare him.
Gov. Ned Lamont cruised to a decisive victory over state Rep. Josh Elliott in the Democratic primary for governor Tuesday evening, and immediately let Republicans know he'll be swinging hard in the November campaign.
Get live updates and the latest news as Karoline Leavitt says she will depart as Trump’s White House press secretary and Tuesday’s primaries reveal Democratic divisions.
Coming after the primary and as the general-election campaign takes center stage, the event has the trappings more of a political and lobbying effort than collective bargaining.
The Democratic primary for governor in Wisconsin was neck-and-neck early Wednesday morning, with democratic socialist state lawmaker Francesca Hong and moderate Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley separated by less than a percentage point.
Alternative to Lamont is a state representative urged by progressives to challenge one of most powerful people in state government
Progressive candidates for governor in Wisconsin and U.S. Senate in Minnesota are making their final pushes ahead of Tuesday’s election. Democratic incumbents in Connecticut are also trying to fend off progressive challengers. The primaries come a week after progressive Abdul El-Sayed narrowly defeated Democratic Rep. Haley Stevens in Michigan’s divisive and costly U.S. Senate primary. El-Sayed’s victory has energized the left while stoking fears among Democratic Party leaders. That fear is particularly strong in battleground states like Michigan and Wisconsin, where mainstream Democrats worry progressive wins make it more difficult to defeat Republicans in November.
18 primaries coming up on August 11 for governor, Congress, state legislature, and more
“If I sound angry, I want you to know that I’m angry,” Elliott told Democrats in New Haven. "Great, I'm gonna get shit done. How’s that?” Lamont told reporters in reply.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jun 18, 2026 and Jul 26, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
