Prediction Edge
Democrat
Sam Forstag

Sam Forstag

Overview

Current roleWildland firefighter

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age32 years old (May 23, 1994)

LocationMontana

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BackgroundWildland firefighter

EducationUniversity of Montana (studied philosophy and political science)

Notable personal detailsSamuel Kelley Forstag is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Montana’s 1st Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. He has worked in wildland fire for the U.S. Forest Service, including as a smokejumper, and has been active in labor organizing. He attended the University of Montana, where he studied philosophy and political science.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports public funding for services and opposes tax cuts for the wealthy that would reduce funding for programs like Medicaid and public services. Emphasizes protecting public-sector workers and funding for education and higher education.

Healthcare

Supports making healthcare more affordable and expanding access, including addressing behavioral health funding and Medicaid reimbursement issues. Emphasizes that working families should be able to afford basic health insurance that actually provides care.

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Immigration & Border

Supports limiting local cooperation with federal immigration enforcement and emphasizes oversight and accountability for immigration authorities while framing immigration as not a local criminal crisis. Opposes mandatory local enforcement cooperation with ICE and highlights research showing immigrants are less likely to commit crimes.

Climate & Energy

The candidate emphasizes protecting public lands and federal land-management agencies and has spoken against proposed cuts to the U.S. Forest Service; public materials and press coverage highlight his experience as a smokejumper and union leader defending public lands and agency workers but do not lay out specific climate or energy policy proposals.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Sam Forstag is being discussed in the context of the 2026 Senate race, as Democrats look for ways to compete in Republican-leaning states. Recent coverage says the party may need to moderate its message and could back independents in some races. The broader political opening in Montana has also drawn attention after Senator Steve Daines announced his retirement.

docquery.fec.gov+53

Polls

Upswing Research
50%40%30%20%10%0%
43%
Sam Forstag
S. Forstag
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Upswing ResearchMay 5, 2026
43.0%
Tulchin ResearchApr 1, 2026
13.0%
Peak InsightsJan 15, 2026
38.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

MT-01 Democratic nominee?

Endorsers of Sam Forstag for MT-01 Democratic nominee?

Montana Conservation Voters

Public figure

Montana Conservation Voters endorsed Sam Forstag for Montana's First Congressional District.

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Steve Bullock

Public figure

Steve Bullock endorsed Sam Forstag in Montana's 1st Congressional District race.

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Jon Tester

Public figure

Jon Tester endorsed Sam Forstag in Montana's 1st Congressional District race.

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Our Revolution

Public figure

Our Revolution endorsed Sam Forstag for Congress in Montana's 1st Congressional District.

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Common Defense

Public figure

Common Defense endorsed Sam Forstag for Congress in Montana's 1st District.

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AFGE

Elected official

AFGE endorsed Sam Forstag for U.S. Representative.

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Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC

Political organization

Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC endorsed Sam Forstag for Montana's 1st District primary.

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Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$1.4M
$1.0M
$691.4K
$345.7K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.4M
$550.1K
$832.8K
$46.3K

Source: FEC