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Republican Aaron Flint has Trump’s endorsement in the open MT-01 race after Ryan Zinke’s retirement announcement, and the Cook Political Report rates the seat “Likely Republican.” Flint and Al Olszewski also faced off in the only scheduled GOP primary debate. Democrats are signaling a serious effort by putting MT-01 on the DCCC’s priority list. Trump’s endorsement and a “Likely Republican” rating may support GOP odds to hold the seat. DCCC prioritization signals Democrats will contest the race, which could add some uncertainty but doesn’t by itself shift the favorite.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
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