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Which Party wins the 2026 Montana District 1 US House Election?

Nov 7, 2026, 4:59am UTC, in 137 daysLast updated: Jun 23, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC

MT-01 House winner?

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NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

R. Party

59.0%

D. Party

46.0%

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OddsCurrent Odds

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Total volume

$11.3K

24h volume

$197

R. Party59%

D. Party46%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

November

TUE 3

Montana 2026 general election

News

AINews Summary

Aaron Flint has won the Republican primary for Montana’s 1st District, settling the GOP nomination for the open seat. Democrats have also made MT-01 a priority for 2026. The latest news points to a competitive general election, but no general-election result is reported yet. Flint’s primary win clarifies the Republican nominee, which may reduce uncertainty on that side. Democratic prioritization suggests the general election could stay competitive, but the current news does not show a clear shift in the race.

Articles

NNewsmax2 days ago

Anthropic, OpenAI PACs Pour $37 Million Into 2026 Midterm,

Super PACs linked to OpenAI and Anthropic have poured more than $37 million into 2026 congressional primaries, underscoring how aggressively leading artificial intelligence companies are seeking to influence the lawmakers who will shape future AI regulation.

TAThe Associated Press22 days ago

What to expect in Montana’s state primary

Montana voters will select nominees in Tuesday’s state primary to replace two prominent Republican incumbents: U.S. Sen. Steve Daines and U.S. Rep. Ryan Zinke.

AJAlbuquerque Journal2 months ago

Deb Haaland’s campaign under fire for doxing Sam Bregman and raising ethics concerns in New Mexico governor race

A Journal columnist criticizes Deb Haaland’s gubernatorial campaign for sharing detailed property information about rival Sam Bregman’s family, raising questions about ethics, judgment and leadership in the high-stakes New Mexico governor primary.

TMThe Mercury News2 months ago

Newsom has spent 1 in 5 days traveling outside California in second term

MMMissoula Missoulian4 months ago

Candidate filing opens, kicking off 2026 election season

Registering as a candidate at the state Capitol marks the official kickoff of election season every two years and brings in candidates of all political stripes.

MMMissoula Missoulian4 months ago

Congressional Dems eye Montana's western district race

By adding MT-01 to the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's priorities, candidates will have access to fundraising, trainings, strategic guidance and organization support.

LALos Angeles Times2 days ago

AI giants are funding ad wars in races across the country

In some races, the AI-backed political groups have spent more than the candidates they are backing.

AABC17News.com2 months ago

‘It’s a mess’: With no Trump endorsement in Texas Senate race, Cornyn and Paxton are locked in an expensive brawl

By Patrick Svitek, CNN (CNN) — Nearly two months ago, President Donald Trump promised he would make an endorsement “soon” in the Republican primary runoff for US Senate in Texas. That endorsement still has not arrived — and its absence is keeping the race highly competitive. Three people involved in the race said they no

KIKalispell Inter Lake3 months ago

Montana voters should choose candidates, not party insiders

In Montana, we take pride in our independence. We don’t trust D.C. politics or backroom deals. In our state, voters expect to make their own choices.

Polls

Polling Average

60%50%40%30%20%10%0%

47.5%

46%

44%

43%

40.5%

A. Flint

R. Zinke

R. Busse

M. Rains

S. Forstag

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Flint	Zinke	Busse	Rains	Forstag
Polling Average	Flint+1.5	47.5%	46.0%	44.0%	43.0%	40.5%
Upswing ResearchApr 30 - May 5	Flint+4.0	47.0%	–	–	43.0%	–
Upswing ResearchApr 30 - May 5	Flint+5.0	48.0%	–	–	–	43.0%
Peak InsightsJan 12 - 15	Zinke+10.0	–	48.0%	–	–	38.0%
Peak InsightsJan 12 - 15	Zinke+6.0	–	47.0%	41.0%	–	–
Tulchin ResearchNov 22 - 25	Busse+4.0	–	43.0%	47.0%	–	–

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Endorsements
Fundraising

Which Party wins the 2026 Montana District 1 US House Election?

MT-01 House winner?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

News

Anthropic, OpenAI PACs Pour $37 Million Into 2026 Midterm,

What to expect in Montana’s state primary

Deb Haaland’s campaign under fire for doxing Sam Bregman and raising ethics concerns in New Mexico governor race

Newsom has spent 1 in 5 days traveling outside California in second term

Candidate filing opens, kicking off 2026 election season

Congressional Dems eye Montana's western district race

AI giants are funding ad wars in races across the country

‘It’s a mess’: With no Trump endorsement in Texas Senate race, Cornyn and Paxton are locked in an expensive brawl

Montana voters should choose candidates, not party insiders

Polls

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Upcoming Events

News

Anthropic, OpenAI PACs Pour $37 Million Into 2026 Midterm,

What to expect in Montana’s state primary

Deb Haaland’s campaign under fire for doxing Sam Bregman and raising ethics concerns in New Mexico governor race

Newsom has spent 1 in 5 days traveling outside California in second term

Candidate filing opens, kicking off 2026 election season

Congressional Dems eye Montana's western district race

AI giants are funding ad wars in races across the country

‘It’s a mess’: With no Trump endorsement in Texas Senate race, Cornyn and Paxton are locked in an expensive brawl

Montana voters should choose candidates, not party insiders

Polls

Related races

MT-02 House winner?

Montana governor winner? (2028)

Which party will win the U.S. House?

NY-12 Democratic nominee?