Prediction Edge
Democrat
Sarah Elfreth

Sarah Elfreth

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Maryland

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Sarah Elfreth is trading at 98% to win the MD-03 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Age37 years old (Sep 9, 1988)

GenderFemale

LocationMaryland

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BackgroundU.S. Representative (Maryland’s 3rd Congressional District)

EducationTowson University — B.A., Political Science (2010)

Notable personal detailsSarah Kelly Elfreth is a Democratic U.S. representative for Maryland’s 3rd congressional district, serving since January 3, 2025. She previously served in the Maryland State Senate from 2019 to 2025. Her professional background includes government and community affairs work at Johns Hopkins Institutions and serving as government affairs director at the National Aquarium. She has also served as an adjunct professor at Towson University.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate supports targeted revenue-raising measures to fund public programs (for example, an excise tax on gun dealers and a payroll tax to fund paid family leave) and backs federal funding for infrastructure and research while opposing budget cuts that would reduce such investments. She has taken actions to protect federal funding and requested relief from utility rate increases for constituents.

Healthcare

Supports extending and protecting health-care subsidies created by the Inflation Reduction Act and has campaigned in favor of expanding access to health care, including actions to expand reproductive and other coverage at the state level. Signed a Maryland Healthcare for All pledge to back legislation that would continue IRA-provided subsidy protections beyond 2025.

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Immigration & Border

Supports protections for immigrants and increased transparency and oversight of immigration enforcement while criticizing federal enforcement practices; has opposed private immigration detention facilities and backed measures to require accountability for immigration officers. Emphasizes assistance to immigrant constituents and oversight rather than expansion of enforcement.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports broad protected access to abortion and reproductive health care, has cosponsored federal legislation to protect abortion rights, and has advocated for enshrining reproductive freedom in Maryland’s constitution and resisting measures that would criminalize reproductive care providers.

Climate & Energy

Supports climate resilience and clean energy investment, advances watershed and Chesapeake Bay restoration, and sponsors/statewide initiatives to expand solar and climate‑resilient projects while pursuing bipartisan conservation legislation.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports stronger gun-safety measures including increased regulation of permits and carry, funding for gun-violence prevention and intervention programs, and other state-level gun-safety actions to reduce gun violence. Advocates using state policy to expand background-checks/permit requirements and to invest in violence prevention and trauma services.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 1, 2026

Sarah Elfreth is in the news because she is expected to face Republican Berney Flowers in Maryland’s 3rd Congressional District race. The race is unfolding as Maryland lawmakers also consider a redistricting proposal that could affect congressional maps before the 2028 election. Recent coverage has focused more on the broader election and redistricting fight than on any new personal development involving Elfreth.

history.house.gov+54

Endorsements

14
MD-03 Democratic nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.3M
$1.7M
$1.1M
$569.0K
$0

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2024

$2.3M
$30.7K
$2.2M
$93.6K

Cycle 2026

$1.1M
$335.8K
$834.8K
$46.4K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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