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2026 Maryland House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Maryland House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Election Day: Nov 3, 2026Market closes: Nov 6, 11:59pm ET (Nov 7, 4:59am UTC)

MD-03 House winner?

$1.9K

NOV 3, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

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Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated Aug 22, 2026, 10:53 PM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Funds raised
Sarah Elfreth	98%	$1.14M
Bernard Flowers	5%	$12.7K

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 22, 2026, 10:53 PM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$1.9K

24h volume

S. Elfreth98%

B. Flowers5%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Maryland 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

The biggest development is a lawsuit against Maryland’s mid-decade redistricting effort, which could eliminate the state’s only Republican congressional seat from the ballot. The challenge is still in state court and could affect how this district is contested. Recent primary coverage did not add any new district-specific results. The redistricting lawsuit adds uncertainty around whether the seat stays on the ballot as currently drawn. That could keep odds volatile until the legal fight is resolved.

Articles

WWTOP2 months ago

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Maryland’s state primary

ANNAPOLIS, Md. (AP) — Maryland Gov. Wes Moore seeks the Democratic nomination for a second term in Tuesday’s primary for federal, state and local offices.

WEWashington Examiner4 days ago

Maryland Democrats had a 7-1 advantage. That still wasn't enough

Maryland Democrats face legal challenges as mid-decade gerrymandering and Question 3 violate key state constitutional protections.

NYNew York Post4 months ago

Redistricting after SCOTUS decision could give GOP edge in midterms

Redistricting across the US has turned into all-out war between the Democrats and Republicans ahead of the 2026 midterm elections in November — but the GOP is potentially poised to flip more than a dozen seats.

NNNBC News1 month ago

Arizona Governor Hobbs’ GOP challenger on the ballot as voters hit the polls

Follow live coverage as Arizona voters pick their favorite candidates for midterms. Get the latest as primaries underway for governor, House districts, secretary of state and more.

SLSalt Lake City Deseret News3 months ago

The midterm map war comes to Utah

How Utah’s redistricting fight echoes a nationwide battle over congressional representation

FNFox News6 months ago

California lawmaker leaves GOP, thinning Johnson's fragile House majority

Rep. Kevin Kiley of California said he will be the House of Representatives' lone Independent after leaving the GOP to run in a Democrat-leaning district.

WEWashington Examiner7 months ago

Jan. 6 Capitol Police officer makes second bid for Congress

Harry Dunn last ran for a House seat in 2024, but his campaign was cut short when he lost to now-Rep. Sarah Elfreth (D-MD) in the primary.

REReading Eagle5 days ago

Election takeaways: Donalds joins historic field and progressive scores upset victory in Florida

By JILL COLVIN and MIKE CATALINI As a long and contentious primary season nears its end, attention is turning to Florida, Wyoming, California and Alaska, where primaries Tuesday will highlight Republican-led redistricting efforts that have scrambled congressional maps and new battles between the Democratic establishment and progressive left. Also in the mix are a handful […]

NNewsBreak25 days ago

Early voting begins in Wisconsin primary featuring chaotic Democratic governor's race

MADISON, Wis. (AP) — Early in-person voting began Tuesday in swing state Wisconsin's chaotic Democratic primary for governor, with a democratic socialist t