Prediction Edge
Democrat
Sarah Trone Garriott

Sarah Trone Garriott

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Iowa

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Sarah Trone Garriott is trading at 67% to win the IA-03 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer State Senator

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyLiberal Democrat

GenderFemale

LocationIowa

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BackgroundPolitician

EducationB.A., History, The College of St. Scholastica

Notable personal detailsSarah Trone Garriott is an American politician and ordained Lutheran minister serving in the Iowa Senate, representing District 14 (and previously District 22). She has worked as the Coordinator of Interfaith Engagement for the Des Moines Area Religious Council Food Pantry Network and previously served in pastoral and chaplaincy roles. She earned a B.A. in history from the College of St. Scholastica and graduate theological degrees from Harvard Divinity School and the Lutheran School of Theology at Chicago.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports maintaining and using income tax as a fair way to fund public services, opposes eliminating the income tax, and favors funding programs like Medicaid and raising reimbursement rates rather than cutting them. Emphasizes fairness in tax policy and prioritizing support for working families and vital services.

Healthcare

Supports protecting and strengthening Medicaid funding, opposes federal Medicaid cuts and work requirements, and prioritizes lowering health care costs and access to care. Advocates protecting reproductive health decisions and increasing Medicaid reimbursement rates to support providers, especially in rural areas.

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Immigration & Border

Supports protecting due process and human rights in immigration enforcement while backing well-funded border security and qualified enforcement personnel; advocates state support for refugee resettlement funding and has voted against expanding state criminal penalties for undocumented reentry. Her statements emphasize fixing the federal immigration system with humanitarian protections alongside appropriate enforcement resources.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports legal access to abortion and reproductive health care, opposes Iowa’s six-week abortion ban, and has sponsored legislation to protect access to contraception. Positions emphasize defending reproductive rights and protecting birth-control access in state law.

Climate & Energy

Supports investments in clean energy such as wind, solar, and biofuels and promoting sustainable farming practices to protect land and water; opposes use of eminent domain for hazardous carbon pipelines in Iowa.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports investing in local law enforcement and victim services while prioritizing prevention through community-based mental-health response teams; favors closing loopholes that allow weapons to flood streets and funding school safety measures that protect students without turning classrooms into fortresses.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 7, 2026

Sarah Trone Garriott is in the news as the Democratic candidate in Iowa’s 3rd Congressional District, where the race is being described as a toss-up against Republican incumbent Zach Nunn. She has launched her first general election TV ad, backed by an initial six-figure buy, and is using it to highlight her background as a Lutheran minister and state senator while attacking Washington. Recent coverage has also focused on campaign events and scrutiny over past comments and a sermon tied to a progressive LGBTQIA+ affirming faith group. The ballot picture has also tightened after Iowa officials removed Libertarian candidates, leaving Trone Garriott and Nunn as the only candidates on the ballot unless that decision is appealed.

legis.iowa.gov+58

Latest Polls

IA-03 House winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Ragnar Research Partners
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
42%
48%
Sarah Trone Garriott
S. Garriott
Zach Nunn
Z. Nunn
Date (Start - End)SpreadGarriottNunn
Ragnar Research PartnersMar 12 - 14
Nunn+6.0
42.0%48.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$5.3M
$4.0M
$2.6M
$1.3M
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$5.3M
$3.9M
$1.4M
$79.7K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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