Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
46%
44%
42%
Z. Nunn
J. Konfrst
S. Garriott
Loading race
Loading race
Loading race
$9.5K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Claim $20 trading on Kalshi.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$9.5K
24h volume
$545
source: Kalshi
The biggest recent development is Vice President JD Vance campaigning in Iowa for Rep. Zach Nunn in the 3rd District. The seat is being described as a toss-up, with Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott challenging Nunn. The news points to a closely watched race, but not a clear shift in control. The Vance visits suggest Republicans are treating the seat as highly competitive and trying to shore up support. The race still looks close, with the latest news adding attention more than clarity.
With Gov. Kim Reynolds and Sen. Joni Ernst not running, competitive House races and hot primaries, Iowa's in the spotlight this year.
Voter registration data reveals where Republicans have lost, and gained, ground over the past year with Trump back in office.
The vice president’s political future weighs heavily on Donald Trump’s reputation.
Two states hold primaries while a cabinet secretary appears before the House Oversight Committee. A look at your Week Ahead in Washington for May 3-8, 2026.
An open seat in Iowa’s 4th District has sparked a contested Democratic primary while Republicans rally behind a Trump-endorsed candidate.
Democrats Christina Bohannan and Sarah Trone Garriott outraised Republican incumbent US Reps. Zach Nunn and Mariannette Miller-Meeks, new filings show
Vice President JD Vance will visit Iowa on April 30 to campaign for Republicans in the midterms, appearing with Rep. Zach Nunn in a competitive House race as speculation grows about a potential 2028 presidential run.
Nunn is seeking reelection to Iowa's 3rd Congressional District, which is perpetually among the nation's most competitive.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
