$69.5K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 3, 2026, 7:58 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 77% | $5.29M | |
| 25% | $4.87M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The provided news is mostly about Iowa’s 2026 Senate race, not the 3rd District House contest. That Senate race is being described as competitive, with Republicans defending and Democrats seeing a pickup chance. There is no direct new reporting here on the House race itself. These updates do not provide direct evidence on the House race in Iowa’s 3rd District. They suggest a competitive Iowa environment overall, but the effect on this market is unclear.
The voting history of both candidates has come under scrutiny as each criticizes the other’s attendance record.
With less than five weeks to go until the midterm elections, Republicans face historical headwinds as the party in power and must also contend with high gas prices amid the ongoing Iran war.
President Trump is set to campaign in several red states ahead of the midterms, according to a report.
President Donald Trump is expected to announce plans for South Korea to invest roughly $54B in a project to export natural gas from Alaska.
Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R., S.D.) decided against sending senators home early last week to campaign, opting to keep the Senate in session to try to bolster Republicans’ legislative record.
Trump-endorsed GOP candidate faces midterm test in cattle country after calling the president's new import policy a “bad idea.”
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Mar 12, 2026 and Mar 14, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
S. GarriottSarah Trone GarriottZ. NunnZach NunnSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
