Prediction Edge
RepublicanTrump Endorsed
Scott DesJarlais

Scott DesJarlais

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Tennessee

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Scott DesJarlais is trading at 95% to win the TN-04 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age62 years old (Feb 21, 1964)

GenderMale

Show more

LocationTennessee

BackgroundPhysician

EducationUniversity of South Dakota — B.S. (1987)

Notable personal detailsScott DesJarlais is a Republican member of the U.S. House of Representatives from Tennessee, first elected in 2010 and serving since January 3, 2011. He is a physician and earned a B.S. and an M.D. from the University of South Dakota. He has served on House committees including Armed Services and Agriculture, and has chaired the House Armed Forces Strategic Forces Subcommittee in the 119th Congress. He is married to Amy DesJarlais and has three children.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports lower taxes and tax reductions for middle-class households and small businesses, and endorses low taxes and reduced regulation to promote economic growth. Has supported making tax cuts permanent and frames economic growth as tied to lower taxes and fewer regulations.

Healthcare

Opposes the Affordable Care Act and Medicare for All and supports market-based, patient-centered reforms such as purchasing insurance across state lines, short-term plans, and reducing federal involvement in healthcare. Describes Medicare for All as replacing existing Medicare and expanding federal entitlement spending, and advocates returning decision-making power to patients and doctors rather than increasing government bureaucracy. Has a congressional voting record and public statements consistent with seeking to roll back or replace major elements of the ACA.

Show more

Immigration & Border

Supports strict enforcement-first immigration policies, including expanded border enforcement and tougher asylum/deportation measures, and has backed administration actions that rescinded DACA protections and endorsed zero-tolerance enforcement. Has supported legislation and measures to restrict sanctuary jurisdictions and increase immigration penalties.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate holds a pro-life position and supports legal restrictions on abortion, including backing late-term limits. He has been described as a consistent supporter of pro-life values and voted in favor of congressional measures to restrict abortion timing. Historical records and news coverage document both his public anti-abortion stance and controversies relating to his personal history on the issue.

Climate & Energy

Opposes Green New Deal-style proposals and supports expanding and protecting fossil fuel and traditional energy sources (pipelines, coal, nuclear, and gas exports). Has voted for measures that limit or block EPA climate-related regulations and emphasizes energy independence and market-driven policies.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports robust Second Amendment rights and opposes new gun-control measures; has sponsored legislation to relax firearms restrictions for military personnel on bases and has been endorsed by the NRA. Positions emphasize gun rights and support for law-enforcement approaches rather than expanded firearm regulations.

Latest Candidate Updates

Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.

TN-04 House winner?

5d

Scott DesJarlais is backed by Donald Trump and is currently at 94.8% in "TN-04 House winner?"

95%

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 7, 2026

Scott DesJarlais is in the news because Tennessee has enacted a new U.S. House map that could help Republicans win all nine of the state’s seats in 2026. The change weakens the Memphis district now held by a Democrat and is part of a broader redistricting fight that could still face court challenges. The reports suggest the final district lines are not fully settled yet.

history.house.gov+44

Endorsements

3
TN-04 Republican nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$536.8K
$402.6K
$268.4K
$134.2K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$174.9K
$316.1K
$161.4K
$6.7K

Cycle 2024

$305.9K
$366.0K
$255.9K
$10.7K

Cycle 2026

$536.8K
$495.1K
$407.7K
$21.5K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Polls