Prediction Edge
Republican
Stacy Garrity

Stacy Garrity

Republican candidate for Governor in Pennsylvania

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Stacy Garrity is trading at 100% to win the Pennsylvania Republican Governor nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleTreasurer

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

Age62 years old (May 17, 1964)

GenderFemale

Show more

LocationPennsylvania

BackgroundPennsylvania Treasurer

EducationBloomsburg University of Pennsylvania (BA; finance and economics)

Notable personal detailsStacy L. Garrity is a Republican politician and business executive who has served as Pennsylvania Treasurer since January 19, 2021, and was sworn in for a second term on January 21, 2025. She is a retired U.S. Army Reserve colonel who served from 1986 to 2016 and deployed in Operation Desert Storm, Operation Iraqi Freedom, and Operation Enduring Freedom. She worked for Global Tungsten & Powders Corp. from 1987 to 2021, rising to vice president for Government Affairs and Industry Liaison. She earned a finance and economics degree from Bloomsburg University of Pennsylvania and a certificate from the Cornell University Business Management Institute.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports taxpayer-focused fiscal management, reducing fees and regulatory red tape, and policies described as making Pennsylvania more business-friendly; emphasizes transparency, cutting government waste, and returning unclaimed funds to residents. Advocates administrative changes to ease tax appeals and has pursued fee reductions in state savings programs. No evidence found of advocating significant tax increases or major wealth-redistribution measures.

Healthcare

The candidate has supported Republican federal budget measures and Republican policy priorities that critics say would reduce federal funding for health programs and Planned Parenthood; she has promoted defunding Planned Parenthood and aligned with the Trump administration’s healthcare-related proposals. Her campaign messaging emphasizes protecting certain welfare benefits but also backs policy changes tied to reduced federal healthcare funding and restrictions on reproductive providers.

Show more

Immigration & Border

Supports stronger enforcement and cooperation with federal immigration authorities and has voiced support for Texas governor Greg Abbott’s border measures; she has criticized aspects of immigration such as non-English-speaking commercial drivers and urged cooperation with ICE. Statements emphasize enforcement and border security while not advocating explicit mass-deportation or extreme restrictionist policies in available sources.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Stacy Garrity identifies as pro-life but supports exceptions (she has said she is “pro-life, but I am for exceptions”) and has expressed opposition to expanding abortion rights; she celebrated the Supreme Court’s overturning of Roe v. Wade. Her public statements and campaign messaging indicate support for restricting abortion while allowing some exceptions.

Climate & Energy

Opposes regional carbon-pricing programs and regulatory limits on power plants, supports American energy production and energy independence including oil, gas, coal and nuclear, and criticizes policies she says would raise energy costs or harm jobs. Emphasizes protecting energy companies’ access to capital and favors market-driven support for domestic fossil-fuel and baseload generation alongside development of technology.

Public Safety & Guns

Stacy Garrity identifies as pro-gun and a strong supporter of Second Amendment rights and has backed measures to expand carry rights (including support for House Bill 659 to allow concealed carry without a license). Her campaign has accepted endorsements from pro-gun groups and she emphasizes support for law enforcement and first responders.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Stacy Garrity is now the Republican nominee for Pennsylvania governor and will face Gov. Josh Shapiro in the November election. She has been pushing for a series of debates with Shapiro as the campaign gets underway. Garrity also said she would resign from the board of ECM Insurance Group if elected, after questions about her outside role and possible compensation. Her campaign recently pushed back on a lieutenant governor candidate’s claim that they were running on a shared ticket.

patreasury.gov+50

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Public Policy Polling
50%40%30%20%10%0%
20%
39%
Stacy Garrity
S. Garrity
Doug Mastriano
D. Mastriano
Date (Start - End)SpreadGarrityMastriano
Public Policy PollingSep 18 - 19
Mastriano+19.0
20.0%39.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising