Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
54.4%
38%
35.2%
J. Shapiro
D. Mastriano
S. Garrity
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$27.4K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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source: Kalshi
New filings show Gov. Josh Shapiro has a large early fundraising advantage over expected Republican challenger Stacy Garrity ($10.5M raised vs. $1M; $36M cash on hand vs. $1.5M). Recent Pennsylvania primary coverage also frames Shapiro vs. Garrity as the likely November 2026 matchup, with Garrity unopposed in the GOP primary. Garrity has Trump’s endorsement, but it hasn’t translated into a major fundraising bump. The fundraising gap could nudge market sentiment toward Democrats, since Shapiro is reporting far more money and cash on hand. With Garrity unopposed and the matchup looking set, uncertainty may be slightly lower.
Primary battles in Pa. are largely being waged between Democrats as the party picks nominees to take on vulnerable GOP representatives.
A slew of incumbents are out, making room for fresh faces.
Graham Platner has become the presumptive Democratic nominee to challenge U.S. Sen. Susan Collins this November.
Progressive Democrat Analilia Mejia is headed to Washington.
College students in Pennsylvania have options for voting in the May 19 primary.
To help you prepare for Pensylvania's 2026 primary, we’ve answered some of your most frequently asked questions.
“So I have filed the suit. I'm not going to wait 'til I'm governor. There's no reason that the people of Connecticut should wait six more months to start remedying this situation."
SAN FRANCISCO – On the surface, it appeared innocent enough. Earlier this week, President Donald Trump endorsed former Fox News host Steve Hilton to be the
Six weeks out from the May 19 primary, Shapiro reported $36 million in the bank. Garrity reported $1.5 million on hand — a fraction of Shapiro’s teeming campaign war chest.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
