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NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 11, 2026, 10:23 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and polling averages. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average |
|---|---|---|
| 95% | 52.6% | |
| 6% | 33.7% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
A new Quinnipiac poll shows Josh Shapiro’s lead over Stacy Garrity narrowing in Pennsylvania. The survey suggests the race may be tighter than before, but it is still only one poll. Other recent items in the feed are unrelated to the Pennsylvania governor market. The narrowing poll could slightly reduce confidence in the Democratic side, but the race still appears unsettled. With only one recent Pennsylvania poll cited, uncertainty remains high.
Previous polling has had Shapiro leading Garrity by an average of 20 points.
Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.
Progressives including AOC united around Chris Rabb in the tight four-way race. The winner is almost guaranteed to prevail in November.
Progressive Democrat Analilia Mejia is headed to Washington.
The president took credit for the advance of the former Fox News host, Steve Hilton, to the runoff for governor.
In his first visit to the Lehigh Valley this year, President Donald Trump made the case for keeping the Republican majority in Congress in the 2026 midterm elections.
The signature swing state will once again take center stage in the midterms.
More than 200,000 voters cast ballots in the Democratic Senate primary, up from 162,000 in the party's 2020 primary.
Nevada, South Carolina and North Dakota hosted primary elections Tuesday, but much of the political world was focused on Maine’s high-stakes U.S. Senate contest. The results were never in question....
Get live updates and the latest news as Trump plans to nominate Todd Blanche for attorney general and the Senate begins voting on amendments to ICE and Border Patrol funding.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Sep 22, 2025 and Jul 30, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
