Prediction Edge
ClosedGeneral Election

2026 Pennsylvania Governor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Election Day: Recorded market close:

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' saved odds and polling averages. Updated .

CandidateSaved oddsPoll average
99%54.5%
2%33.4%

Odds

Odds History

Total volume

$1.7M

24h volume

$216.1K

source: Kalshi

Politics IQ

Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data

Pennsylvania · Governor

CompetitiveCore swing state

State Lean

Competitive

Core swing state

Primary System

Party primary or state-specific

No primary runoff

Election Rules

Primary May 19, 2026

Runoff: No

General: Nov 3, 2026

Early voting

No separate universal in-person early voting period; voters may use mail/absentee ballot processes once ballots are available.

Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · National Governors Association, Gubernatorial Elections · NCSL · Vote.org · Manual editorial review

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Pennsylvania 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

The provided news does not include any direct updates on the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race. Pennsylvania coverage instead centers on House battlegrounds, while broader analysis says Democrats are gaining ground in parts of the Midwest. There is no new polling, candidate, or endorsement news for this market. No clear market-moving update for this Pennsylvania governor party market. The provided news does not add evidence on the 2026 governor race, so odds likely stay unchanged.

Articles
NNorthjersey.Com1 day ago

Who are we voting for in NJ on Election Day?

Who are we voting for in the 2026 midterms? Here's what NJ voters will decide on Election Day, including Senate and House races.

NNewsBreak1 day ago

Midterm elections live updates: Trump says he'll become 'Mr. Veto' if Dems gain control of Congress

President Donald Trump is scheduled to appear at the Reflecting Pool on Monday. The high-stakes midterm elections are a day away, and candidates are making

NNorthjersey.Com4 days ago

Who do latest polls show winning 2026 midterms? See odds, forecasts

Who's winning the 2026 midterms? See the latest polls, odds and forecasts as Trump cancels rallies days before Election Day.

TPThe Philadelphia Inquirer4 days ago

Even with skill games money in the governor’s race, Stacy Garrity will not hit the jackpot | Shackamaxon

Plus: Explanations lacking in Academy closure, preventing gas shutoffs is misguided, and Jeffery “Jay” Young Jr. doth protest too much.

TBThe Boston Globe5 days ago

Inside the Pennsylvania race that could shape the fight for the House

This pivotal purple district provides clues for the scale of Tuesday’s Democratic rise.

REReading Eagle5 days ago

Garrity's final gubernatorial push hits Berks

State Treasurer Stacy Garrity is facing off against Gov. josh Shapiro in Tuesday's general election.

NNewsweek5 days ago

Trump Cancels Kansas Rally as New Poll Shows Republican Trailing Democrat

Donald Trump has canceled a planned rally in Kansas as polls shows GOP Sen. Roger Marshall trailing his Democratic challenger.

FNFox News6 days ago

HUGH HEWITT: The Senate secret weapon that could save Republicans next week

Senate race analysis breaks down key 2026 matchups including Susan Collins in Maine, Jon Husted in Ohio, Mike Rogers in Michigan, and Dan Sullivan in Alaska.

MJMother Jones2 days ago

On Abortion Rights, Nevada Offers a Perfect Snapshot of the Midterms

2026 is all about winning ballot measures, Democratic trifectas, and Congress.

NNNBC News5 months ago

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.

Latest Polls

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
54.5%
33.4%
Josh Shapiro
J. Shapiro
Stacy Garrity
S. Garrity
Date (Start - End)SpreadShapiroGarrity
Polling Average
Shapiro+21.1
54.5%33.4%
Research Co.Oct 30 - Nov 1
Shapiro+25.0
59.0%34.0%
ActiVoteOct 1 - 21
Shapiro+23.0
61.5%38.5%
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion ResearchOct 7 - 18
Shapiro+21.0
54.0%33.0%
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion ResearchOct 7 - 18
Shapiro+23.0
59.0%36.0%
Bravo GroupOct 5 - 11
Shapiro+30.0
58.0%28.0%
Quinnipiac UniversityOct 1 - 5
Shapiro+25.0
59.0%34.0%
Z to A ResearchSep 28 - Oct 1
Shapiro+19.0
53.0%34.0%
Susquehanna Polling & ResearchSep 22 - 30
Shapiro+21.0
52.0%31.0%
Bravo GroupSep 16 - 22
Shapiro+27.0
55.0%28.0%
The New York Times/Siena UniversitySep 15 - 22
Shapiro+19.0
57.0%38.0%
The New York Times/Siena UniversitySep 15 - 22
Shapiro+20.0
58.0%38.0%
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion ResearchAug 17 - 23
Shapiro+25.0
50.0%25.0%
Bravo GroupAug 18 - 22
Shapiro+31.0
56.0%25.0%
The New York Times/Siena UniversityAug 17 - 21
Shapiro+17.0
54.0%37.0%
The New York Times/Siena UniversityAug 17 - 21
Shapiro+16.0
55.0%39.0%
National Public AffairsJul 26 - 30
Shapiro+7.0
50.0%43.0%
Bravo GroupJul 17 - 24
Shapiro+25.0
53.0%28.0%
Quinnipiac UniversityJul 9 - 13
Shapiro+13.0
53.0%40.0%
Bravo GroupJun 18 - 25
Shapiro+25.0
54.0%29.0%
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion ResearchJun 8 - 14
Shapiro+22.0
50.0%28.0%
MAD Global StrategyJun 9 - 11
Shapiro+17.0
48.0%31.0%
Bravo GroupMay 20 - 24
Shapiro+24.0
53.0%29.0%
Susquehanna Polling & ResearchMar 18 - 29
Shapiro+22.0
58.0%36.0%
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion ResearchFeb 18 - Mar 1
Shapiro+20.0
48.0%28.0%
Quinnipiac UniversityFeb 19 - 23
Shapiro+18.0
55.0%37.0%
Quinnipiac UniversitySep 25 - 29
Shapiro+16.0
55.0%39.0%
Susquehanna Polling & ResearchSep 22 - 28
Shapiro+18.0
54.0%36.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Saved Kalshi settlement results

These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.

Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

Pennsylvania Governor winner?

All preserved contracts have verified final results.

  • Josh Shapiro

    Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Pennsylvania

    Final: Yes

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 1:14 AM UTC

  • Stacy Garrity

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Pennsylvania

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 1:14 AM UTC