State Lean
Competitive
Core swing state
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Compare the candidates' saved odds and polling averages. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Poll average |
|---|---|---|
| 99% | 54.5% | |
| 2% | 33.4% |
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Total volume
$1.7M
24h volume
$216.1K
source: Kalshi
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Pennsylvania · Governor
State Lean
Competitive
Core swing state
Primary System
Party primary or state-specific
No primary runoff
Election Rules
Primary May 19, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Early voting
No separate universal in-person early voting period; voters may use mail/absentee ballot processes once ballots are available.
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · National Governors Association, Gubernatorial Elections · NCSL · Vote.org · Manual editorial review
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
November
TUE 3
Pennsylvania 2026 general election
November
FRI 6
Prediction market closes
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The provided news does not include any direct updates on the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race. Pennsylvania coverage instead centers on House battlegrounds, while broader analysis says Democrats are gaining ground in parts of the Midwest. There is no new polling, candidate, or endorsement news for this market. No clear market-moving update for this Pennsylvania governor party market. The provided news does not add evidence on the 2026 governor race, so odds likely stay unchanged.
Who are we voting for in the 2026 midterms? Here's what NJ voters will decide on Election Day, including Senate and House races.
President Donald Trump is scheduled to appear at the Reflecting Pool on Monday. The high-stakes midterm elections are a day away, and candidates are making
Who's winning the 2026 midterms? See the latest polls, odds and forecasts as Trump cancels rallies days before Election Day.
Plus: Explanations lacking in Academy closure, preventing gas shutoffs is misguided, and Jeffery “Jay” Young Jr. doth protest too much.
This pivotal purple district provides clues for the scale of Tuesday’s Democratic rise.
State Treasurer Stacy Garrity is facing off against Gov. josh Shapiro in Tuesday's general election.
Donald Trump has canceled a planned rally in Kansas as polls shows GOP Sen. Roger Marshall trailing his Democratic challenger.
Senate race analysis breaks down key 2026 matchups including Susan Collins in Maine, Jon Husted in Ohio, Mike Rogers in Michigan, and Dan Sullivan in Alaska.
2026 is all about winning ballot measures, Democratic trifectas, and Congress.
Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.



| Date (Start - End) | Spread | Shapiro | Garrity |
|---|---|---|---|
Polling Average | Shapiro+21.1 | 54.5% | 33.4% |
Research Co.Oct 30 - Nov 1 | Shapiro+25.0 | 59.0% | 34.0% |
ActiVoteOct 1 - 21 | Shapiro+23.0 | 61.5% | 38.5% |
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion ResearchOct 7 - 18 | Shapiro+21.0 | 54.0% | 33.0% |
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion ResearchOct 7 - 18 | Shapiro+23.0 | 59.0% | 36.0% |
Bravo GroupOct 5 - 11 | Shapiro+30.0 | 58.0% | 28.0% |
Quinnipiac UniversityOct 1 - 5 | Shapiro+25.0 | 59.0% | 34.0% |
Z to A ResearchSep 28 - Oct 1 | Shapiro+19.0 | 53.0% | 34.0% |
Susquehanna Polling & ResearchSep 22 - 30 | Shapiro+21.0 | 52.0% | 31.0% |
Bravo GroupSep 16 - 22 | Shapiro+27.0 | 55.0% | 28.0% |
The New York Times/Siena UniversitySep 15 - 22 | Shapiro+19.0 | 57.0% | 38.0% |
The New York Times/Siena UniversitySep 15 - 22 | Shapiro+20.0 | 58.0% | 38.0% |
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion ResearchAug 17 - 23 | Shapiro+25.0 | 50.0% | 25.0% |
Bravo GroupAug 18 - 22 | Shapiro+31.0 | 56.0% | 25.0% |
The New York Times/Siena UniversityAug 17 - 21 | Shapiro+17.0 | 54.0% | 37.0% |
The New York Times/Siena UniversityAug 17 - 21 | Shapiro+16.0 | 55.0% | 39.0% |
National Public AffairsJul 26 - 30 | Shapiro+7.0 | 50.0% | 43.0% |
Bravo GroupJul 17 - 24 | Shapiro+25.0 | 53.0% | 28.0% |
Quinnipiac UniversityJul 9 - 13 | Shapiro+13.0 | 53.0% | 40.0% |
Bravo GroupJun 18 - 25 | Shapiro+25.0 | 54.0% | 29.0% |
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion ResearchJun 8 - 14 | Shapiro+22.0 | 50.0% | 28.0% |
MAD Global StrategyJun 9 - 11 | Shapiro+17.0 | 48.0% | 31.0% |
Bravo GroupMay 20 - 24 | Shapiro+24.0 | 53.0% | 29.0% |
Susquehanna Polling & ResearchMar 18 - 29 | Shapiro+22.0 | 58.0% | 36.0% |
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion ResearchFeb 18 - Mar 1 | Shapiro+20.0 | 48.0% | 28.0% |
Quinnipiac UniversityFeb 19 - 23 | Shapiro+18.0 | 55.0% | 37.0% |
Quinnipiac UniversitySep 25 - 29 | Shapiro+16.0 | 55.0% | 39.0% |
Susquehanna Polling & ResearchSep 22 - 28 | Shapiro+18.0 | 54.0% | 36.0% |
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Pennsylvania
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 1:14 AM UTC
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Pennsylvania
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 1:14 AM UTC