Prediction Edge
Democrat
Stephen Clemons

Stephen Clemons

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in California

Live Odds — CA-48 primary: first place

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$4.6KJUN 6, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleEnergy systems executive

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

LocationCalifornia

BackgroundEnergy systems executive

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Notable personal detailsStephen Clemons is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives in California's 48th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He registered with the Federal Election Commission as a House candidate and authorized the principal campaign committee "Stephen Clemons for Congress". He has been described in official California primary-election materials as an energy systems executive.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports a pro-business tax approach that simplifies the tax code and rewards companies for creating local jobs and investing in workers while emphasizing higher wages and middle-class growth. Advocates policies to grow the economy and bring good-paying jobs to the district rather than partisan tax battles.

Healthcare

The candidate says health care should be a human right and supports the goals of the Affordable Care Act while calling for practical reforms to lower costs, increase pricing transparency, expand affordable options, and address prescription drug prices. He emphasizes bipartisan solutions, prevention and primary care, and protecting access and affordability rather than moving to a single-payer system.

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Climate & Energy

Supports an active clean-energy transition with investments in grid modernization, automation, and utility-scale clean energy while prioritizing energy affordability and consumer protections. Emphasizes holding monopoly utilities accountable and using technology and policy to lower electric rates and improve reliability. Focus is on pragmatic clean-energy implementation rather than radical or eliminationist fossil-fuel policies.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Stephen Clemons is in the news because he is a candidate in California’s newly redrawn congressional races, where the June primary is being watched as a test of the state’s redistricting push. The biggest update is that several of these contests remain competitive or too close to call as ballots are counted, including races where the top-two system could shape who reaches the November ballot. The coverage suggests his race is part of a broader fight over whether the new maps will help Democrats gain House seats.

fec.gov+47

Latest Polls

CA-48 primary: first place

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Stephen Clemons currently averages 0.5%, ranking 7th in this race, 0.5 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 0.5%Position: 7thMargin: -0.5 ptsLatest poll: 0.0% (May 8 - 14)Polls included: 2

Average recalculated from polls through May 8 - 14.

Polling Average
30%20%10%0%
27%
11.5%
10.5%
Stephen Clemons
S. Clemons
Jim Desmond
J. Desmond
Kevin O'Neil
K. O'Neil
Ammar Campa-Najjar
A. Campa-Najjar
Mike Schaefer
M. Schaefer
Eric Shaw
E. Shaw
Ferguson Porter
F. Porter
Luis Reyna
L. Reyna
Date (Start - End)SpreadClemonsDesmondO'NeilCampa-NajjarSchaeferShawPorterReyna
Polling Average
Desmond+26.5
0.5%27.0%11.5%10.5%4.5%2.0%1.0%0.0%
SurveyUSAMay 8 - 14
Desmond+29.0
0.0%29.0%10.0%9.0%3.0%2.0%1.0%
SurveyUSAApr 14 - 19
Desmond+24.0
1.0%25.0%13.0%12.0%6.0%2.0%1.0%0.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising