Prediction Edge
Democrat
Tessa Lynn Hodge

Tessa Lynn Hodge

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in California

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Tessa Lynn Hodge is trading at 9% to win the CA-23 primary: first place on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleLicensed Clinical Social Worker

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

LocationCalifornia

BackgroundLicensed Clinical Social Worker

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Notable personal detailsTessa Lynn Hodge is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in California’s 23rd Congressional District (2026 cycle). She is a licensed clinical social worker and has described work supporting vulnerable populations and roles involving implementation of state and federal legislation in county policy. She filed a principal campaign committee with the FEC for the 2025–2026 cycle.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Healthcare

Supports protecting and expanding Medi‑Cal/Medicaid coverage, increasing access to affordable healthcare in rural communities, and expanding mental health care access and accountability for insurers.

Immigration & Border

Supports humane immigration reform and policies that restore fairness to the immigration system and opposes aggressive immigration enforcement tactics such as ICE raids that separate families. Emphasizes reform with a humanitarian framing while acknowledging the need for national security through diplomacy.

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Climate & Energy

Supports stronger emissions standards, increased federal funding for clean energy job creation, and protection of public lands; emphasizes combating environmental rollbacks and creating clean-energy jobs in the district. Advocates for major federal investment in clean energy while addressing local air quality and wildfire risks.

Latest Polls

CA-23 primary: first place

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Change Research
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
5%
48%
Tessa Lynn Hodge
T. Hodge
Jay Obernolte
J. Obernolte
Karen Matthews
K. Matthews
Date (Start - End)SpreadHodgeObernolteMatthews
Change ResearchMar 17 - 20
Obernolte+43.0
5.0%48.0%4.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$79.5K
$59.6K
$39.7K
$19.9K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$79.5K
$10.2K
$69.3K
$3.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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