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RepublicanTrump EndorsedIncumbent
Thomas H. Kean Jr.

Thomas H. Kean Jr.

Incumbent Republican candidate for U.S. House in New Jersey

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Thomas H. Kean Jr. is trading at 21% to win the NJ-07 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyModerate Republican

Age57 years old (Sep 5, 1968)

GenderMale

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LocationNew Jersey

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationPingry School (graduated 1986)

Notable personal detailsThomas Howard Kean Jr. is a U.S. Representative for New Jersey's 7th Congressional District, first elected in 2022 and serving in Congress since January 3, 2023. He previously served in the New Jersey General Assembly (2001–2003) and the New Jersey State Senate (2003–2022), including as Senate Minority Leader. Kean worked earlier in his career at the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and for U.S. Representative Bob Franks, and has also worked as an instructor at Tufts University and as a consultant.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports pro-growth economic policy, lower barriers for small businesses, and reducing wasteful spending. Backed restoration and expansion of the SALT deduction for middle-class families and promoted targeted tax credits for homebuyers and renters.

Healthcare

Kean’s public health-care messaging emphasizes affordability, expanded access, and protecting ACA-related benefits such as premium tax credits. He also backs bipartisan measures on prescription drug costs, mental health parity, and other patient-centered reforms rather than broad repeal-oriented changes.

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Immigration & Border

Supports permanent border security, stronger immigration enforcement, and giving law enforcement more resources. Also says the immigration system is broken and supports commonsense protections for children brought to the country illegally.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Thomas H. Kean Jr. has described himself as pro-choice and said he opposes a nationwide abortion ban, while also indicating support for restrictions such as limits around 20 weeks and parental notification. His record has also been described as opposing measures to codify abortion rights in New Jersey and to protect abortion rights federally.

Climate & Energy

Supports increasing American-made energy, reducing dependence on foreign oil, and lowering energy costs. Describes a measured approach to clean energy that includes nuclear, solar, and natural gas, and frames his energy policy around reversing anti-energy policies and using all available resources.

Public Safety & Guns

Kean voted against a 2023 resolution that would have nullified ATF restrictions on stabilizing pistol braces, which points toward support for that gun regulation. The available evidence does not show a broader, consistent public position on gun policy strongly in either direction.

Latest Polls

NJ-07 House winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Z to A Research
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
43%
47%
Thomas H. Kean Jr.
T. Kean
Rebecca Bennett
R. Bennett
Date (Start - End)SpreadKeanBennett
Z to A ResearchMay 24 - 26
Bennett+4.0
43.0%47.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

NJ-07 House winner?

Endorsers of Thomas H. Kean Jr. for NJ-07 House winner?

Donald Trump

Public figure

Donald Trump endorsed Thomas H. Kean Jr. for re-election

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Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$6.0M
$4.5M
$3.0M
$1.5M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$4.5M
$94.1K
$4.5M
$186.5K

Cycle 2024

$6.0M
$48.3K
$6.1M
$252.9K

Cycle 2026

$4.9M
$3.6M
$1.3M
$72.6K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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