Prediction Edge
DemocratIncumbent
Tina Kotek

Tina Kotek

Incumbent Democratic candidate for Governor in Oregon

Live Odds — Oregon Governor winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

87%chance to win

$204.7KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleGovernor

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age59 years old (Sep 30, 1966)

GenderFemale

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LocationOregon

BackgroundPolitician

EducationUniversity of Oregon — B.S., Religious Studies

Notable personal detailsTina Kotek is an American politician serving as the 39th governor of Oregon (in office since 2023) and a member of the Democratic Party. She previously represented Portland in the Oregon House of Representatives (2007–2022) and served as Speaker of the Oregon House (2013–2022). She worked earlier as a policy advocate focused on hunger and low-income issues and later rose to statewide office after winning the 2022 gubernatorial election.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports using the tax code to expand the earned income tax credit and to promote affordable housing lending. Also backs economic development tools, permitting reform, and targeted investments intended to grow the tax base and encourage business investment.

Healthcare

Tina Kotek supports expanding and protecting access to health coverage through Oregon Health Plan and the state insurance marketplace. Her public record emphasizes defending Medicaid, stabilizing maternity care, and expanding mental health and addiction treatment services.

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Immigration & Border

Kotek supports Oregon’s sanctuary protections and has opposed aggressive federal immigration enforcement in the state. She has backed bills expanding protections for immigrant and refugee communities and has defended birthright citizenship and immigrant communities more broadly.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Tina Kotek has consistently supported abortion access and reproductive rights. Her public statements describe abortion as essential reproductive health care, support Oregon’s Reproductive Health Equity Act, and frame health care decisions as belonging to individuals rather than politicians or employers. She has also taken action to preserve access to medication abortion in Oregon.

Climate & Energy

Tina Kotek supports reducing carbon pollution and accelerating Oregon’s clean energy transition. Her public statements emphasize science-based climate action, electrification, efficiency improvements, and clean energy infrastructure while also prioritizing grid reliability and affordability.

Public Safety & Guns

Tina Kotek supports gun-safety regulation including universal background checks, red flag laws, safe storage requirements, bans on ghost guns, and limits on rapid-fire devices. As governor, she signed the Community Safety Firearms Act, which bans rapid-fire devices and expands public-space firearm restrictions.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Tina Kotek is in the news because she is heading into a rematch with Republican Christine Drazan in the 2026 Oregon governor’s race after both won their party nominations. Recent polling suggests the race could be close, with Kotek leading Drazan by a narrow margin, though analysts still see her as the favorite. Kotek also drew bipartisan criticism over a failed petition that sought to ban hunting and fishing in Oregon.

westgov.org+43

Latest Polls

Oregon Governor winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Tina Kotek currently averages 44.3%, ranking second in this race, 0.3 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 44.3%Position: secondMargin: -0.3 ptsLatest poll: 43.0% (Sep 11 - 11)Polls included: 4

Average recalculated from polls through Sep 11 - 11.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
44.3%
44.5%
Tina Kotek
T. Kotek
Christine Drazan
C. Drazan
Date (Start - End)SpreadKotekDrazan
Polling Average
Drazan+0.3
44.3%44.5%
DHM ResearchSep 11 - 11
Drazan+2.0
43.0%45.0%
Public Opinion StrategiesJun 22 - 24
Drazan+4.0
44.0%48.0%
Hoffman Research GroupMay 11 - 12
Drazan+0.0
45.0%45.0%
FM3 ResearchJan 28 - Feb 4
Kotek+5.0
45.0%40.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising