


General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Todd Achilles is trading at 8% to win the Idaho Senate winner? on prediction markets.
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleFormer State Representative
PartyIndependent
Political ideologyCentrist Independent
GenderMale
LocationIdaho
BackgroundPolitician
EducationClaremont McKenna College (BA)
Notable personal detailsTheodore B. "Todd" Achilles is an American politician and former Idaho state representative who served Idaho House District 16B from February 17, 2024 to July 1, 2025. He is an Independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in Idaho in 2026. Achilles has served on active duty in the U.S. Army and has worked in the technology sector; he has also taught public policy.
Supports reducing taxes for middle-class families and small businesses while imposing taxes on corporate share buybacks and reforms to boost wages and worker mobility; favors policies intended to shift corporate priorities toward workers rather than investors. Advocates shrinking reliance on large government safety-net programs by increasing wages and curbing corporate practices seen as extracting value from workers.
The candidate emphasizes improving affordability and supports a well-funded, efficient Department of Veterans Affairs that delivers timely healthcare and benefits to veterans. Public materials discuss healthcare as an affordability problem but do not endorse a specific federal reform such as Medicare for All, a public option, or full market-based repeal.
Supports securing the border and stopping the flow of undocumented immigrants while emphasizing fully equipping and staffing Customs & Border Protection and lawful, ethical operations. In state-legislature comments he opposed Texas-style state immigration enforcement laws as unconstitutional under the Supremacy Clause but framed immigration as a problem that undermines wages and law.
The candidate supports restoring safe and private access to reproductive healthcare in Idaho and says women should make their own health care decisions in consultation with family and doctors rather than the government.
Supports and will defend the Second Amendment and the right of law-abiding citizens to bear arms while promoting responsible gun ownership, training, safe storage, and expanded access to crisis mental health services. Does not indicate support for broad new firearm bans or red flag laws on the campaign platform pages reviewed.
Todd Achilles is now one of the main candidates in Idaho’s 2026 Senate race after Democrat David Roth withdrew, leaving Achilles to challenge Republican Sen. Jim Risch one-on-one. Achilles, backed by the Forward Party, says he will keep campaigning, and recent reporting suggests the matchup could be more competitive for him than a three-way race. Even so, Risch still has a major fundraising advantage in a heavily Republican state.
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Todd Achilles currently averages 10.0%, ranking second in this race, 5.3 points behind the next candidate.
Average recalculated from polls through Jun 6 - 7.


Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Endorsers of Todd Achilles for Idaho Senate winner?
Public endorsement
Veterans for Idaho Voters endorsed Todd Achilles for U.S. Senate in Idaho.
Public endorsement
Independent Veterans of America endorsed Todd Achilles for the 2026 U.S. Senate race in Idaho.
Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
2026
LatestCycle 2026
Source: FEC