Alaska Governor winner? (Person)
2dBegich’s exit after the primary further consolidates the Democratic lane behind Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, a concrete field change that can still move governor pricing.

Democratic candidate for Governor in Alaska
Alaska Governor winner? (Person)
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
0.2%chance to win
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleFormer State Senator
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyModerate Democrat
Age65 years old (Oct 31, 1960)
GenderMale
LocationAlaska
BackgroundPolitician
EducationBard College — B.A. (History)
Notable personal detailsThomas Scott Begich is an American politician, musician, and consultant who served in the Alaska Senate representing District J from 2017 to 2023 and was Senate Minority Leader from 2019 to 2023. A Democrat, he has run for governor in Alaska's 2026 election cycle with Julia Hnilicka as his lieutenant governor running mate. He is part of Alaska's prominent Begich political family and is the brother of former U.S. Senator Mark Begich.
Supports using Permanent Fund earnings with a long-term draw (around 4%) and allocating a portion of those earnings to both dividends and public education; emphasizes common-sense fiscal planning and protecting education funding rather than large one-time payouts that could deplete the fund. Opposed ad-hoc energy relief payments when they would reduce funds for forward-funding education.
Tom Begich says Alaska cannot absorb major federal Medicaid funding losses and emphasizes making health care more affordable through measures such as negotiating with insurers and exploring self‑insurance rather than expanding state coverage. His public materials highlight pragmatic, state-level cost-containment and access measures rather than support for large federal expansions or single‑payer reforms.
Tom Begich answered the 2020 Political Courage Test identifying as "pro-choice" while also indicating he would not legalize abortion when the pregnancy resulted from incest or rape, showing a qualified or internally inconsistent stance. Legislative hearing record excerpts show Begich engaging on limits and medical duties in abortion-related legislation. Available public records show no single unambiguous position on unrestricted abortion access or on codifying Roe-era protections.
Supports expanding renewable and alternative energy, investments in community-scale and cold-climate technologies, and adaptation measures for Alaska’s warming Arctic while also endorsing continued use of Alaska’s oil and gas resources as part of a reliable, affordable energy mix.
Tom Begich has sponsored and cosponsored legislation to create or expand gun-violence protective orders (extreme-risk/red-flag style measures) in the Alaska Legislature, indicating support for targeted firearm restrictions to improve public safety while serving as a state senator.
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
Begich’s exit after the primary further consolidates the Democratic lane behind Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, a concrete field change that can still move governor pricing.
Tom Begich has launched his 2026 Alaska governor campaign as a Democrat, with Julia Hnilicka as his running mate. His campaign is focused on schools, housing, energy costs, healthcare, and state resource revenue, and he has also been promoting an energy-tax overhaul. He has picked up early support, including endorsements from Alaska women, and an early poll showed him leading the crowded primary field, though not by a majority.
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Tom Begich currently averages 29.3%, ranking first in this race, 8.3 points ahead of the nearest opponent.
Average recalculated from polls through Apr 16 - 19.








Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.