Prediction Edge
Democrat
Tom Perriello

Tom Perriello

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Virginia

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Tom Perriello is trading at 17% to win the VA-05 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer U.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age51 years old (Oct 9, 1974)

GenderMale

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LocationVirginia

BackgroundPolitician

EducationYale University (B.A., 1996)

Notable personal detailsThomas Stuart Price Perriello is an American politician and diplomat who represented Virginia in the U.S. House of Representatives from 2009 to 2011. He earned a B.A. from Yale University (1996) and a J.D. from Yale University (2001). He later served in U.S. diplomatic roles including Special Envoy for the Africa Great Lakes region (2015–2016) and U.S. Special Envoy for Sudan (2024–present).

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports raising taxes on high-income individuals and closing corporate tax loopholes to finance expanded public programs such as universal pre-K, free community college, rural broadband, and other investments. Advocated specific surtaxes and higher rates on top incomes and proposals to require better corporate tax reporting.

Healthcare

Supports strengthening and defending the Affordable Care Act, expanding access through measures such as Medicaid expansion and a public option, and reducing prescription drug costs. Has a record of voting for the ACA and advocating for government measures to increase coverage rather than wholesale privatization or repeal.

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Immigration & Border

Supports comprehensive immigration reform including expanded legal pathways and protections for immigrants, and has publicly advocated for reform-oriented, humane approaches to enforcement rather than mass deportation. Has a track record of promoting pro-reform positions through leadership roles at the Center for American Progress and earlier public statements as a member of Congress.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Tom Perriello voted in Congress for measures restricting federal funding of abortion (e.g., the Stupak amendment) and has been described in earlier reporting as holding anti-abortion views. In later campaigns he apologized for those votes and ran on an explicitly pro-choice platform, creating a record with conflicting statements and actions on abortion access.

Climate & Energy

Supports clean energy and emissions-reduction policies, including a vote for the 2009 American Clean Energy and Security Act; has advocated sustainable energy and opposed major fracked-gas pipeline projects in Virginia.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanded background checks for gun sales and has expressed support for President Obama’s post–Sandy Hook gun safety efforts; favors gun safety measures while respecting lawful ownership.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Tom Perriello is back in the news because he is running in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District Democratic primary and has advanced to the November general election matchup against Republican Rep. John McGuire. Recent coverage has focused on the primary contest, the district’s political lean, and how turnout could shape the race. Other reports are broader Virginia election previews and do not add major new developments about Perriello himself.

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Latest Polls

VA-05 House winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Expedition Strategies
50%40%30%20%10%0%
44%
Tom Perriello
T. Perriello
Date (Start - End)SpreadPerriello
Expedition StrategiesJul 29 - Aug 1
44.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.1M
$1.6M
$1.1M
$535.1K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$2.1M
$1.5M
$629.1K
$33.1K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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