VA-05 House winner?
27dHigh ImpactRepublican Party's odds in "VA-05 House winner?" are now 76%, above the prior high of 37%.
Republican Party
Republican Party's odds in "VA-05 House winner?" are now 76%, above the prior high of 37%.
Republican Party's odds in "VA-05 House winner?" are now 76%, above the prior high of 37%.
Republican Party's odds in "VA-05 House winner?" are now 77%, above the prior high of 37%.
That tops the prior high of 74% for Republican Party in "VA-05 House winner?"
Virginia’s Supreme Court has left the current congressional map in place for the 2026 House election, keeping the 5th District boundaries unchanged. The rejected map would have made the district more Democratic, and Democrats are seeking emergency review. The ruling keeps the race on the current lines for now. Keeping the current map in place likely preserves the district’s existing partisan balance, which may reduce uncertainty. Any future court action could still change the outlook.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.