Prediction Edge
Democrat
Tom Steyer

Overview

Current roleBusinessman

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age68 years old (Jun 27, 1957)

GenderMale

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LocationCalifornia

BackgroundBusinessman

EducationYale University (BA)

Notable personal detailsThomas Fahr Steyer is an American businessman, investor, philanthropist, and Democratic political activist. He founded the hedge fund Farallon Capital and later became prominent for climate advocacy and political spending through efforts such as NextGen America and Need to Impeach. He ran for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2020 and announced a campaign for California governor in November 2025.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports significant tax increases on the very wealthy and closing capital-gains/dividend loopholes to fund expanded social programs; proposes a wealth tax (1% above ~$32 million) and rolling back tax cuts for the wealthy while delivering targeted tax relief for working families. Advocates using revenue from higher taxes on top earners and corporations to expand healthcare, education, infrastructure, and other public investments.

Healthcare

Supports health care as a right and favors building on the Affordable Care Act with a public option rather than implementing Medicare-for-All that would eliminate employer plans. Advocates using government purchasing power and regulation to drive down costs while preserving choice for those with employer-negotiated coverage.

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Immigration & Border

Supports comprehensive, humane immigration reform including a pathway to citizenship, reinstating DACA and expanding TPS, ending family separation and abolishing private immigration detention; opposes construction of a southern border wall while advocating for "smart" border security and reforms to ICE/CBP to prioritize due process and national security. Would decriminalize border crossings (use civil processing) and limit deportations to those convicted of felony crimes, and seeks to expand refugee admissions and asylum protections.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate explicitly identifies as pro‑choice, describes abortion as health care, and supports repealing the Hyde Amendment and protecting reproductive rights. He has worked with and funded pro‑choice organizations and stated he will back policies to preserve abortion access. These positions indicate support for unrestricted access and federal protections for abortion rights.

Climate & Energy

Supports aggressive climate action including declaring a national climate emergency, backing Green New Deal–style legislation, targeting 100% clean electricity by 2040 and net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2045, and large federal investments in clean energy and a civilian climate corps.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports strong federal gun safety reforms including universal/background checks, a federal licensing system for gun ownership, waiting periods, red flag (extreme-risk) laws, a ban on new assault weapons and high-capacity magazines, and creation of a federal Office of Gun Violence Prevention. Also supports measures like voluntary buybacks, regulation of ghost/3D-printed guns, and repeal of industry liability protections to increase accountability.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 16, 2026

Tom Steyer finished third in California’s 2026 gubernatorial primary and did not advance to the November runoff. He conceded after spending more than $200 million of his own money on the race, including more than $209 million on advertising. The top two spots went to Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton, leaving Steyer with another unsuccessful bid for elected office.

en.wikipedia.org+39

Polls

Polling Average
25%20%15%10%5%0%
13.2%
18.5%
13.5%
12.2%
11.1%
9.9%
5.1%
Tom Steyer
T. Steyer
Steve Hilton
S. Hilton
Chad Bianco
C. Bianco
Xavier Becerra
X. Becerra
Eric Swalwell
E. Swalwell
Katie Porter
K. Porter
Matt Mahan
M. Mahan
Antonio Villaraigosa
A. Villaraigosa
Date (Start - End)SpreadSteyerHiltonBiancoBecerraSwalwellPorterMahanVillaraigosa
Polling Average
Hilton+5.2
13.2%18.5%13.5%12.2%11.1%9.9%5.1%3.1%
SurveyUSAMay 28 - 31
Steyer+0.0
20.0%20.0%11.0%17.0%7.0%6.0%4.0%
Emerson CollegeMay 27 - 28
Becerra+5.8
22.6%22.5%11.8%28.4%5.2%4.9%2.7%
Public Policy PollingMay 27 - 28
Steyer+1.0
21.0%20.0%14.0%18.0%7.0%7.0%2.0%
McLaughlin & AssociatesMay 26 - 28
Steyer+0.0
25.0%25.0%10.0%19.0%7.0%6.0%
Kreate StrategiesMay 27 - 27
Becerra+7.0
20.0%26.0%9.0%27.0%5.0%4.0%1.0%
David Binder ResearchMay 26 - 27
Hilton+5.0
22.0%27.0%9.0%26.0%8.0%4.0%
University of Southern California/California State University Long Beach Center for Urban Politics and Policy/Cal Poly PomonaMay 23 - 26
Becerra+11.0
18.0%23.0%11.0%29.0%8.0%4.0%3.0%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesMay 19 - 24
Becerra+6.0
19.0%21.0%11.0%25.0%7.0%4.0%1.0%
Echelon InsightsMay 18 - 21
Hilton+7.0
18.0%25.0%12.0%15.0%7.0%7.0%1.0%
Global Strategy GroupMay 18 - 21
Hilton+3.0
19.0%22.0%12.0%19.0%8.0%8.0%2.0%
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaMay 14 - 18
Becerra+8.0
15.0%20.0%13.0%23.0%12.0%7.0%5.0%
EvitarusMay 14 - 16
Hilton+7.0
15.0%22.0%10.0%21.0%0.0%7.0%4.0%1.0%
EvitarusMay 14 - 16
Hilton+7.0
15.0%22.0%11.0%22.0%6.0%4.0%1.0%
David Binder ResearchMay 5 - 11
Hilton+8.0
15.0%23.0%13.0%22.0%12.0%7.0%2.0%
Emerson CollegeMay 9 - 10
Becerra+1.4
18.9%17.7%12.0%20.3%13.1%9.3%5.1%
Kreate StrategiesMay 5 - 9
Hilton+8.0
14.0%22.0%13.0%20.0%9.0%9.0%1.0%
Mellman GroupMay 3 - 6
Becerra+8.0
12.0%20.0%14.0%20.0%9.0%10.0%
Impact ResearchApr 28 - May 3
Becerra+9.0
14.0%23.0%11.0%23.0%9.0%10.0%1.0%
EvitarusApr 30 - May 2
Hilton+6.0
12.0%18.0%14.0%18.0%1.0%8.0%7.0%2.0%
SurveyUSAApr 28 - May 1
Hilton+2.0
18.0%20.0%12.0%10.0%8.0%7.0%5.0%
Gudelunas StrategiesApr 23 - 27
Becerra+9.0
15.0%23.0%13.0%24.0%0.0%10.0%6.0%2.0%
YouGovApr 23 - 27
Hilton+1.0
15.0%16.0%10.0%13.0%9.0%4.0%4.0%
EMC ResearchApr 21 - 26
Becerra+4.0
17.0%20.0%15.0%21.0%8.0%8.0%3.0%
Independent Voter ProjectApr 14 - 20
Becerra+9.1
13.9%19.7%16.7%23.0%11.4%4.3%1.0%
Gudelunas StrategiesApr 14 - 18
Hilton+5.0
15.0%20.0%14.0%15.0%0.0%13.0%6.0%3.0%
Kreate StrategiesApr 12 - 18
Hilton+2.0
16.0%18.0%14.0%10.0%3.0%8.0%4.0%1.0%
Kreate StrategiesApr 12 - 18
Hilton+2.0
16.0%18.0%14.0%10.0%10.0%4.0%1.0%
EvitarusApr 15 - 17
Hilton+3.0
13.0%16.0%14.0%13.0%1.0%10.0%5.0%2.0%
Emerson CollegeApr 14 - 15
Hilton+2.5
14.1%16.6%14.4%10.4%10.3%5.4%2.5%
SurveyUSAApr 8 - 10
Steyer+3.0
21.0%18.0%8.0%4.0%9.0%8.0%4.0%5.0%
David Binder ResearchApr 1 - 6
Hilton+10.0
12.0%22.0%13.0%4.0%18.0%11.0%5.0%2.0%
Gudelunas StrategiesApr 1 - 6
Hilton+10.0
12.0%22.0%13.0%4.0%18.0%11.0%5.0%2.0%
EvitarusMar 31 - Apr 5
Bianco+3.0
11.0%14.0%14.0%4.0%12.0%7.0%4.0%4.0%
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaMar 26 - Apr 3
Swalwell+4.0
14.0%17.0%14.0%5.0%18.0%10.0%5.0%5.0%
Kreate StrategiesMar 23 - 29
Hilton+6.0
13.0%19.0%10.0%2.0%13.0%8.0%4.0%2.0%
Echelon InsightsMar 12 - 17
Hilton+7.0
13.0%20.0%14.0%3.0%15.0%10.0%4.0%3.0%
EvitarusMar 12 - 17
Hilton+6.0
10.0%16.0%14.0%3.0%10.0%10.0%3.0%3.0%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesMar 9 - 15
Hilton+7.0
10.0%17.0%16.0%5.0%13.0%13.0%4.0%4.0%
Emerson CollegeMar 7 - 9
Swalwell+6.4
10.9%13.3%11.4%3.0%17.3%8.4%3.2%3.2%
University of California Berkeley Jack Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research/TrueDotFeb 25 - Mar 3
Hilton+6.0
13.0%19.0%11.0%5.0%11.0%11.0%3.0%4.0%
Global Strategy GroupFeb 27 - Mar 2
Hilton+4.0
16.0%20.0%15.0%5.0%11.0%13.0%3.0%2.0%
Independent Voter ProjectFeb 13 - 20
Bianco+15.3
8.0%14.9%23.3%3.4%17.9%12.4%2.1%2.8%
Emerson CollegeFeb 13 - 14
Hilton+8.3
8.8%17.1%13.5%3.5%14.1%9.8%3.4%2.8%
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaFeb 3 - 11
Hilton+4.0
10.0%14.0%12.0%5.0%11.0%13.0%3.0%5.0%
Tavern ResearchFeb 2 - 5
Bianco+11.0
9.0%12.0%20.0%6.0%10.0%9.0%2.0%3.0%
EMC ResearchJan 29 - Feb 4
Bianco+12.0
9.0%17.0%21.0%6.0%18.0%12.0%5.0%3.0%
Global Strategy GroupJan 29 - Feb 3
Bianco+8.0
10.0%18.0%18.0%4.0%14.0%12.0%3.0%3.0%
J. Wallin Opinion ResearchJan 29 - Feb 1
Hilton+2.0
12.0%14.0%11.0%6.0%9.0%8.0%4.0%7.0%
RBI Strategies & ResearchJan 25 - 29
Hilton+8.0
8.0%16.0%15.0%14.0%13.0%3.0%
Tulchin ResearchJan 22 - 28
Hilton+5.0
10.0%15.0%15.0%5.0%14.0%13.0%7.0%
Public Policy PollingJan 20 - 21
Bianco+10.0
8.0%17.0%18.0%6.0%11.0%14.0%5.0%2.0%
David Binder ResearchJan 17 - 20
Bianco+9.0
8.0%14.0%17.0%5.0%11.0%11.0%3.0%
FM3 ResearchNov 30 - Dec 7
Hilton+12.0
6.0%18.0%17.0%3.0%17.0%13.0%3.0%
Emerson CollegeDec 1 - 2
Bianco+9.0
4.3%11.5%13.3%3.5%11.5%11.0%5.0%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesOct 20 - 27
Bianco+12.0
1.0%8.0%13.0%8.0%11.0%5.0%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesOct 20 - 27
Bianco+12.0
1.0%8.0%13.0%5.0%9.0%3.0%
EMC ResearchOct 22 - 26
Hilton+17.0
3.0%20.0%14.0%9.0%11.0%16.0%5.0%
Bold DecisionOct 16 - 21
Bianco+7.0
7.0%13.0%14.0%8.0%12.0%7.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising