Prediction Edge
Democrat
Tom Steyer

Overview

Current roleBusiness executive

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age68 years old (Jun 27, 1957)

GenderMale

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LocationCalifornia

BackgroundBusiness executive

EducationYale University (BA)

Notable personal detailsThomas Fahr Steyer is an American businessman, philanthropist, and political activist known for founding Farallon Capital Management and later focusing on climate and progressive advocacy through organizations such as NextGen America. He earned a BA from Yale University and an MBA from Stanford University. He ran for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2020 and later entered the 2026 California gubernatorial race. He is married to Kathryn Ann ("Kat") Taylor and they have four children.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports significant tax increases on the very wealthy and closing capital-gains/dividend loopholes to fund expanded social programs; proposes a wealth tax (1% above ~$32 million) and rolling back tax cuts for the wealthy while delivering targeted tax relief for working families. Advocates using revenue from higher taxes on top earners and corporations to expand healthcare, education, infrastructure, and other public investments.

Healthcare

Supports health care as a right and favors building on the Affordable Care Act with a public option rather than implementing Medicare-for-All that would eliminate employer plans. Advocates using government purchasing power and regulation to drive down costs while preserving choice for those with employer-negotiated coverage.

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Immigration & Border

Supports comprehensive, humane immigration reform including a pathway to citizenship, reinstating DACA and expanding TPS, ending family separation and abolishing private immigration detention; opposes construction of a southern border wall while advocating for "smart" border security and reforms to ICE/CBP to prioritize due process and national security. Would decriminalize border crossings (use civil processing) and limit deportations to those convicted of felony crimes, and seeks to expand refugee admissions and asylum protections.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate explicitly identifies as pro‑choice, describes abortion as health care, and supports repealing the Hyde Amendment and protecting reproductive rights. He has worked with and funded pro‑choice organizations and stated he will back policies to preserve abortion access. These positions indicate support for unrestricted access and federal protections for abortion rights.

Climate & Energy

Supports aggressive climate action including declaring a national climate emergency, backing Green New Deal–style legislation, targeting 100% clean electricity by 2040 and net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2045, and large federal investments in clean energy and a civilian climate corps.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports strong federal gun safety reforms including universal/background checks, a federal licensing system for gun ownership, waiting periods, red flag (extreme-risk) laws, a ban on new assault weapons and high-capacity magazines, and creation of a federal Office of Gun Violence Prevention. Also supports measures like voluntary buybacks, regulation of ghost/3D-printed guns, and repeal of industry liability protections to increase accountability.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedMay 20, 2026

Tom Steyer is in the news mainly because of his California governor campaign, where recent polls show him in the mix but trailing Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton. He has been campaigning on wealth taxes, climate policy, and education funding, while also drawing support from some left-leaning groups. His campaign is also facing a disclosure complaint over paid influencer posts, adding a controversy to the race. The final debate and primary polling suggest he is still a serious contender, but his path to advancing remains uncertain.

en.wikipedia.org+41

Polls

California Governor primary: 1st place
Polling Average
20%15%10%5%0%
11.7%
17.4%
14.0%
11.1%
10.4%
9.8%
Tom Steyer
T. Steyer
Steve Hilton
S. Hilton
Chad Bianco
C. Bianco
Eric Swalwell
E. Swalwell
Katie Porter
K. Porter
Xavier Becerra
X. Becerra
Matt Mahan
M. Mahan
Antonio Villaraigosa
A. Villaraigosa
Date (Start - End)SpreadSteyerHiltonBiancoSwalwellPorterBecerraMahanVillaraigosa
Polling Average
Hilton+5.8
11.7%17.4%14.0%11.1%10.4%9.8%4.9%3.2%
EvitarusMay 14 - 16
Hilton+7.0
15.0%22.0%10.0%0.0%7.0%21.0%4.0%1.0%
EvitarusMay 14 - 16
Hilton+7.0
15.0%22.0%11.0%6.0%22.0%4.0%1.0%
David Binder ResearchMay 5 - 11
Hilton+8.0
15.0%23.0%13.0%12.0%22.0%7.0%2.0%
Emerson CollegeMay 9 - 10
Becerra+1.4
18.9%17.7%12.0%13.1%20.3%9.3%5.1%
Kreate StrategiesMay 5 - 9
Hilton+8.0
14.0%22.0%13.0%9.0%20.0%9.0%1.0%
Mellman GroupMay 3 - 6
Becerra+8.0
12.0%20.0%14.0%9.0%20.0%10.0%
Impact ResearchApr 28 - May 3
Becerra+9.0
14.0%23.0%11.0%9.0%23.0%10.0%1.0%
EvitarusApr 30 - May 2
Hilton+6.0
12.0%18.0%14.0%1.0%8.0%18.0%7.0%2.0%
SurveyUSAApr 28 - May 1
Hilton+2.0
18.0%20.0%12.0%8.0%10.0%7.0%5.0%
Gudelunas StrategiesApr 23 - 27
Becerra+9.0
15.0%23.0%13.0%0.0%10.0%24.0%6.0%2.0%
YouGovApr 23 - 27
Hilton+1.0
15.0%16.0%10.0%9.0%13.0%4.0%4.0%
EMC ResearchApr 21 - 26
Becerra+4.0
17.0%20.0%15.0%8.0%21.0%8.0%3.0%
Independent Voter ProjectApr 14 - 20
Becerra+9.1
13.9%19.7%16.7%11.4%23.0%4.3%1.0%
Gudelunas StrategiesApr 14 - 18
Hilton+5.0
15.0%20.0%14.0%0.0%13.0%15.0%6.0%3.0%
Kreate StrategiesApr 12 - 18
Hilton+2.0
16.0%18.0%14.0%3.0%8.0%10.0%4.0%1.0%
Kreate StrategiesApr 12 - 18
Hilton+2.0
16.0%18.0%14.0%10.0%10.0%4.0%1.0%
EvitarusApr 15 - 17
Hilton+3.0
13.0%16.0%14.0%1.0%10.0%13.0%5.0%2.0%
Emerson CollegeApr 14 - 15
Hilton+2.5
14.1%16.6%14.4%10.3%10.4%5.4%2.5%
SurveyUSAApr 8 - 10
Steyer+3.0
21.0%18.0%8.0%9.0%8.0%4.0%4.0%5.0%
David Binder ResearchApr 1 - 6
Hilton+10.0
12.0%22.0%13.0%18.0%11.0%4.0%5.0%2.0%
Gudelunas StrategiesApr 1 - 6
Hilton+10.0
12.0%22.0%13.0%18.0%11.0%4.0%5.0%2.0%
EvitarusMar 31 - Apr 5
Bianco+3.0
11.0%14.0%14.0%12.0%7.0%4.0%4.0%4.0%
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaMar 26 - Apr 3
Swalwell+4.0
14.0%17.0%14.0%18.0%10.0%5.0%5.0%5.0%
Kreate StrategiesMar 23 - 29
Hilton+6.0
13.0%19.0%10.0%13.0%8.0%2.0%4.0%2.0%
Echelon InsightsMar 12 - 17
Hilton+7.0
13.0%20.0%14.0%15.0%10.0%3.0%4.0%3.0%
EvitarusMar 12 - 17
Hilton+6.0
10.0%16.0%14.0%10.0%10.0%3.0%3.0%3.0%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesMar 9 - 15
Hilton+7.0
10.0%17.0%16.0%13.0%13.0%5.0%4.0%4.0%
Emerson CollegeMar 7 - 9
Swalwell+6.4
10.9%13.3%11.4%17.3%8.4%3.0%3.2%3.2%
University of California Berkeley Jack Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research/TrueDotFeb 25 - Mar 3
Hilton+6.0
13.0%19.0%11.0%11.0%11.0%5.0%3.0%4.0%
Global Strategy GroupFeb 27 - Mar 2
Hilton+4.0
16.0%20.0%15.0%11.0%13.0%5.0%3.0%2.0%
Independent Voter ProjectFeb 13 - 20
Bianco+15.3
8.0%14.9%23.3%17.9%12.4%3.4%2.1%2.8%
Emerson CollegeFeb 13 - 14
Hilton+8.3
8.8%17.1%13.5%14.1%9.8%3.5%3.4%2.8%
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaFeb 3 - 11
Hilton+4.0
10.0%14.0%12.0%11.0%13.0%5.0%3.0%5.0%
Tavern ResearchFeb 2 - 5
Bianco+11.0
9.0%12.0%20.0%10.0%9.0%6.0%2.0%3.0%
EMC ResearchJan 29 - Feb 4
Bianco+12.0
9.0%17.0%21.0%18.0%12.0%6.0%5.0%3.0%
Global Strategy GroupJan 29 - Feb 3
Bianco+8.0
10.0%18.0%18.0%14.0%12.0%4.0%3.0%3.0%
J. Wallin Opinion ResearchJan 29 - Feb 1
Hilton+2.0
12.0%14.0%11.0%9.0%8.0%6.0%4.0%7.0%
RBI Strategies & ResearchJan 25 - 29
Hilton+8.0
8.0%16.0%15.0%14.0%13.0%3.0%
Tulchin ResearchJan 22 - 28
Hilton+5.0
10.0%15.0%15.0%14.0%13.0%5.0%7.0%
Public Policy PollingJan 20 - 21
Bianco+10.0
8.0%17.0%18.0%11.0%14.0%6.0%5.0%2.0%
David Binder ResearchJan 17 - 20
Bianco+9.0
8.0%14.0%17.0%11.0%11.0%5.0%3.0%
FM3 ResearchNov 30 - Dec 7
Hilton+12.0
6.0%18.0%17.0%17.0%13.0%3.0%3.0%
Emerson CollegeDec 1 - 2
Bianco+9.0
4.3%11.5%13.3%11.5%11.0%3.5%5.0%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesOct 20 - 27
Bianco+12.0
1.0%8.0%13.0%11.0%8.0%5.0%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesOct 20 - 27
Bianco+12.0
1.0%8.0%13.0%9.0%5.0%3.0%
EMC ResearchOct 22 - 26
Hilton+17.0
3.0%20.0%14.0%11.0%16.0%9.0%5.0%
Bold DecisionOct 16 - 21
Bianco+7.0
7.0%13.0%14.0%12.0%8.0%7.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

California Governor primary: 1st place

Endorsers of Tom Steyer for California Governor primary: 1st place

Our Revolution

Elected official

Our Revolution endorsed Tom Steyer for California governor.

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Democratic Assemblymember Nick Schultz

Elected official

Democratic Assemblymember Nick Schultz endorsed Tom Steyer for California governor.

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Democratic Assemblymember Corey Jackson

Elected official

Corey Jackson endorsed Tom Steyer for California governor.

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New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Fundraising