Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?
1dTiffany’s Republican nominee price jumped to 0.99 with about a 7.5-point move over the last 24 hours, and fresh reporting still frames him as the clear frontrunner ahead of the August 11 primary.
99%7%
Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?
$27.4K
AUG 12, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Tom Tiffany is trading at 100% to win the Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee? on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Representative
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
Age68 years old (Dec 30, 1957)
GenderMale
Show moreShow less
LocationWisconsin
BackgroundBusiness owner
EducationB.S., University of Wisconsin–River Falls (1980)
Notable personal detailsThomas P. “Tom” Tiffany is a Republican U.S. Representative for Wisconsin’s 7th Congressional District, first elected in a May 12, 2020 special election. He previously served in the Wisconsin State Assembly (2011–2013) and Wisconsin State Senate (2013–2020), and was on the Town of Little Rice board of supervisors (2009–2013). He is a business owner and earned a B.S. from the University of Wisconsin–River Falls.
SourcesShowHide
history.house.govtiffany.house.govcongress.goven.wikipedia.orgwikidata.orgtomtiffany.comapnews.comus.onair.ccwpr.orgpolitico.comclerk.house.govnrcc.orgclubforgrowth.orgcentralwisconsinnews.comcbs58.comwispolitics.comwisdems.orgamericanbridgepac.orgwsaw.comnews.yahoo.comkfiz.comweau.comlegiscan.comlegistorm.comwisconsinexaminer.comwi.americansforprosperity.orgjsonline.comwfbf.comnrapvf.orgwrn.comtractionnews.comurbanmilwaukee.comgoogle.commilwaukeenns.orgdocs.house.govjudiciary.house.govfr.wikipedia.orgde.wikipedia.orgstatic.votesmart.orgfec.govziplook.house.govballotready.orgdisclosures-clerk.house.gov
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Tom Tiffany supports tax cuts and pro-business tax policies, including permanent business deductions and reductions aimed at workers and seniors, and has a voting record aligned with low-tax conservative groups. He has promoted legislation and messaging that emphasize delivering tax relief, reducing taxes on overtime and tips, and opposing subsidies he views as corporate welfare. His scorecards and public statements show consistent votes in favor of tax-cut and deregulatory positions.
Healthcare
Opposes the Affordable Care Act as currently implemented and has voted against extending ACA premium tax credits; supports conservative budget measures that reduce federal healthcare spending and has criticized ACA subsidies. Public statements call the ACA ‘‘not working’’ and oppose continuation of enhanced marketplace credits.
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Immigration & Border
Supports strict border enforcement and measures to reduce illegal immigration, including expanded border wall construction, ending catch-and-release, increasing Border Patrol agents, restoring programs like Remain in Mexico, stricter parole limits, and maintaining pandemic-era expulsions such as Title 42. Has advocated deportation of criminal noncitizens and criticized federal asylum/parole practices as enabling unlawful entry.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
Tom Tiffany has a legislative record of supporting significant restrictions on abortion, including cosponsorship of federal bills that would ban abortion at six weeks and support for other bans; he also supported the Born-Alive Abortion Survivors Protection Act. As of his 2025 gubernatorial campaign statements, he says he would uphold Wisconsin’s current law allowing abortion up to about 20 weeks but has previously backed more restrictive federal measures. The overall documented record shows support for substantial limits on abortion access.
Climate & Energy
Opposes aggressive decarbonization mandates and supports expanded domestic fossil-fuel production and energy independence while criticizing some renewable policies as unreliable and costly. Has cosponsored and supported legislation to resume oil and gas lease sales and increase domestic energy production. Expresses skepticism about large-scale proposals like the Green New Deal and has questioned aspects of climate-change policy implementation.
Public Safety & Guns
Tom Tiffany has sponsored and cosponsored federal legislation that would expand carry rights nationwide and roll back local firearm restrictions, and has supported measures protecting broad Second Amendment rights. His public legislative record shows consistent alignment with pro-gun, permitless/constitutional-carry proposals and other measures limiting gun regulations.
Latest Candidate Updates
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?
3dFresh reporting shows more Democratic primary shakeup in Wisconsin, while Tom Tiffany remains the Trump-backed Republican front-runner with only nominal primary opposition, keeping the GOP nominee market heavily concentrated.
98%
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 5, 2026
Tom Tiffany is emerging as the leading Republican in Wisconsin’s 2026 governor race, with reports saying he is the only major GOP candidate still running and that Republicans have largely unified behind him. He has also raised more than $10 million for the campaign and is being described as the expected Republican nominee. Recent polling shows him in a close race with Democratic contenders, and he has said he would preserve Wisconsin’s Milwaukee voucher program. Earlier coverage also drew attention to his comments on Jan. 6 defendants and his criticism of federal immigration funding.
history.house.gov+42
Articles
WWEAU23 days ago
Wisconsin governor’s race fundraising: Where candidates stand
Positive
GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette2 months ago
Tom Tiffany says Jan. 6 defendants 'possibly' owed restitution
Negative
NNewsmax4 months ago
Rep. Tiffany to Newsmax: House Should Amend Senate DHS Bill
Neutral
BNBreitbart News Network24 days ago
Exclusive: GOP Rep. Tom Tiffany Raises $10M in Campaign for Wisconsin Governor
Positive
Latest Polls
Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Tom Tiffany currently averages 29.0%, ranking first in this race, 9.5 points ahead of the nearest opponent.
Polling average: 29.0%Position: firstMargin: +9.5 ptsLatest poll: 17.0% (Nov 17 - 21)Polls included: 3
Average recalculated from polls through Nov 17 - 21.
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
29%
19.5%
7.3%
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$1.2M
$936.2K
$624.1K
$312.1K
$0
2022
2024
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2022
$1.2M
$339.7K
$964.3K
$40.2K
Cycle 2024
$1.2M
$175.9K
$1.4M
$58.8K
Cycle 2026
$170.9K
$24.7K
$322.1K
$17.0K
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
- Endorsements