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Which Party wins the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Election?

Nov 7, 2026, 4:59am UTC, in 117 daysLast updated: Jul 14, 2026, 1:23 AM UTC

Wisconsin Governor winner?

$60.7K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

D. Party

73.0%

R. Party

26.0%

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OddsCurrent Odds

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Total volume

$60.7K

24h volume

$282

D. Party73%

R. Party26%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

August

TUE 11

Wisconsin 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Wisconsin 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Wisconsin Governor winner?

David Crowley dropping out and endorsing Sara Rodriguez is a fresh Democratic consolidation signal that could tighten the primary and improve Rodriguez’s general-election positioning against Tom Tiffany.

News

AINews Summary

Francesca Hong is gaining strength in the Wisconsin Democratic governor primary, with recent polling and activist support pointing her upward. Mandela Barnes is still in the mix, and Democrats will choose their nominee on Aug. 11. The expected general-election matchup is against Republican Rep. Tom Tiffany, who has Trump’s endorsement. The Democratic primary looks more competitive, which adds some uncertainty to the party’s general-election outlook. Tiffany’s expected role as the GOP nominee keeps the race focused, but the nominee is still unsettled on the Democratic side.

Articles

NNJ.com2 days ago

There's a major shift toward Democrats in 4 of 5 governor races: Cook Political Report

A new analysis showed that Democrats could take the majority in 2026 when it comes to the governor’s map.

WEWashington Examiner4 days ago

A DSA governor? Francesca Hong tests whether socialism can win in Wisconsin

DSA-backed Francesca Hong is running to be Wisconsin's socialist governor in this November's midterm elections.

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette3 months ago

Wisconsin Democrats pull off a stunning election performance | Gilbert

Wisconsin's Supreme Court election result provided good news for Democrats and bad news for Republicans.

NNewsBreak3 months ago

In battleground Wisconsin, voters could grow liberal majority on state Supreme Court

Candidates have attacked each other for 'extremist' views.

NNewsweek7 days ago

Who Could Replace Graham Platner in Maine Race? Nine Possible Contenders

Democrats may still be able to replace Graham Platner as the Maine Senate nominee after new allegations were made against him.

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette27 days ago

Mandela Barnes downplays low straw poll finish in Democratic race

Former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes defended the strength of his candidacy for governor, downplaying a recent low ranking in a party activists' straw poll.

NNNBC News2 months ago

Live updates: Trump to arrive in China for Xi summit; Nebraska congressional primary too close to call

Get live updates and the latest news as Trump arrives in China for his summit with Xi Jinping and the Nebraska 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary remains too close to call.

BNBreitbart News Network16 hours ago

The next big races between moderates and progressives are in pivotal Midwestern states

August primaries in Michigan, Wisconsin and Minnesota will be another gauge of Democratic voters’ frustration with the establishment. ST. PAUL,

CTChicago Tribune24 days ago

How a congressional redistricting battle could gain new life for the 2028 elections

New gerrymandering efforts are part two of a mid-decade redistricting battle that already spans 10 states, which are home to two of every five U.S. residents.

Polls

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

43.7%

43.0%

40.0%

39.9%

39%

S. Rodriguez

M. Barnes

T. Tiffany

F. Hong

D. Crowley

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Rodriguez	Barnes	Tiffany	Hong	Crowley
Polling Average	Rodriguez+0.6	43.7%	43.0%	40.0%	39.9%	39.0%
Wedgewood PollsJul 2 - 4	Barnes+4.0	–	48.0%	44.0%	–	–
Wedgewood PollsJul 2 - 4	Hong+3.0	–	–	44.0%	47.0%	–
Wedgewood PollsJul 2 - 4	Rodriguez+5.0	47.0%	–	42.0%	–	–
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 13 - 15	Barnes+2.0	–	39.3%	37.3%	–	–
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 13 - 15	Hong+0.8	–	–	39.7%	40.5%	–
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 13 - 15	Tiffany+1.0	–	–	36.2%	35.2%	–
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 13 - 15	Barnes+3.9	–	44.8%	40.9%	–	–
TIPP InsightsMar 13 - 19	Rodriguez+3.0	44.0%	–	41.0%	–	–
TIPP InsightsMar 13 - 19	Tiffany+3.0	–	–	40.0%	37.0%	–
TIPP InsightsMar 13 - 19	Crowley+1.0	–	–	38.0%	–	39.0%
TIPP InsightsMar 13 - 19	Barnes+2.0	–	40.0%	38.0%	–	–
TIPP InsightsMar 13 - 19	Rodriguez+1.0	40.0%	–	39.0%	–	–

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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Which Party wins the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Election?

Wisconsin Governor winner?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Wisconsin Governor winner?

News

There's a major shift toward Democrats in 4 of 5 governor races: Cook Political Report

A DSA governor? Francesca Hong tests whether socialism can win in Wisconsin

Wisconsin Democrats pull off a stunning election performance | Gilbert

In battleground Wisconsin, voters could grow liberal majority on state Supreme Court

Who Could Replace Graham Platner in Maine Race? Nine Possible Contenders

Mandela Barnes downplays low straw poll finish in Democratic race

Live updates: Trump to arrive in China for Xi summit; Nebraska congressional primary too close to call

The next big races between moderates and progressives are in pivotal Midwestern states

How a congressional redistricting battle could gain new life for the 2028 elections

Polls

Related races

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

WI-06 Democratic nominee?

WI-06 House winner?

Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Wisconsin Governor winner?

News

There's a major shift toward Democrats in 4 of 5 governor races: Cook Political Report

A DSA governor? Francesca Hong tests whether socialism can win in Wisconsin

Wisconsin Democrats pull off a stunning election performance | Gilbert

In battleground Wisconsin, voters could grow liberal majority on state Supreme Court

Who Could Replace Graham Platner in Maine Race? Nine Possible Contenders

Mandela Barnes downplays low straw poll finish in Democratic race

Live updates: Trump to arrive in China for Xi summit; Nebraska congressional primary too close to call

The next big races between moderates and progressives are in pivotal Midwestern states

How a congressional redistricting battle could gain new life for the 2028 elections

Polls

Related races

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

WI-06 Democratic nominee?

WI-06 House winner?

Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?