$1.2M
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 8:28 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 45.0% | — | |
| 19% | 42.4% | $170.9K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Tom Tiffany survived an emergency plane landing and says he will continue his campaign after a brief medical restriction on flying. He and the pilot had minor injuries, and the FAA is investigating. The general election matchup remains Tiffany versus Democratic nominee David Crowley. The plane incident is unlikely to change the race on its own if Tiffany keeps campaigning. The broader matchup remains set, with Crowley already the Democratic nominee.
CNN By Alaa Elassar, Diego Mendoza, Karina Tsui, CNN (CNN) — Wisconsin congressman Tom Tiffany was on his way home Saturday evening following a
Minnesota’s DFL Republican primaries for U.S. Senate and governor set the stage for what may be the most competitive statewide races for top offices in recent memory.
In Bellevue, Tom Tiffany delivered his first message as the Republican nominee for governor, focusing on Crowley and the Democratic primary outcome.
Who won the Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor? Here are the county-by-county results.
Michael Alfonso, Sean Duffy's son-in-law, won the Republican nomination in Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District following Donald Trump's endorsement.
The socialist candidate for governor fell short Tuesday as concerns about her electability carried the day.
Crowley defeated Francesca Hong, whom party leaders feared would be a weak general election candidate.
Communist streamer Hasan Piker melted down over Communist Francesca Hong's upset loss in Tuesday's Democrat primary election for Wisconsin governor. Piker blamed "the f**king national media," who he says are lying to voters about Democratic Socialist candidates. He also threatened revenge on the Democrat Party establishment.
The upset victory by David Crowley, the Milwaukee County executive, over Francesca Hong sets up a more traditional general election in November.
Four candidates running for the Democratic nomination in Wisconsin's open governor's race will be whittled down to one tonight.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Mar 13, 2026 and Aug 20, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
T. TiffanyTom TiffanySource: FEC
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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
