State Lean
Competitive
Core swing state
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 Wisconsin Governor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
Wisconsin Governor winner?
$2.1M
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86% | 46.7% | — | |
| 15% | 43.6% | $170.9K |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$2.1M
24h volume
$164.8K
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Wisconsin · Governor
CompetitiveOpen seatCore swing state
Primary System
Party primary or state-specific
No primary runoff
Election Rules
Primary Aug 11, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Early voting
In-person absentee voting availability varies locally and generally may begin up to two weeks before Election Day.
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · National Governors Association, Gubernatorial Elections · Public reporting on 2026 gubernatorial non-running incumbents · NCSL · Vote.org
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
Tom Tiffany survived an emergency plane landing and says he will continue his campaign after a brief medical restriction on flying. He and the pilot had minor injuries, and the FAA is investigating. The general election matchup remains Tiffany versus Democratic nominee David Crowley. The plane incident is unlikely to change the race on its own if Tiffany keeps campaigning. The broader matchup remains set, with Crowley already the Democratic nominee.
Articles
FNFox News2 days ago
Control of Congress hangs in balance across 9 midterm battlegrounds
Control of Congress hangs in the balance as midterm election voters in nine battleground states decide key Senate, House and governor races during Donald Trump's second term.
NNorthjersey.Com4 days ago
Who do latest polls show winning 2026 midterms? See odds, forecasts
Who's winning the 2026 midterms? See the latest polls, odds and forecasts as Trump cancels rallies days before Election Day.
MJMother Jones2 days ago
On Abortion Rights, Nevada Offers a Perfect Snapshot of the Midterms
2026 is all about winning ballot measures, Democratic trifectas, and Congress.
SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press3 months ago
4 women vie for top MN offices in what may be most competitive elections in years
Minnesota’s DFL Republican primaries for U.S. Senate and governor set the stage for what may be the most competitive statewide races for top offices in recent memory.
GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette3 months ago
Tiffany says Crowley's primary win won't change Wisconsin governor race
In Bellevue, Tom Tiffany delivered his first message as the Republican nominee for governor, focusing on Crowley and the Democratic primary outcome.
GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette3 months ago
Wisconsin election results by county for governor, Democratic primary
Who won the Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor? Here are the county-by-county results.
FNFox News3 months ago
Michael Alfonso, Sean Duffy's son-in-law, wins Republican primary in Wisconsin
Michael Alfonso, Sean Duffy's son-in-law, won the Republican nomination in Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District following Donald Trump's endorsement.
VVox.com3 months ago
Francesca Hong lost. Here’s what it means for progressives.
The socialist candidate for governor fell short Tuesday as concerns about her electability carried the day.
HHuffPost3 months ago
David Crowley Wins Dem Primary For Wisconsin Governor
Crowley defeated Francesca Hong, whom party leaders feared would be a weak general election candidate.
BNBreitbart News Network3 months ago
Spencer Pratt Mocks Hasan Piker Meltdown Over Francesca Hong's Wisconsin Election Loss
Communist streamer Hasan Piker melted down over Communist Francesca Hong's upset loss in Tuesday's Democrat primary election for Wisconsin governor. Piker blamed "the f**king national media," who he says are lying to voters about Democratic Socialist candidates. He also threatened revenge on the Democrat Party establishment.
Latest Polls
Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
46.7%
43.6%
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jul 22, 2026$200K
$150K
$100K
$50K
$0
T. Tiffany
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
T. TiffanyTom Tiffany$170.9KContrib: $170.8K
$24.7KSpent: $322.1K
$17.0KLast period: $0
PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 22, 2026
Source: FEC
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
Wisconsin Governor winner?
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Wisconsin
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 4:30 AM UTC
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Wisconsin
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 4:30 AM UTC