Prediction Edge
Democrat
Troy Jackson

Troy Jackson

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Maine

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Troy Jackson is trading at 65% to win the Maine Senate winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleState Senator

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age58 years old (Jun 26, 1968)

GenderMale

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LocationMaine

BackgroundLogger

EducationUniversity of Maine at Fort Kent (A.A.)

Notable personal detailsTroy Dale Jackson is an American politician and logger from Allagash, Maine. A Democrat, he served in the Maine House of Representatives (2002–2008) and the Maine Senate (2008–2014; 2016–2024), including as President of the Maine Senate from 2018 to 2024. He has been active in Maine politics representing northern Aroostook County and has been a candidate in statewide and federal races.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports targeted tax relief for working families (doubling the Earned Income Tax Credit and strengthening child & dependent tax credits), while proposing revenue from higher-wealth sources (exploring surcharges on luxury homes and considering raising taxes on the wealthy) to pay for expanded services and affordability measures. Proposes expanding tax credits and exemptions for essentials and using state funds to invest in childcare, housing, and other programs that reduce costs for low- and middle-income Mainers.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to care through a public option and measures to lower costs; expresses support for Medicare for All in principle but views a public option as the practical path for Maine. Prioritizes lowering prescription drug prices, protecting reproductive care, investing in rural health care, and preventing private equity takeovers of health providers.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate has expressed support for allowing immigrants to work while pursuing citizenship but has also spoken about blocking foreign labor to protect Maine workers and voiced concerns about undocumented immigrants using taxpayer resources. Public statements mix pro-worker immigration measures (work rights during naturalization) with border-protection and immigration-skeptical language.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports protecting and expanding abortion and reproductive health-care access in Maine, including legislation to ensure abortion decisions are made by patients and their doctors and efforts to enshrine reproductive rights in state law or the state constitution. He has publicly opposed the Supreme Court decision overturning Roe v. Wade and has cosponsored/state leadership on bills to safeguard reproductive health care and providers.

Climate & Energy

Supports expanding clean energy in Maine, including offshore wind development and investments to build local workforce and ports, while emphasizing protections for fisheries and working communities. Has co-sponsored legislation to advance offshore wind procurement and framed renewables as part of Maine’s path to energy independence and jobs.

Public Safety & Guns

Troy Jackson supports stronger gun-safety measures, including expanded tools to restrict firearm access for people in crisis (red flag laws) and other reforms such as expanded background checks and waiting periods that were advanced in Maine after the Lewiston mass shooting. He frames these policies as compatible with responsible gun ownership and Maine’s hunting traditions.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 4, 2026

Troy Jackson has become the Democratic nominee for Maine’s U.S. Senate race and is now set to face Republican Sen. Susan Collins. He has launched his first TV ad and says his campaign raised $2 million shortly after the nomination, but he still faces a major fundraising gap and a tight race. Jackson has also come under scrutiny over reports about his family relationship, though the reports do not appear to have changed the race or his ballot status. Kamala Harris has endorsed him as Democrats try to flip the seat.

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Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Troy Jackson currently averages 48.4%, ranking first in this race, 3.0 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 48.4%Position: firstMargin: +3.0 ptsLatest poll: 49.0% (Jul 27 - Aug 1)Polls included: 5

Average recalculated from polls through Jul 27 - Aug 1.

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
48.4%
45.4%
Troy Jackson
T. Jackson
Susan Collins
S. Collins
Date (Start - End)SpreadJacksonCollins
Polling Average
Jackson+3.0
48.4%45.4%
Hart Research AssociatesJul 27 - Aug 1
Jackson+4.0
49.0%45.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterJul 15 - 20
Jackson+3.0
49.0%46.0%
Z to A ResearchJul 7 - 8
Collins+2.0
47.0%49.0%
Public Policy PollingJul 7 - 7
Jackson+5.0
49.0%44.0%
Wedgewood PollsJul 4 - 6
Jackson+5.0
48.0%43.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Endorsers of Troy Jackson for Maine Democratic Senate nominee?

Portland Mayor Mark Dion

Elected official

Portland Mayor Mark Dion endorsed Troy Jackson.

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New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Fundraising