State Lean
Lean Democratic
Battleground watch
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 Maine Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
Maine Senate winner?
$16.8M
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70% | 49.2% | — | |
| 30% | 46.2% | $16.17M |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$16.8M
24h volume
$2.0M
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Maine · US Senate
Lean DemocraticBattleground watch
Primary System
Party primary or state-specific
No primary runoff
Election Rules
Primary Jun 9, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Early voting
In-person absentee voting generally runs from 30 days before Election Day through three business days before Election Day.
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · U.S. Senate, Class II senators · U.S. Senate, current senator list · 270toWin/Cook · NCSL
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
Recent polls keep the Maine Senate race very close, with Troy Jackson slightly ahead or tied with Susan Collins. Collins also picked up a Joe Manchin endorsement, while a report on private jet spending and scrutiny of Jackson’s property comments add mixed campaign headlines. The race still looks highly competitive, with recent polling offering no clear leader. The Manchin endorsement may help Collins at the margins, while the spending report and Jackson scrutiny add mixed, limited movement.
Articles
MLM Live Michigan 1 day ago
Senate midterms 2026: Latest polls show GOP trouble in battleground states
In order to flip the Senate, Democrats need to keep control of their 47 seats and gain four more.
SSlate2 days ago
This Wasn’t Supposed to Be Senate Democrats’ Year. Here’s What Changed.
The party is in the midst of a remarkable comeback—mostly thanks to one man.
PPPortland Press Herald2 days ago
Election Day is Tuesday. Here’s what Mainers need to know
Whether you're planning to vote Tuesday, still have that absentee ballot sitting on your counter, or are just eager to see how it all shakes out, here's what to expect on Election Day.
FNFox News2 days ago
Susan Collins blasts Chuck Schumer over what she calls false attack ads
Sen. Susan Collins accused Chuck Schumer and Democrats of flooding Maine voters with “outright lies" in attack ads as she faces a tight reelection race against Troy Jackson.
N5NBC 5 Chicago1 day ago
Election 2026: Races to watch in the House, Senate
The 2026 election is nearly here, and battles for control of the U.S. Senate and House are continuing to heat up
UTUSA TODAY1 day ago
What early voting data tell us about the 2026 midterm elections
Approximately 54 million Americans have offered a glimpse into the midterm election, which is seeing an uptick in younger and racially diverse voters.
Latest Polls
Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
49.2%
46.2%
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jun 30, 2026$20M
$15M
$10M
$5M
$0
S. Collins
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
S. CollinsSusan Collins$16.17MContrib: $11.76M
$11.04MSpent: $7.71M
$428.2KLast period: $3.23M
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
Source: FEC
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
Maine Senate winner?
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Maine?
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 6:34 AM UTC
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Maine?
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 6:34 AM UTC