$5.4M
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 15, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 48.1% | — | |
| 35% | 45.0% | $16.17M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Recent polls keep the Maine Senate race very close, with Troy Jackson slightly ahead or tied with Susan Collins. Collins also picked up a Joe Manchin endorsement, while a report on private jet spending and scrutiny of Jackson’s property comments add mixed campaign headlines. The race still looks highly competitive, with recent polling offering no clear leader. The Manchin endorsement may help Collins at the margins, while the spending report and Jackson scrutiny add mixed, limited movement.
The former centrist Democratic senator for West Virginia called Collins 'the soul of the Senate' in a CNBC interview on Monday.
And this senator has just been asking for money to help with gas prices, our must-read newsletter The Swamp reveals.
Tough sledding as Republicans look to hold their slim majority.
Artificial intelligence ads from the Alliance for a Better Future praise three GOP lawmakers while taking aim at Sen. Bernie Sanders and AOC on AI policy.
The GOP’s unusual midterm convention revealed a strategy to double down on an unpopular Trump — in order to spur his core voters to the polls.
If Sen. Susan Collins, Paul LePage or Bobby Charles lose their races, they’ll know who to thank.
The Maine Senate race is one of the tightest in the country, revolving around a seat Democrats hope Jackson can flip blue.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jul 4, 2026 and Sep 8, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
S. CollinsSusan CollinsSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
