Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
47.3%
44.2%
42.7%
G. Platner
J. Mills
S. Collins
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$313.7K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Total volume
$313.7K
24h volume
$5.4K
source: Kalshi
Polling and prediction-market references in recent coverage suggest Democrats are in a strong position in Maine, with Graham Platner leading Susan Collins in hypothetical general-election matchups and leading the Democratic primary ahead of June 9. Another poll also shows Janet Mills ahead of Collins, but Platner remains the primary frontrunner. Collins is emphasizing her budget influence, while some Democrats warn a heated primary could hurt turnout. The polling and market references pointing to a strong Democratic position could support higher odds for a Democratic win. However, primary infighting and turnout concerns add some uncertainty about how durable that advantage is.
If you're disappointed come June, you had better get over it by November.
Two Democrats vying to oust Collins led the five-term Republican in hypothetical November matchups, a recent poll found.
Maine's Republican senator chairs the Senate Appropriations Committee, but critics say President Donald Trump has had his way with Congress on spending decisions.
Multiple indicators are converging to suggest the veteran congresswoman now faces a genuinely dangerous political moment.
The unpopular war with Iran and stubborn affordability issues have given Democrats cause to be more hopeful about their chances of flipping key seats — and maybe even winning control of the Senate.
Get live updates and the latest news on the Trump administration as Ex-Mike Pence aide Olivia Troye announces a run for Congress as a Democrat and Rep. Eric Swalwell says he will resign from Congress amid sexual assault allegations.
Henry Olsen, who correctly predicted Trump would win the popular vote, is warning Republicans safe Senate seats may be at risk.
A more limited landscape for Democratic gains and an unshakable MAGA base both put limits on Republican midterm losses despite all the problems facing that party and an unpopular president.
Democratic Senate candidates face scrutiny over violent rhetoric following the apparent third assassination attempt against President Donald Trump.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.